Mithrandir Metrics
Player Philadelphia Phillies Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Philadelphia Phillies

J. T. Realmuto

C · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 0", 212 lb · Age 35

Cards
14
Modules
2
Live Δ
yes
Club Philadelphia Phillies Position C Roster Current MLB team Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
202441350101142.266.322.429.751
202555057129128.257.315.384.699
20263964678103.222.295.356.651
13 Seasons59387421444190107.267.325.441.766
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-02
60
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
60
Defense4 metrics
67
Speed2 metrics
67
Plate skills10 metrics
57
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-02
xwOBA preseason0.325
xwOBA current pace0.323
xwOBA rolling p500.324
Observed weight65%
xwOBA
0.301 0.312 0.324 0.336 0.347
wOBA
0.283 0.297 0.313 0.328 0.342
ISO
0.118 0.130 0.143 0.156 0.169
K%
19.9% 21.0% 22.2% 23.5% 24.6%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-02
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.2%
25 -40 vs proj
Exit velocity89.6
73
Hard-hit%41.4%
64
xBA0.339
72
xSLG0.512
54
xwOBA0.323
71
BB%7.8%
41 +16 vs proj
Bat speed71.5
76
K%20.3%
64 +20 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-1.1 · C
14
Catcher Throwing2.3 · C
89
Framing Runs0.6 · C
64
Pop Time1.9 · C
98
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.9 · C
63
Sprint Speed28.2 · C
72
SB Success Rate100.0% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-02
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.2% · rebadged research
56
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.4% · rebadged research
68
Correct Decisions67.3% · rebadged research
61
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
62
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.342 · borderline
1
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.289 · insufficient sample
22
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.269 · validated thin sample
78
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.338 · insufficient sample
26
Resists FastballwOBA 0.307 · validated
94
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.313 · validated
99
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Realmuto, J.t. · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.303 0.323 2026-08-22: 0.3192026-08-23: 0.3192026-08-24: 0.3192026-08-25: 0.3222026-08-26: 0.3222026-08-27: 0.3212026-08-28: 0.3212026-08-29: 0.3212026-08-30: 0.3202026-08-31: 0.3262026-09-01: 0.3262026-09-02: 0.323 2026-08-22 2026-09-02 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

