Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 29 |
| Height | 6' 0" |
| Weight | 190 lb |
| Debut | 2023-07-08 |
Player profile / Seattle Mariners
Dominic Canzone
DH · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 0", 190 lb · Age 29
Club Seattle Mariners
Position DH
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 188 | 20 | 33 | 8 | 1 | .196 | .271 | .381 | .652 |
| 2025 | 269 | 30 | 73 | 11 | 3 | .300 | .358 | .481 | .839 |
| 2026 | 429 | 48 | 98 | 21 | 2 | .255 | .326 | .486 | .812 |
| 4 Seasons | 1068 | 121 | 242 | 46 | 7 | .250 | .313 | .451 | .764 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
86
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.317 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.353 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.341 |
| Observed weight | 67% |
xwOBA
0.317
0.328
0.341
0.353
0.364
wOBA
0.336
0.350
0.366
0.381
0.395
ISO
0.181
0.195
0.209
0.224
0.238
K%
19.1%
20.4%
21.9%
23.3%
24.6%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.4%
89
Exit velocity91.3
90
Hard-hit%44.5%
78
xBA0.354
85
xSLG0.635
86
xwOBA0.353
91
+20 vs proj
BB%8.4%
51
+16 vs proj
Bat speed72.8
88
K%21.4%
58
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.3 · RF
58
Arm Strength93.4 · RF
51
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
48
Range Runs0.1 · RF
46
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.4 · DH
25
SB Success Rate66.7% · DH
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.0% · rebadged research
38
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 30.3% · rebadged research
13
Correct Decisions61.3% · rebadged research
12
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline94
19
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.308 · borderline
18
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.266 · insufficient sample
81
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.252 · validated thin sample
95
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.340 · insufficient sample
23
Resists FastballwOBA 0.330 · validated
67
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.344 · validated
78
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
169 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.030 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.043 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Canzone’s wOBA sits at 0.366, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.353 — a gap of 0.013, -0.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 439 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Basallo, Samuel BAL · L | 0.76 | Ground-ball rateWalk rate | Player · Projection |
| Burleson, Alec STL · L | 0.74 | Walk rateIn-zone contact | Player · Projection |
| Contreras, Willson BOS · R | 0.73 | Sweet-spot rateHard-hit rate | Player · Projection |
| Burger, Jake TEX · R | 0.70 | Pull rateWalk rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 5 | 2026-07-28 | Impact contact was the main driver |
| Fielding | 5 | 2026-08-20 | 5 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +6.044 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.323 xwOBA | 15 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 @ HOU0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 2-5 | 2B, K |
| 2026-05-20 vs CWS0 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | 2B, HBP, K |
| 2026-04-20 vs ATH1 HR | 1 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | HR, 2B, RBI |
| 2026-04-17 vs TEX0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-2 | CS |
| 2026-04-15 @ SD0 HR | 2 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2B, BB, K |