Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 28 |
| Height | 5' 10" |
| Weight | 204 lb |
| Debut | 2023-06-18 |
Player profile / Pittsburgh Pirates
Spencer Horwitz
1B · Bats/Throws L/R · 5' 10", 204 lb · Age 28
Club Pittsburgh Pirates
Position 1B
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 381 | 46 | 87 | 12 | 0 | .265 | .357 | .433 | .790 |
| 2025 | 411 | 55 | 99 | 11 | 0 | .272 | .353 | .434 | .787 |
| 2026 | 381 | 37 | 80 | 10 | 1 | .247 | .349 | .383 | .732 |
| 4 Seasons | 1217 | 143 | 276 | 34 | 1 | .262 | .353 | .416 | .769 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
34
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.8%
49
Exit velocity86.9
39
Hard-hit%30.6%
18
xBA0.275
11
xSLG0.434
26
xwOBA0.316
64
BB%12.0%
87
Bat speed67.2
23
K%15.0%
88
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-4.0 · 1B
9
Range Runs-3.2 · 1B
23
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed24.8 · 1B
4
SB Success Rate100.0% · 1B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 72.0% · rebadged research
83
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.7% · rebadged research
36
Correct Decisions66.7% · rebadged research
58
Resists FastballwOBA 0.335 · validated
53
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
74
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.303 · borderline
25
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.295 · insufficient sample
13
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.280 · validated thin sample
45
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.324 · insufficient sample
61
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.359 · validated
39
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
216 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Horwitz’s wOBA sits at 0.344, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.316 — a gap of 0.028, -1.0 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 400 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly, Carson CHC · R | 0.77 | Chase rateIsolated power | Player · Projection |
| Hicks, Liam MIA · L | 0.69 | Sweet-spot ratexwOBA on contact | Player · Projection |
| Rumfield, TJ COL · L | 0.65 | In-zone contactGround-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Smith, Dominic ATL · L | 0.65 | Strikeout rateGround-ball rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fielding | 13 | 2026-08-30 | 3 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.461 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| 2026-08-15 vs BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB, K |
| 2026-05-20 @ STL1 HR | 1 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | HR, K, RBI |
| 2026-04-17 vs TB0 HR | 1 RBI / 9 Ch | 0 E | 3-3 | 2B, BB, RBI |
| 2026-04-15 vs WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 9 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | HBP, K |
| 2026-04-14 vs WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 |