Mithrandir Metrics
MIA 2026-07-17 Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Pitcher detail · 2026-07-17

Sandy Alcantara

MIA · SP · throws R · age 31
Projected starter Opp K 22.1% Hitter-Friendly
MatchupMIA vs MILopponent
Sample1206.0career MLB IP
PROPS 2 available BATTERS FACED 0.00 PERCENTILES 15 rows
Tonight's pitcher props
Strikeouts4.5
P 50.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 50.0% Market -- Gap +5.0pp
FanDuel -140 tracking Open board
Pitcher Outs17.5
P 47.3
F 47.9 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 47.3% Market 61.2% Gap +9.6pp
FanDuel -158 tracking Open board
Win Probability--
Win prob · no production board

No production board publishes this pitcher-market cell today.

Pitcher skill · percentile strip

Current season percentiles

100th = best in MLB
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.24
63
ERA4.00
50
BB%5.8%
89
K%19.1%
27
xwOBA allowed0.301
65
Barrel allowed5.4%
82
Fastball velo97.3
90
Hard-hit allowed35.4%
73
Whiff%19.4%
20
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Changeup Stuff+110
95
Fastball Stuff+106
79
Mithrandir Stuff+107
90
Sinker Stuff+110
97
Slider Stuff+102
52
Cutter Stuff+102
Small sample

Matchup context

cached artifacts
Projected range15.9% to 25.2%
Opponent K22.1%
Expected BF0.00
EnvironmentHitter-Friendly
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-17
Palantir 9390 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 9390 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.012 14d stable
Valinor 3795 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.007 14d stable
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)