Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 33 |
| Height | 6' 1" |
| Weight | 210 lb |
| Debut | 2012-04-28 |
Player profile / Philadelphia Phillies
Bryce Harper
1B · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 1", 210 lb · Age 33
Club Philadelphia Phillies
Position 1B
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 631 | 85 | 157 | 30 | 7 | .285 | .373 | .525 | .898 |
| 2025 | 580 | 72 | 131 | 27 | 12 | .261 | .357 | .487 | .844 |
| 2026 | 412 | 59 | 90 | 20 | 5 | .261 | .367 | .499 | .866 |
| 15 Seasons | 8077 | 1213 | 1891 | 383 | 157 | .279 | .386 | .518 | .904 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
86
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.357 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.391 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.379 |
| Observed weight | 65% |
xwOBA
0.354
0.366
0.379
0.393
0.405
wOBA
0.353
0.367
0.383
0.400
0.414
ISO
0.189
0.204
0.220
0.237
0.251
K%
18.5%
19.6%
20.8%
22.0%
23.0%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.5%
82
Exit velocity90.3
77
Hard-hit%46.7%
82
xBA0.366
87
xSLG0.679
91
xwOBA0.391
98
BB%14.4%
95
Bat speed72.7
85
K%20.2%
64
+16 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-7.0 · 1B
3
Range Runs-5.0 · 1B
9
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.6 · 1B
10
SB Success Rate50.0% · 1B
3
Sprint Speed27.3 · 1B
48
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 61.4% · rebadged research
30
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 18.4% · rebadged research
92
Correct Decisions66.5% · rebadged research
53
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
62
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.349 · borderline
1
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.285 · insufficient sample
31
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.288 · validated thin sample
29
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.336 · insufficient sample
40
Resists FastballwOBA 0.393 · validated
3
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.367 · validated
28
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
202 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.033 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.025 |
positive regression
Regression watch
Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.
Harper’s wOBA sits at 0.383, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.391 — a gap of 0.008, 0.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 416 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Contreras, Willson BOS · R | 0.72 | Sprint speedAvg exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Eldridge, Bryce SF · L | 0.70 | Max exit velocityBarrel rate | Player · Projection |
| Canzone, Dominic SEA · L | 0.67 | Strikeout rateSwing length | Player · Projection |
| Greene, Riley DET · L | 0.65 | In-zone contactWhiff rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 6 | 2026-07-16 | On-base pressure held the card together |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.358 xwOBA | 25 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs CIN0 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | K, RBI |
| 2026-04-20 @ CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | BB |
| 2026-04-17 vs ATL0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 3-4 | 3B |
| 2026-04-15 vs CHC1 HR | 1 RBI / 12 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | HR, 2 K, RBI |
| 2026-04-14 vs CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K |