Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 26 |
| Height | 6' 2" |
| Weight | 225 lb |
| Debut | 2022-08-03 |
Player profile / Chicago White Sox
Miguel Vargas
3B · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 2", 225 lb · Age 26
Club Chicago White Sox
Position 3B
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 237 | 22 | 31 | 5 | 3 | .150 | .249 | .257 | .506 |
| 2025 | 569 | 80 | 118 | 16 | 6 | .234 | .316 | .401 | .717 |
| 2026 | 704 | 106 | 147 | 33 | 22 | .250 | .363 | .474 | .837 |
| 5 Seasons | 1864 | 248 | 354 | 62 | 35 | .221 | .320 | .400 | .720 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
84
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.3%
90
Exit velocity90.2
81
Hard-hit%44.0%
77
xBA0.336
71
xSLG0.629
86
xwOBA0.380
99
BB%15.3%
98
Bat speed72.0
80
K%17.8%
80
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.1 · 3B
58
Arm Strength86.9 · 3B
48
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 3B
47
Range Runs-4.9 · 3B
16
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs2.8 · 3B
85
Bolts4.0 · 3B
38
SB Success Rate94.7% · 3B
88
Sprint Speed28.6 · 3B
82
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 76.3% · rebadged research
96
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.6% · rebadged research
84
Correct Decisions73.5% · rebadged research
97
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.305 · borderline
21
Resists FastballwOBA 0.362 · validated
16
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.381 · validated
10
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline115
97
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.300 · insufficient sample
11
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.319 · validated thin sample
5
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.351 · insufficient sample
11
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
300 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Vargas’s wOBA sits at 0.380, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.380 — a gap of 0.000, -0.0 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 758 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bleday, JJ CIN · L | 0.70 | Isolated powerBat speed | Player · Projection |
| Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R | 0.62 | Max exit velocityxwOBA on contact | Player · Projection |
| Grisham, Trent NYY · L | 0.58 | Whiff rateAvg exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Trout, Mike LAA · R | 0.55 | Sprint speedChase rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 18 | 2026-10-10 | Impact contact was the main driver |
| Fielding | 29 | 2026-10-10 | 1 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.095 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| 2026-08-15 @ DET0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2B, BB, K |
| 2026-05-20 @ SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-0 | BB |
| 2026-04-17 @ ATH0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | K, R |
| 2026-04-15 vs TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 11 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 |
| 2026-04-14 vs TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | BB, R |