Mithrandir Metrics
Player Toronto Blue Jays Refreshed Sep 3 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Toronto Blue Jays

George Springer

DH · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 1", 220 lb · Age 36

Cards
17
Modules
2
Live Δ
yes
Club Toronto Blue Jays Position DH Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2024614741201916.220.303.371.674
20255861061543218.309.399.560.959
2026448521001411.251.326.417.743
13 Seasons682310341580307131.265.351.474.825
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-03
48
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
54
Defense1 metrics
67
Speed3 metrics
44
Plate skills10 metrics
63
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-03
xwOBA preseason0.334
xwOBA current pace0.306
xwOBA rolling p500.315
Observed weight68%
xwOBA
0.291 0.302 0.315 0.328 0.339
wOBA
0.340 0.354 0.369 0.384 0.397
ISO
0.158 0.170 0.183 0.196 0.208
K%
17.0% 17.9% 19.0% 20.1% 21.0%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-03
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.6%
61 -18 vs proj
Exit velocity88.6
58
Hard-hit%38.6%
51
xBA0.297
27
xSLG0.478
41
xwOBA0.306
51 -30 vs proj
BB%9.6%
64
Bat speed70.3
61
K%18.2%
75
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.3 · LF
Small sample
Outs Above Avg0.0 · LF
67 Regression applied
Range Runs-0.0 · LF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.2 · DH
50
SB Success Rate77.8% · DH
41
Sprint Speed27.1 · DH
41
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-03
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.9% · rebadged research
73
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 20.6% · rebadged research
87
Correct Decisions72.1% · rebadged research
93
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline109
88
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.285 · borderline
62
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.302 · insufficient sample
7
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.286 · validated thin sample
31
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.328 · insufficient sample
48
Resists FastballwOBA 0.341 · validated
44
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.322 · validated
97
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Springer, George · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.303 0.306 2026-08-23: 0.3022026-08-24: 0.3022026-08-25: 0.3032026-08-26: 0.3032026-08-27: 0.3002026-08-28: 0.3042026-08-29: 0.3042026-08-30: 0.3062026-08-31: 0.3062026-09-01: 0.3062026-09-02: 0.3042026-09-03: 0.306 2026-08-23 2026-09-03 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

