Mithrandir Metrics
ATL 2026-07-17 Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Pitcher detail · 2026-07-17

Chris Sale

ATL · SP · throws L · age 37
Projected starter Opp K 21.8% Neutral
MatchupATL vs TEXopponent
Sample2182.0career MLB IP
PROPS 2 available BATTERS FACED 0.00 PERCENTILES 14 rows
Tonight's pitcher props
Strikeouts7.5
P 37.1
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 37.1% Market -- Gap +8.2pp
FanDuel 108 tracking Open board
Pitcher Outs17.5
P 47.0
F 47.0 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 47.0% Market 64.0% Gap +12.5pp
FanDuel -178 tracking Open board
Win Probability--
Win prob · no production board

No production board publishes this pitcher-market cell today.

Pitcher skill · percentile strip

Current season percentiles

100th = best in MLB
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.07
84
ERA2.20
94
BB%5.8%
89
K%27.6%
82
xwOBA allowed0.289
73
Barrel allowed6.2%
73 +26 vs proj
Fastball velo95.7
71
Hard-hit allowed33.7%
84
Whiff%27.1%
79
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Fastball Stuff+106
80
Mithrandir Stuff+106
84
Slider Stuff+103
55
Changeup Stuff+108
Small sample
Sinker Stuff+109
Small sample

Matchup context

cached artifacts
Projected range23.5% to 35.1%
Opponent K21.8%
Expected BF0.00
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-17
Palantir 9390 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 9390 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.012 14d stable
Valinor 3795 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.007 14d stable
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)