Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 26 |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Weight | 195 lb |
| Debut | 2025-05-30 |
Player profile / Miami Marlins
Heriberto Hernandez
LF · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 195 lb · Age 26
Club Miami Marlins
Position LF
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 294 | 40 | 68 | 10 | 1 | .266 | .347 | .438 | .785 |
| 2026 | 232 | 25 | 49 | 13 | 6 | .237 | .315 | .478 | .793 |
| 2 Seasons | 526 | 65 | 117 | 23 | 7 | .253 | .333 | .456 | .789 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
88
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.6%
83
Exit velocity92.0
92
Hard-hit%49.7%
90
xBA0.351
79
xSLG0.689
93
xwOBA0.364
91
BB%11.0%
76
Bat speed72.6
84
K%23.2%
44
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.0 · LF
21
Arm Strength97.2 · LF
81
Outs Above Avg1.0 · LF
80
Range Runs0.8 · LF
55
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed28.6 · LF
84
SB Success Rate100.0% · LF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.4% · rebadged research
75
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.9% · rebadged research
63
Correct Decisions69.0% · rebadged research
78
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.317 · borderline
9
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.294 · insufficient sample
15
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.288 · validated thin sample
28
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.309 · insufficient sample
95
Resists FastballwOBA 0.303 · validated
95
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.341 · validated
88
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
77
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
96 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Hernandez’s wOBA sits at 0.380, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.364 — a gap of 0.016, -0.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 237 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R | 0.73 | Fly-ball rateGround-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Rushing, Dalton LAD · L | 0.68 | Walk rateBarrel rate | Player · Projection |
| Carroll, Corbin AZ · L | 0.67 | Strikeout rateIn-zone contact | Player · Projection |
| Contreras, Willson BOS · R | 0.65 | Ground-ball rateSweet-spot rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 2 | 2026-06-23 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.324 xwOBA | 11 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs ATL0 HR | 1 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | 2 K, RBI |
| 2026-04-17 vs MIL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-0 | 2 BB, CS |
| 2026-04-15 @ ATL0 HR | 1 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 3 K, RBI |
| 2026-04-13 @ ATL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 2-5 | K, R, SB |
| 2026-04-12 @ DET0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB, 2 K |