208 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Springer, George · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 16% of plotted batted ballsPull 16%Center field third: 73% of plotted batted ballsCenter 73%Right field third: 11% of plotted batted ballsOppo 11% LF 328 CF 400 RF 328 2026-03-15 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 95.7 / LA -1.02026-03-15 · single · FC · fly_ball · EV 78.8 / LA 21.02026-03-15 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 102.5 / LA 20.02026-03-16 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.2 / LA 27.02026-03-16 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 92.0 / LA 19.02026-03-18 · double · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.0 / LA 6.02026-03-19 · home run · ST · fly_ball · EV 97.9 / LA 28.02026-03-19 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 111.5 / LA 14.02026-03-19 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 49.1 / LA -55.02026-03-21 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 64.6 / LA -11.02026-03-21 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.4 / LA 28.02026-03-22 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 108.3 / LA 11.02026-03-22 · field out · CH · popup · EV 90.3 / LA 71.02026-03-22 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 100.7 / LA 27.02026-03-27 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 99.2 / LA 5.02026-03-27 · field out · FF · popup · EV 98.9 / LA 77.02026-03-27 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 81.4 / LA 52.02026-03-27 · force out · CU · ground_ball · EV 96.1 / LA -8.02026-03-28 · field out · ST · popup · EV 64.6 / LA 77.02026-03-28 · field out · FF · popup · EV 77.7 / LA 84.02026-03-28 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 103.9 / LA 19.02026-03-29 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.6 / LA 38.02026-03-29 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 108.8 / LA 21.02026-03-29 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 68.4 / LA -24.02026-03-30 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 95.6 / LA 5.02026-03-30 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 105.2 / LA 25.02026-03-30 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 61.2 / LA 3.02026-03-31 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 104.2 / LA -2.02026-04-01 · field out · ST · popup · EV 84.2 / LA 82.02026-04-03 · field out · FF · popup · EV 77.9 / LA 51.02026-04-03 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 105.5 / LA 9.02026-04-03 · field out · SI · popup · EV 80.7 / LA 79.02026-04-03 · field error · ST · ground_ball · EV 68.2 / LA -3.02026-04-04 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 99.3 / LA 26.02026-04-04 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 100.5 / LA 52.02026-04-04 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 96.6 / LA -33.02026-04-05 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 87.8 / LA -23.02026-04-05 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 75.6 / LA 47.02026-04-05 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 86.7 / LA 11.02026-04-06 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 100.9 / LA 39.02026-04-06 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 90.3 / LA 45.02026-04-07 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.0 / LA -18.02026-04-07 · double · CU · line_drive · EV 99.9 / LA 20.02026-04-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 84.9 / LA 58.02026-04-08 · double · SL · fly_ball · EV 101.4 / LA 24.02026-04-08 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 82.1 / LA -3.02026-04-08 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 85.4 / LA 8.02026-04-08 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 90.2 / LA 48.02026-04-08 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 98.3 / LA 0.02026-04-10 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 84.2 / LA -23.02026-04-10 · field error · SL · ground_ball · EV 80.1 / LA 2.02026-04-10 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 80.1 / LA 23.02026-04-10 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 92.3 / LA 45.02026-04-11 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 65.1 / LA -33.02026-04-29 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 89.7 / LA 15.02026-04-29 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 74.1 / LA 44.02026-04-30 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 105.4 / LA 10.02026-04-30 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 96.9 / LA 6.02026-04-30 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 48.0 / LA -3.02026-05-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 93.2 / LA -12.02026-05-01 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 88.7 / LA -16.02026-05-01 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 83.6 / LA 27.02026-05-01 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 108.1 / LA -5.02026-05-01 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 76.2 / LA 51.02026-05-02 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 100.1 / LA 22.02026-05-05 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 74.4 / LA -27.02026-05-05 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 94.8 / LA 2.02026-05-05 · double play · FC · fly_ball · EV 101.4 / LA 28.02026-05-05 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 74.9 / LA 12.02026-05-06 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.1 / LA 61.02026-05-06 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.3 / LA -4.02026-05-06 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 87.9 / LA -17.02026-05-08 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 84.4 / LA 29.02026-05-08 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 104.2 / LA -16.02026-05-09 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 86.1 / LA 21.02026-05-09 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.4 / LA -18.02026-05-09 · field out · FF · popup · EV 67.4 / LA 61.02026-05-09 · field out · SL · popup · EV 70.5 / LA 55.02026-05-09 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.3 / LA 33.02026-05-11 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 78.3 / LA -37.02026-05-11 · field out · FF · popup · EV 82.6 / LA 83.02026-05-12 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.4 / LA 53.02026-05-12 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 94.8 / LA 3.02026-05-12 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 95.1 / LA 26.02026-05-12 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 45.4 / LA -72.02026-05-13 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 62.5 / LA -47.02026-05-13 · field out · ST · popup · EV 72.4 / LA 54.02026-05-13 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 95.7 / LA 23.02026-05-15 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 79.3 / LA -36.02026-05-15 · grounded into double play · CU · ground_ball · EV 93.2 / LA -2.02026-05-15 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 87.5 / LA 36.02026-05-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 93.6 / LA 6.02026-05-16 · field out · FC · popup · EV 78.0 / LA 73.02026-05-16 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.8 / LA -3.02026-05-16 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 84.6 / LA -13.02026-05-18 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 91.3 / LA 12.02026-05-18 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 52.3 / LA 10.02026-05-18 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 107.0 / LA 36.02026-05-19 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.0 / LA 7.02026-05-19 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 44.1 / LA -12.02026-05-19 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 54.4 / LA -24.02026-05-19 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 89.7 / LA 7.02026-05-20 · force out · ST · ground_ball · EV 77.8 / LA -20.02026-05-20 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 95.3 / LA -9.02026-05-20 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 76.0 / LA 32.02026-05-21 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 96.0 / LA 30.02026-05-21 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 89.4 / LA -3.02026-05-22 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 98.1 / LA 19.02026-05-23 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 106.8 / LA 25.02026-05-23 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 104.1 / LA 18.02026-05-23 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.1 / LA -7.02026-05-24 · field out · SL · popup · EV 90.5 / LA 61.02026-05-24 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 85.6 / LA 48.02026-05-24 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 69.6 / LA -38.02026-05-24 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 105.0 / LA -5.02026-05-25 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 91.0 / LA 26.02026-05-25 