Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 28 |
| Height | 6' 2" |
| Weight | 205 lb |
| Debut | 2022-07-23 |
Player profile / Cincinnati Reds
Jj Bleday
LF · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 2", 205 lb · Age 28
Club Cincinnati Reds
Position LF
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 642 | 74 | 139 | 20 | 2 | .243 | .324 | .437 | .761 |
| 2025 | 344 | 48 | 65 | 14 | 1 | .212 | .294 | .404 | .698 |
| 2026 | 467 | 53 | 88 | 22 | 6 | .222 | .333 | .437 | .770 |
| 5 Seasons | 1994 | 231 | 376 | 71 | 18 | .217 | .313 | .404 | .717 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
70
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.307 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.350 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.336 |
| Observed weight | 68% |
xwOBA
0.313
0.324
0.336
0.348
0.359
wOBA
0.331
0.344
0.359
0.374
0.387
ISO
0.177
0.191
0.207
0.222
0.237
K%
19.4%
20.4%
21.6%
22.7%
23.8%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.9%
79
+26 vs proj
Exit velocity88.4
55
Hard-hit%40.3%
59
xBA0.328
61
xSLG0.584
76
xwOBA0.350
90
+48 vs proj
BB%13.5%
94
+24 vs proj
Bat speed71.5
76
K%21.1%
60
+20 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.1 · LF
55
Arm Strength98.5 · LF
85
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · LF
24
Range Runs-0.8 · LF
37
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.3 · LF
51
SB Success Rate60.0% · LF
11
Sprint Speed27.4 · LF
49
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 72.4% · rebadged research
85
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.5% · rebadged research
76
Correct Decisions71.8% · rebadged research
92
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline110
89
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.338 · borderline
3
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.294 · insufficient sample
16
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.273 · validated thin sample
73
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.332 · insufficient sample
39
Resists FastballwOBA 0.352 · validated
26
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.356 · validated
50
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
169 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.053 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.062 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Bleday’s wOBA sits at 0.359, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.350 — a gap of 0.009, -0.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 475 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R | 0.74 | Avg exit velocityChase rate | Player · Projection |
| Vargas, Miguel CWS · R | 0.72 | Isolated powerBat speed | Player · Projection |
| Muncy, Max LAD · L | 0.63 | In-zone contactFly-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Torkelson, Spencer DET · R | 0.60 | Bat speedChase rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 4 | 2026-09-02 | Impact contact was the main driver |
| Fielding | 21 | 2026-08-31 | 8 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +6.313 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.297 xwOBA | 17 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 vs MIA0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2B, K |
| 2026-05-20 @ PHI0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 2-5 | K, 2 R |