186 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Realmuto, J.t. · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 16% of plotted batted ballsPull 16%Center field third: 70% of plotted batted ballsCenter 70%Right field third: 15% of plotted batted ballsOppo 15% LF 329 CF 401 RF 330 2026-03-17 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 98.5 / LA 20.02026-03-17 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 92.1 / LA 23.02026-03-19 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 81.8 / LA -34.02026-03-19 · grounded into double play · FC · ground_ball · EV 58.6 / LA -27.02026-03-20 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 99.3 / LA 17.02026-03-20 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 92.6 / LA 7.02026-03-22 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.6 / LA 6.02026-03-23 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.1 / LA 6.02026-03-28 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 83.2 / LA 11.02026-03-28 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 98.9 / LA -15.02026-03-29 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 100.8 / LA 20.02026-03-29 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 98.2 / LA 34.02026-03-31 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 81.0 / LA -10.02026-03-31 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.4 / LA 45.02026-03-31 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 92.8 / LA -33.02026-04-01 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 76.6 / LA 18.02026-04-01 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 98.8 / LA 28.02026-04-01 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 98.4 / LA 0.02026-04-03 · double · FC · fly_ball · EV 85.9 / LA 51.02026-04-03 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 85.8 / LA 52.02026-04-03 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 99.8 / LA 17.02026-04-03 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 49.7 / LA -58.02026-04-04 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 83.5 / LA -26.02026-04-04 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 92.9 / LA 48.02026-04-06 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.8 / LA -9.02026-04-06 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 105.5 / LA 14.02026-04-06 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.8 / LA -23.02026-04-10 · field out · SV · ground_ball · EV 91.3 / LA -4.02026-04-10 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 101.1 / LA 15.02026-04-10 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 103.3 / LA 9.02026-04-11 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 74.2 / LA 10.02026-04-13 · single · ST · fly_ball · EV 69.5 / LA 39.02026-04-13 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 56.8 / LA -77.02026-04-13 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 93.4 / LA 15.02026-04-13 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 92.0 / LA 38.02026-04-13 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 80.7 / LA 14.02026-04-14 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 64.0 / LA -61.02026-04-14 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 92.3 / LA 10.02026-04-14 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 97.2 / LA -1.02026-04-14 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 80.6 / LA 32.02026-04-15 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 93.0 / LA 30.02026-04-17 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 96.6 / LA 58.02026-04-17 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 98.0 / LA 22.02026-04-17 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 95.8 / LA -2.02026-04-17 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 98.9 / LA -5.02026-04-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.3 / LA 57.02026-04-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.3 / LA 37.02026-04-21 · fielders choice · FF · ground_ball · EV 78.2 / LA 1.02026-04-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 74.2 / LA -9.02026-04-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 60.5 / LA -50.02026-04-21 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.1 / LA 55.02026-05-02 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 95.0 / LA -14.02026-05-02 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 101.8 / LA 41.02026-05-03 · sac fly · FC · fly_ball · EV 102.0 / LA 41.02026-05-03 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 91.3 / LA -5.02026-05-03 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 91.3 / LA 7.02026-05-03 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 73.5 / LA 47.02026-05-05 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 97.6 / LA 36.02026-05-05 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.1 / LA -26.02026-05-05 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 85.3 / LA -10.02026-05-05 · double · FS · line_drive · EV 101.6 / LA 20.02026-05-06 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 86.0 / LA 11.02026-05-06 · single · CH · fly_ball · EV 68.1 / LA 28.02026-05-06 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.8 / LA -8.02026-05-06 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 92.6 / LA 25.02026-05-08 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.8 / LA 36.02026-05-08 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 90.1 / LA -47.02026-05-08 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 80.2 / LA 53.02026-05-08 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 53.1 / LA 5.02026-05-09 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.0 / LA 29.02026-05-09 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 102.8 / LA 22.02026-05-09 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 78.6 / LA 9.02026-05-09 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.8 / LA 38.02026-05-10 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 82.6 / LA 48.02026-05-10 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 101.2 / LA 16.02026-05-10 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.6 / LA -40.02026-05-10 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 82.3 / LA 60.02026-05-12 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 64.0 / LA -59.02026-05-12 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 53.0 / LA -56.02026-05-12 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 99.5 / LA -15.02026-05-13 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 97.4 / LA -13.02026-05-13 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 84.1 / LA 27.02026-05-14 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 97.5 / LA 10.02026-05-16 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 90.7 / LA 41.02026-05-16 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.4 / LA 44.02026-05-16 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 68.7 / LA -70.02026-05-17 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 98.1 / LA 13.02026-05-17 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 67.6 / LA -22.02026-05-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 79.7 / LA -2.02026-05-18 · field error · SL · ground_ball · EV 101.4 / LA 6.02026-05-18 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.3 / LA 39.02026-05-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.7 / LA 34.02026-05-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 83.6 / LA -1.02026-05-20 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 89.9 / LA -21.02026-05-20 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 96.9 / LA 29.02026-05-22 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 107.3 / LA 3.02026-05-22 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.4 / LA -15.02026-05-23 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 95.3 / LA 10.02026-05-23 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 103.3 / LA 9.02026-05-24 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 91.8 / LA 3.02026-05-24 · field out · SI · popup · EV 