Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 30 |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Weight | 224 lb |
| Debut | 2017-08-11 |
Player profile / Atlanta Braves
Dominic Smith
DH · Bats/Throws L/L · 5' 11", 224 lb · Age 30
Club Atlanta Braves
Position DH
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 307 | 33 | 64 | 6 | 1 | .233 | .313 | .378 | .691 |
| 2025 | 225 | 26 | 58 | 5 | 2 | .284 | .333 | .417 | .750 |
| 2026 | 165 | 25 | 44 | 6 | 0 | .291 | .329 | .450 | .779 |
| 10 Seasons | 2656 | 288 | 606 | 75 | 7 | .252 | .316 | .407 | .723 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
62
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.302 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.351 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.324 |
| Observed weight | 45% |
xwOBA
0.294
0.308
0.324
0.340
0.354
wOBA
0.334
0.356
0.381
0.405
0.427
ISO
0.121
0.142
0.165
0.187
0.208
K%
14.1%
15.9%
17.8%
19.8%
21.5%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.2%
64
+21 vs proj
Exit velocity88.9
54
Hard-hit%37.6%
41
xBA0.344
70
xSLG0.550
61
xwOBA0.351
79
+44 vs proj
BB%6.2%
21
Bat speed66.7
18
K%12.4%
93
+40 vs proj
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.0 · DH
19
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.9% · rebadged research
27
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.1% · rebadged research
50
Correct Decisions65.9% · rebadged research
47
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.284 · borderline
56
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.297 · insufficient sample
13
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.252 · validated thin sample
96
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.344 · insufficient sample
22
Resists FastballwOBA 0.376 · validated
8
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.360 · validated
45
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96
29
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
117 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.057 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.086 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Smith’s wOBA sits at 0.381, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.351 — a gap of 0.030, -0.9 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 177 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 2 | 2026-04-20 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.294 xwOBA | 9 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 @ MIA1 HR | 3 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | HR, 3B, 3 RBI |
| 2026-04-20 @ WSH0 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | RBI |
| 2026-04-17 @ PHI1 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | HR, RBI, R |
| 2026-04-15 vs MIA0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 |
| 2026-04-14 vs MIA0 HR | 4 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 3-4 | 2B, 4 RBI |