Reference layer
Current snapshot
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Player profile / SEA
Dominic Canzone
Player · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 0", 190 lb · Age 29
Club SEA
Position --
Roster profile
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 188 | 20 | 33 | 8 | 1 | .196 | .271 | .381 | .652 |
| 2025 | 269 | 30 | 73 | 11 | 3 | .300 | .358 | .481 | .839 |
| 2026 | 533 | 60 | 126 | 23 | 2 | .264 | .336 | .484 | .820 |
| 4 Seasons | 1172 | 133 | 270 | 48 | 7 | .254 | .319 | .453 | .772 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
88
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.317 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.359 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.347 |
| Observed weight | 71% |
xwOBA
0.325
0.335
0.347
0.358
0.368
wOBA
0.342
0.354
0.368
0.382
0.394
ISO
0.182
0.194
0.208
0.221
0.233
K%
18.5%
19.7%
21.0%
22.3%
23.4%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.6%
92
Exit velocity91.3
90
Hard-hit%44.8%
80
xBA0.354
85
xSLG0.637
88
xwOBA0.359
94
+22 vs proj
BB%8.8%
54
+19 vs proj
Bat speed72.6
85
K%20.3%
66
+18 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.6 · RF
35
Arm Strength93.4 · RF
49
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
50
Range Runs0.2 · RF
48
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.7 · DH
32
Sprint Speed26.4 · DH
24
SB Success Rate66.7% · DH
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.4% · rebadged research
39
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 30.3% · rebadged research
11
Correct Decisions61.9% · rebadged research
14
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline94
20
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.329 · borderline
6
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.267 · insufficient sample
84
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.259 · validated thin sample
90
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.336 · insufficient sample
26
Resists FastballwOBA 0.332 · validated
61
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.356 · validated
49
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
236 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.036 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.045 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Canzone’s wOBA sits at 0.368, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.359 — a gap of 0.009, -0.4 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 548 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burleson, Alec STL · L | 0.77 | Ground-ball rateFly-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| García Jr., Luis WSH · L | 0.74 | Avg exit velocityGround-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Baldwin, Drake ATL · L | 0.70 | Barrel rateGround-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Contreras, Willson BOS · R | 0.69 | Hard-hit rateFly-ball rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 6 | 2026-09-11 | Impact contact was the main driver |
| Fielding | 6 | 2026-09-05 | 2 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +2.945 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.325 xwOBA | 15 HR | Projection |