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 99.3 / LA 28.02026-05-25 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 87.9 / LA 33.02026-05-25 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 80.7 / LA -60.02026-05-26 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 83.7 / LA 19.02026-05-26 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 97.1 / LA 26.02026-05-26 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 94.2 / LA 10.02026-05-26 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 78.7 / LA 15.02026-05-27 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 84.7 / LA -36.02026-05-27 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 95.9 / LA 0.02026-06-04 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 77.7 / LA 2.02026-06-04 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 96.3 / LA 20.02026-06-04 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 91.8 / LA 28.02026-06-04 · field out · SI · popup · EV 72.7 / LA 57.02026-06-04 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 87.1 / LA -17.02026-06-05 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.8 / LA -21.02026-06-05 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 85.9 / LA 5.02026-06-05 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 109.0 / LA 15.02026-06-07 · field out · SL · popup · EV 96.8 / LA 61.02026-06-07 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 91.5 / LA 28.02026-06-07 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 101.2 / LA 21.02026-06-07 · field out · FF · popup · EV 86.8 / LA 61.02026-06-18 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 93.6 / LA 2.02026-06-18 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.1 / LA -3.02026-06-18 · double · FC · line_drive · EV 92.8 / LA 25.02026-06-20 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 87.6 / LA -27.02026-06-20 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 93.3 / LA 31.02026-06-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 99.1 / LA 1.02026-06-20 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 98.4 / LA 36.02026-06-20 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 82.6 / LA 17.02026-06-22 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 105.4 / LA 4.02026-06-22 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 99.3 / LA -13.02026-06-24 · double play · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.1 / LA 26.02026-06-24 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 80.4 / LA 44.02026-06-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 106.6 / LA 57.02026-06-26 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 67.9 / LA -12.02026-06-26 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.0 / LA -30.02026-06-30 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 63.9 / LA -52.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 104.5 / LA -11.02026-07-27 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 105.5 / LA -5.02026-07-27 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 85.9 / LA -1.02026-07-27 · field out · FF · popup · EV 61.8 / LA 65.02026-07-27 · field out · SI · popup · EV 86.7 / LA 68.02026-07-31 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 103.3 / LA 9.02026-07-31 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 100.1 / LA 7.02026-07-31 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 82.2 / LA 40.02026-08-02 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 92.4 / LA 23.02026-08-02 · triple · SL · fly_ball · EV 95.6 / LA 31.02026-08-02 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 101.5 / LA 35.02026-08-04 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 91.6 / LA 3.02026-08-04 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 93.9 / LA 26.02026-08-05 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 89.2 / LA 37.02026-08-05 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 93.8 / LA -12.02026-08-05 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 63.8 / LA -25.02026-08-07 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 100.6 / LA 3.02026-08-07 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 90.4 / LA -40.02026-08-07 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 88.5 / LA -28.02026-08-11 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 96.3 / LA 14.02026-08-11 · field out · CH · popup · EV 80.6 / LA 72.02026-08-13 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 60.7 / LA -43.02026-08-13 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 102.8 / LA 5.02026-08-14 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 87.2 / LA -40.02026-08-14 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.3 / LA -14.02026-08-16 · field out · FF · popup · EV 66.7 / LA 74.02026-08-16 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 71.0 / LA -11.02026-08-16 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 88.8 / LA -23.02026-08-16 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 101.3 / LA 1.02026-08-19 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.6 / LA 34.02026-08-22 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.2 / LA 41.02026-08-22 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 77.1 / LA 24.02026-08-22 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 97.7 / LA 3.02026-08-22 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 69.8 / LA -10.02026-08-22 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 89.7 / LA 5.02026-08-23 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 91.8 / LA 25.02026-08-23 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 104.9 / LA 13.02026-08-23 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 92.7 / LA -33.02026-08-23 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 101.8 / LA 17.02026-08-26 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 82.5 / LA 45.02026-08-26 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 76.6 / LA -5.02026-08-26 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 107.2 / LA -11.02026-08-27 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 88.8 / LA 15.02026-08-27 · home run · CU · fly_ball · EV 100.6 / LA 30.02026-08-27 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 94.4 / LA -10.02026-08-29 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 77.2 / LA 5.02026-08-29 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 98.0 / LA 17.02026-08-29 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 95.8 / LA 44.02026-08-30 · double · SI · ground_ball · EV 85.1 / LA 8.02026-08-30 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 92.3 / LA 18.02026-09-01 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 82.4 / LA 48.02026-09-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 104.8 / LA 7.02026-09-02 · fielders choice · FF · ground_ball · EV 105.8 / LA 2.02026-09-02 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 106.0 / LA 22.02026-09-02 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.9 / LA 50.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Springer, George · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 48%48%Chase: 25%25%Whiff: 21%21%Zone contact: 88%88%Contact: 79%79%Hard hit: 39%39% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Springer, George · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 73.6 mph Hard swing rate 39% Whiff / swing 21% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age36
Height6' 1"
Weight220 lb
Debut2014-04-16
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.030
wOBA Δ+0.033

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-2.4σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.369
xwOBA (deserved)0.306

Springer’s wOBA sits at 0.369, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.306 — a gap of 0.063, -2.4 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 467 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

Closest profiles

Full constellation →
PlayerSimilarityAgrees onOpen
Sheets, Gavin SD · L 0.81 Max exit velocitySweet-spot rate Player · Projection
Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L 0.81 In-zone contactWhiff rate Player · Projection
Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L 0.77 Sprint speedSweet-spot rate Player · Projection
Stott, Bryson PHI · L 0.77 Walk rateHard-hit rate Player · Projection

Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting162026-07-25Impact contact was the main driver
Fielding12026-08-024 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +3.140
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.335 xwOBA | 24 HRProjection
2026-05-20 @ NYY0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E1-4 | K, SB
2026-04-11 vs MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-1 | BB, R
2026-04-08 vs LAD0 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E2-5 | 2B, RBI
2026-04-07 vs LAD0 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E1-4 | 2B, K, RBI
2026-04-06 vs LAD0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-2 | BB, R