Mithrandir Metrics
CLE 2026-07-17 Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Pitcher detail · 2026-07-17

Gavin Williams

CLE · SP · throws R · age 27
Projected starter Opp K 24.1% Neutral
MatchupCLE vs PITopponent
Sample439.0career MLB IP
PROPS 2 available BATTERS FACED 0.00 PERCENTILES 15 rows
Tonight's pitcher props
Strikeouts6.5
P 35.0
F -- in progress
V -- in progress
INSUFFICIENT LANES
Model 35.0% Market -- Gap +22.5pp
FanDuel -156 tracking Open board
Pitcher Outs17.5
P 49.6
F 47.8 EXPERIMENTAL
V -- in progress
PARTIAL - 2 of 3 lanes
Model 49.6% Market 61.2% Gap +7.6pp
FanDuel -158 tracking Open board
Win Probability--
Win prob · no production board

No production board publishes this pitcher-market cell today.

Pitcher skill · percentile strip

Current season percentiles

100th = best in MLB
Pitching · percentile strip
WHIP1.19
71
ERA3.81
55
BB%7.6%
66
K%28.7%
87
xwOBA allowed0.324
40
Barrel allowed11.4%
8
Fastball velo96.8
84
Hard-hit allowed47.6%
5
Whiff%28.1%
85
Mithrandir+ · percentile strip
Curveball Stuff+103
68
Fastball Stuff+104
64
Mithrandir Stuff+105
79
Sinker Stuff+109
95
Slider Stuff+102
49
Cutter Stuff+106
Small sample

Matchup context

cached artifacts
Projected range20.0% to 29.8%
Opponent K24.1%
Expected BF0.00
EnvironmentNeutral
Lane calibration receipts
Lane Health 2026-07-17
Palantir 9390 props Brier 0.124 ECE 0.010 14d stable
Fangorn 9390 props Brier 0.125 ECE 0.012 14d stable
Valinor 3795 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.007 14d stable
Palantir 453 props Brier 0.245 ECE 0.004 sample building
Fangorn 18 props Brier 0.243 ECE 0.080 sample building
Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building
Palantir 3223 props Brier 0.240 ECE 0.103 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 137 props Brier 0.153 ECE 0.025 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir 328 props Brier 0.265 ECE 0.083 sample building
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)