Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 26 |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Weight | 195 lb |
| Debut | 2025-05-30 |
Player profile / Miami Marlins
Heriberto Hernandez
LF · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 195 lb · Age 26
Club Miami Marlins
Position LF
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 294 | 40 | 68 | 10 | 1 | .266 | .347 | .438 | .785 |
| 2026 | 395 | 41 | 81 | 22 | 10 | .231 | .314 | .464 | .778 |
| 2 Seasons | 689 | 81 | 149 | 32 | 11 | .245 | .328 | .453 | .781 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
89
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.2%
88
Exit velocity91.2
89
Hard-hit%47.4%
87
xBA0.355
86
xSLG0.694
94
xwOBA0.351
91
BB%10.9%
78
Bat speed72.2
82
K%27.0%
28
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.0 · LF
26
Arm Strength98.7 · LF
87
Outs Above Avg2.0 · LF
87
Range Runs1.5 · LF
64
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.5 · LF
32
SB Success Rate71.4% · LF
27
Sprint Speed28.6 · LF
83
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.6% · rebadged research
76
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.3% · rebadged research
78
Correct Decisions69.6% · rebadged research
83
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline108
85
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.339 · borderline
2
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.277 · insufficient sample
48
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.287 · validated thin sample
28
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.308 · insufficient sample
90
Resists FastballwOBA 0.314 · validated
88
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.351 · validated
63
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
142 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Hernandez’s wOBA sits at 0.364, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.351 — a gap of 0.013, -0.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 404 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carroll, Corbin AZ · L | 0.72 | Pull rateIsolated power | Player · Projection |
| Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R | 0.70 | Barrel rateIn-zone contact | Player · Projection |
| Chisholm Jr., Jazz NYY · L | 0.65 | In-zone contactWalk rate | Player · Projection |
| Muncy, Max LAD · L | 0.62 | Barrel rateChase rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 2 | 2026-06-23 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| 2026-08-15 @ CIN0 HR | 3 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | BB, K, 3 RBI |
| 2026-05-20 vs ATL0 HR | 1 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | 2 K, RBI |
| 2026-04-17 vs MIL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-0 | 2 BB, CS |
| 2026-04-15 @ ATL0 HR | 1 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 3 K, RBI |
| 2026-04-13 @ ATL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 2-5 | K, R, SB |