Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 25 |
| Height | 5' 10" |
| Weight | 165 lb |
| Debut | 2022-08-29 |
Player profile / Arizona Diamondbacks
Corbin Carroll
RF · Bats/Throws L/L · 5' 10", 165 lb · Age 25
Club Arizona Diamondbacks
Position RF
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 684 | 121 | 136 | 22 | 35 | .231 | .322 | .428 | .750 |
| 2025 | 642 | 107 | 146 | 31 | 32 | .259 | .343 | .541 | .884 |
| 2026 | 402 | 55 | 88 | 14 | 10 | .252 | .346 | .484 | .830 |
| 5 Seasons | 2488 | 412 | 558 | 96 | 133 | .257 | .342 | .490 | .832 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
80
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.347 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.343 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.344 |
| Observed weight | 65% |
xwOBA
0.319
0.331
0.344
0.358
0.370
wOBA
0.348
0.362
0.378
0.395
0.409
ISO
0.199
0.213
0.228
0.244
0.258
K%
20.4%
21.5%
22.8%
24.0%
25.1%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.3%
80
Exit velocity91.5
89
Hard-hit%47.9%
85
xBA0.341
69
xSLG0.599
76
xwOBA0.343
81
BB%11.9%
84
Bat speed74.3
96
K%23.5%
43
-19 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-3.2 · RF
1
Arm Strength86.9 · RF
8
Outs Above Avg8.0 · RF
99
Range Runs7.6 · RF
97
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs4.0 · RF
97
Bolts40.0 · RF
94
SB Success Rate81.8% · RF
50
Sprint Speed29.7 · RF
98
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.0% · rebadged research
58
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.5% · rebadged research
57
Correct Decisions66.3% · rebadged research
51
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
59
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.325 · borderline
5
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.305 · insufficient sample
6
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.281 · validated thin sample
45
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.311 · insufficient sample
94
Resists FastballwOBA 0.401 · validated
2
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.399 · validated
4
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
182 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.014 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.022 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Carroll’s wOBA sits at 0.378, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.343 — a gap of 0.036, -1.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 413 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chisholm Jr., Jazz NYY · L | 0.67 | Ground-ball rateFly-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Hernández, Heriberto MIA · R | 0.67 | Strikeout rateIn-zone contact | Player · Projection |
| Swanson, Dansby CHC · R | 0.64 | Sweet-spot rateOppo rate | Player · Projection |
| Burger, Jake TEX · R | 0.60 | Ground-ball rateHard-hit rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 4 | 2026-05-24 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.357 xwOBA | 23 HR | Projection |
| 2026-04-17 vs TOR0 HR | 1 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | BB, 2 K, RBI |
| 2026-04-15 @ BAL0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | 2 2B, BB, K |
| 2026-04-14 @ BAL0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-13 @ BAL0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-12 @ PHI0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | 2B, BB, K |