Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 26 |
| Height | 6' 3" |
| Weight | 210 lb |
| Debut | 2022-08-17 |
Player profile / New York Mets
Brett Baty
3B · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 3", 210 lb · Age 26
Club New York Mets
Position 3B
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 171 | 15 | 35 | 4 | 0 | .229 | .306 | .327 | .633 |
| 2025 | 432 | 53 | 100 | 18 | 8 | .254 | .313 | .435 | .748 |
| 2026 | 413 | 45 | 82 | 8 | 5 | .222 | .294 | .339 | .633 |
| 5 Seasons | 1447 | 158 | 299 | 41 | 15 | .229 | .295 | .362 | .657 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
67
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.313 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.305 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.308 |
| Observed weight | 66% |
xwOBA
0.287
0.296
0.308
0.319
0.328
wOBA
0.273
0.286
0.301
0.316
0.330
ISO
0.102
0.114
0.127
0.140
0.151
K%
24.3%
25.4%
26.7%
28.0%
29.1%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.3%
70
Exit velocity90.0
77
Hard-hit%42.2%
68
xBA0.338
72
xSLG0.554
66
xwOBA0.305
50
BB%8.8%
56
Bat speed73.1
90
K%27.4%
25
-22 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.2 · 3B
16
Arm Strength92.2 · 3B
84
Outs Above Avg-3.0 · 3B
12
Range Runs-0.9 · 3B
45
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.1 · 3B
66
SB Success Rate83.3% · 3B
59
Sprint Speed26.8 · 3B
33
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.2% · rebadged research
69
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.3% · rebadged research
70
Correct Decisions69.5% · rebadged research
83
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
78
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.275 · borderline
79
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.285 · insufficient sample
28
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.278 · validated thin sample
48
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.295 · insufficient sample
98
Resists FastballwOBA 0.343 · validated
41
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.364 · validated
29
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
180 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.007 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.010 |
positive regression
Regression watch
Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.
Baty’s wOBA sits at 0.301, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.305 — a gap of 0.003, 0.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 430 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| McMahon, Ryan NYY · L | 0.77 | Chase rateBarrel rate | Player · Projection |
| Riley, Austin ATL · R | 0.73 | Pull rateSwing length | Player · Projection |
| Crews, Dylan WSH · R | 0.71 | Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Ozuna, Marcell PIT · R | 0.69 | Isolated powerxwOBA on contact | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 4 | 2026-08-10 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
| Fielding | 9 | 2026-08-27 | 3 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.315 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.311 xwOBA | 15 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 vs WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | 2 BB, R |
| 2026-05-20 @ WSH0 HR | 1 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-2 | BB, RBI |
| 2026-04-17 @ CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 1 E | 0-2 | K |
| 2026-04-15 @ LAD0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-14 @ LAD0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | 2 K |