90.6 / LA 71.02026-05-24 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 82.3 / LA 20.02026-05-26 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 109.3 / LA 23.02026-05-26 · field out · FF · popup · EV 88.4 / LA 58.02026-05-26 · single · ST · fly_ball · EV 70.5 / LA 34.02026-05-27 · field out · ST · popup · EV 87.3 / LA 84.02026-05-27 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 59.2 / LA 1.02026-05-27 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 88.9 / LA 15.02026-06-04 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 103.8 / LA 4.02026-06-04 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 90.4 / LA 2.02026-06-05 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 104.3 / LA -6.02026-06-05 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.5 / LA -12.02026-06-15 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 98.1 / LA 11.02026-06-15 · home run · SL · line_drive · EV 107.4 / LA 24.02026-06-15 · fielders choice · SL · ground_ball · EV 84.2 / LA -40.02026-06-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.5 / LA -50.02026-06-18 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 82.6 / LA 8.02026-06-18 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 101.1 / LA 14.02026-06-18 · field out · FF · popup · EV 78.0 / LA 67.02026-06-20 · double · CU · ground_ball · EV 101.2 / LA -2.02026-06-20 · double · ST · line_drive · EV 91.4 / LA 17.02026-06-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.1 / LA 42.02026-06-24 · sac fly · SL · fly_ball · EV 90.9 / LA 30.02026-06-24 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 90.8 / LA -19.02026-06-26 · double · ST · fly_ball · EV 75.1 / LA 33.02026-06-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.4 / LA -12.02026-06-26 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 103.6 / LA 6.02026-06-26 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 48.1 / LA -20.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 102.6 / LA -3.02026-07-01 · field out · FF · popup · EV 85.6 / LA 72.02026-07-27 · sac fly · SI · fly_ball · EV 97.0 / LA 30.02026-07-27 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.3 / LA 24.02026-07-27 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 97.1 / LA 0.02026-07-31 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 104.5 / LA 31.02026-07-31 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 102.3 / LA 26.02026-08-02 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 97.3 / LA 17.02026-08-02 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 104.4 / LA 40.02026-08-04 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 83.9 / LA -2.02026-08-04 · field out · FS · line_drive · EV 90.8 / LA 12.02026-08-05 · single · FC · fly_ball · EV 86.3 / LA 22.02026-08-05 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 80.5 / LA -31.02026-08-05 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 102.3 / LA 17.02026-08-07 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 93.6 / LA -18.02026-08-07 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 69.8 / LA -10.02026-08-07 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 85.7 / LA -26.02026-08-07 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 111.2 / LA 9.02026-08-11 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.3 / LA 37.02026-08-11 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 64.8 / LA -2.02026-08-11 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 102.2 / LA -4.02026-08-13 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.2 / LA 45.02026-08-13 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 70.5 / LA 41.02026-08-13 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 89.7 / LA 41.02026-08-15 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 86.7 / LA 15.02026-08-15 · sac fly · FF · line_drive · EV 97.5 / LA 22.02026-08-15 · sac fly · FF · line_drive · EV 106.3 / LA 16.02026-08-15 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 90.6 / LA 27.02026-08-16 · field out · FF · popup · EV 74.2 / LA 78.02026-08-16 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 62.0 / LA -18.02026-08-17 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 101.4 / LA 12.02026-08-17 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 90.8 / LA 1.02026-08-21 · force out · ST · ground_ball · EV 84.6 / LA 4.02026-08-21 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 82.0 / LA 25.02026-08-21 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 106.1 / LA 12.02026-08-22 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 99.0 / LA 22.02026-08-22 · sac fly · SI · fly_ball · EV 92.7 / LA 43.02026-08-22 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 91.2 / LA 3.02026-08-23 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 87.0 / LA -1.02026-08-23 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 96.4 / LA 33.02026-08-23 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 88.4 / LA 15.02026-08-23 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.1 / LA -2.02026-08-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.3 / LA 46.02026-08-24 · field out · SL · popup · EV 91.0 / LA 61.02026-08-24 · home run · FF · line_drive · EV 102.9 / LA 20.02026-08-26 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 106.7 / LA 8.02026-08-26 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 103.1 / LA -1.02026-08-26 · field out · ST · popup · EV 76.0 / LA 60.02026-08-29 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 98.5 / LA 30.02026-08-29 · fielders choice out · FF · ground_ball · EV 80.9 / LA -32.02026-08-29 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 72.5 / LA -76.02026-08-30 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 103.3 / LA 0.02026-08-30 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 97.5 / LA 11.02026-08-30 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 103.3 / LA 28.02026-09-01 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 64.8 / LA -69.02026-09-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.5 / LA 28.02026-09-01 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 99.2 / LA -9.02026-09-01 · field out · FF · popup · EV 64.6 / LA 84.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Realmuto, J.t. · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 48%48%Chase: 30%30%Whiff: 21%21%Zone contact: 86%86%Contact: 79%79%Hard hit: 41%41% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age35
Height6' 0"
Weight212 lb
Debut2014-06-05
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.002
wOBA Δ-0.013

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.4σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.313
xwOBA (deserved)0.323

Realmuto’s wOBA sits at 0.313, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.323 — a gap of 0.011, 0.4 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 408 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

Closest profiles

Full constellation →
PlayerSimilarityAgrees onOpen
Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L 0.81 Sprint speedAvg exit velocity Player · Projection
Young, Cole SEA · L 0.77 Max exit velocityChase rate Player · Projection
Stott, Bryson PHI · L 0.76 Pull rateSprint speed Player · Projection
Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R 0.76 Ground-ball rateFly-ball rate Player · Projection

Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting82026-08-30Disciplined swing decisions drove the score
Fielding62026-08-282 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.054
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.326 xwOBA | 16 HRProjection
2026-08-15 @ MIN0 HR | 2 RBI / 14 Ch | 0 E1-3 | K, 2 RBI, R
2026-05-20 vs CIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 10 Ch | 0 E0-4
2026-04-17 vs ATL0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E2-4
2026-04-15 vs CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 9 Ch | 1 E0-2 | K
2026-04-14 vs CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 11 Ch | 0 E2-4 | R