Mithrandir Metrics
Player Cincinnati Reds Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Cincinnati Reds

Dane Myers

CF · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 0", 205 lb · Age 30

Cards
2
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Cincinnati Reds Position CF Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2024108172534.263.333.442.775
20253332972618.235.291.326.617
2026138183035.254.355.381.736
4 Seasons649731451328.247.311.359.670
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
62
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
60
Defense4 metrics
59
Speed2 metrics
76
Plate skills10 metrics
57
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-18
xwOBA preseason0.316
xwOBA current pace0.355
xwOBA rolling p500.332
Observed weight41%
xwOBA
0.294 0.312 0.332 0.352 0.369
wOBA
0.353 0.376 0.403 0.430 0.454
ISO
0.102 0.124 0.149 0.173 0.195
K%
20.8% 22.5% 24.3% 26.1% 27.8%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.9%
31 -35 vs proj
Exit velocity87.5
43
Hard-hit%36.4%
37 -31 vs proj
xBA0.382
93
xSLG0.636
84
xwOBA0.355
87 +40 vs proj
BB%12.3%
86 +59 vs proj
Bat speed69.4
46
K%25.2%
36
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-2.1 · CF
6
Arm Strength99.1 · CF
92
Outs Above Avg1.0 · CF
80
Range Runs0.9 · CF
59
Baserunning · percentile strip
SB Success Rate100.0% · CF
93
Sprint Speed27.7 · CF
58
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-18
Avoids Bad ChasesST 78.0% · rebadged research
97
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 30.0% · rebadged research
13
Correct Decisions68.7% · rebadged research
76
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.284 · borderline
58
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.273 · insufficient sample
71
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.278 · validated thin sample
57
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.323 · insufficient sample
77
Resists FastballwOBA 0.349 · validated
30
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.399 · validated
3
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline107
83
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Myers, Dane · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.355 2026-07-07: 0.3552026-07-08: 0.3552026-07-09: 0.3552026-07-10: 0.3552026-07-11: 0.3552026-07-12: 0.3552026-07-13: 0.3552026-07-14: 0.3552026-07-15: 0.3552026-07-16: 0.3552026-07-17: 0.3552026-07-18: 0.355 2026-07-07 2026-07-18 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

74 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Myers, Dane · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 8% of plotted batted ballsPull 8%Center field third: 77% of plotted batted ballsCenter 77%Right field third: 15% of plotted batted ballsOppo 15% LF 328 CF 404 RF 325 2026-03-18 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 95.0 / LA -10.02026-03-18 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 83.6 / LA 19.02026-03-20 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 105.2 / LA 3.02026-03-20 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 87.4 / LA -46.02026-03-20 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 88.1 / LA -17.02026-03-22 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 85.2 / LA -12.02026-03-23 · field error · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.2 / LA -30.02026-03-23 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 67.4 / LA -34.02026-03-24 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 96.6 / LA 10.02026-03-24 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 101.1 / LA 14.02026-03-26 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 93.6 / LA 37.02026-03-28 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 80.8 / LA 17.02026-03-29 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 91.5 / LA 43.02026-03-29 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 68.4 / LA 3.02026-03-29 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 91.6 / LA 9.02026-03-31 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 93.1 / LA 15.02026-04-01 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 79.6 / LA 14.02026-04-01 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 83.0 / LA 44.02026-04-03 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 105.1 / LA 16.02026-04-03 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 95.8 / LA 35.02026-04-04 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 104.7 / LA 28.02026-04-04 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 95.1 / LA -4.02026-04-09 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 81.0 / LA 22.02026-04-09 · field out · SI · popup · EV 63.5 / LA 39.02026-04-09 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 102.0 / LA -3.02026-04-09 · field error · SI · ground_ball · EV 82.0 / LA 2.02026-04-12 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 91.3 / LA 9.02026-04-14 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 98.3 / LA 22.02026-04-14 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball2026-04-17 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 74.4 / LA 36.02026-04-18 · single · SI · fly_ball · EV 72.6 / LA 28.02026-04-19 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 104.0 / LA 24.02026-04-21 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 101.6 / LA 28.02026-04-21 · field out · SL · popup · EV 72.9 / LA 51.02026-04-21 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 105.6 / LA 23.02026-04-24 · single · SI · ground_ball2026-04-25 · force out · FC · ground_ball · EV 82.7 / LA -30.02026-04-26 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 90.9 / LA 46.02026-04-26 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 90.8 / LA -2.02026-04-28 · grounded into double play · ST · ground_ball · EV 104.3 / LA 0.02026-04-28 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 41.5 / LA -53.02026-04-28 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 94.9 / LA 13.02026-04-30 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 88.9 / LA -5.02026-05-04 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 81.8 / LA 51.02026-05-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 81.0 / LA 51.02026-05-09 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 97.3 / LA 57.02026-05-13 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 75.4 / LA 39.02026-05-13 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 92.2 / LA -20.02026-05-13 · field out · FF · popup · EV 25.5 / LA 40.02026-05-14 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.0 / LA 40.02026-05-14 · home run · FA · fly_ball · EV 100.6 / LA 30.02026-05-15 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 104.7 / LA 18.02026-05-16 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.5 / LA 30.02026-05-16 · field out · FF · popup · EV 87.1 / LA 80.02026-05-17 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 82.5 / LA -68.02026-05-19 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 87.9 / LA 20.02026-05-19 · sac fly · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.7 / LA 32.02026-05-20 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 101.4 / LA 15.02026-05-23 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 103.4 / LA 27.02026-05-23 · field out · KC · fly_ball · EV 77.3 / LA 39.02026-05-23 · field out · SL · ground_ball2026-05-23 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 107.2 / LA 16.02026-05-26 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 96.1 / LA 13.02026-05-26 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 92.3 / LA 11.02026-05-26 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 68.4 / LA -12.02026-05-27 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 103.3 / LA 15.02026-06-07 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 108.4 / LA -1.02026-06-20 · double · CH · fly_ball · EV 98.3 / LA 24.02026-06-22 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 94.1 / LA 6.02026-06-22 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 74.4 / LA 17.02026-06-24 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 92.3 / LA 56.02026-06-24 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 104.3 / LA -8.02026-06-24 · field out · CH · ground_ball2026-06-24 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 76.5 / LA -7.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Myers, Dane · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 49%49%Chase: 19%19%Whiff: 16%16%Zone contact: 87%87%Contact: 84%84%Hard hit: 36%36% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age30
Height6' 0"
Weight205 lb
Debut2023-07-04
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.050
wOBA Δ+0.098

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-1.4σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.403
xwOBA (deserved)0.355

Myers’s wOBA sits at 0.403, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.355 — a gap of 0.048, -1.4 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 155 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting22026-05-23Impact contact was the main driver
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.305 xwOBA | 11 HRProjection
2026-05-20 @ PHI0 HR | 1 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E1-2 | 2B, K, RBI
2026-04-20 @ TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E0-0
2026-04-17 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E0-1
2026-04-15 vs SF0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-0
2026-04-14 vs SF0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E0-3 | BB, K