Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 31 |
| Height | 6' 0" |
| Weight | 202 lb |
| Debut | 2017-09-05 |
Player profile / Seattle Mariners
J. P. Crawford
SS · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 0", 202 lb · Age 31
Club Seattle Mariners
Position SS
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 451 | 55 | 79 | 9 | 5 | .202 | .304 | .321 | .625 |
| 2025 | 654 | 69 | 151 | 12 | 8 | .265 | .352 | .370 | .722 |
| 2026 | 339 | 38 | 62 | 10 | 1 | .216 | .333 | .355 | .688 |
| 10 Seasons | 4225 | 503 | 899 | 77 | 36 | .246 | .340 | .368 | .708 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
49
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.326 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.330 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.328 |
| Observed weight | 60% |
xwOBA
0.302
0.314
0.328
0.343
0.355
wOBA
0.283
0.298
0.315
0.332
0.348
ISO
0.114
0.128
0.144
0.160
0.175
K%
17.7%
18.9%
20.3%
21.6%
22.9%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.5%
42
Exit velocity87.8
46
Hard-hit%36.3%
36
xBA0.322
51
xSLG0.496
45
xwOBA0.330
72
BB%13.4%
91
Bat speed69.4
47
K%20.6%
61
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.2 · SS
84
Arm Strength81.9 · SS
13
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · SS
28
Range Runs-7.1 · SS
3
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.8 · SS
14
SB Success Rate0.0% · SS
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 76.6% · rebadged research
96
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.5% · rebadged research
15
Correct Decisions68.4% · rebadged research
72
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline107
80
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.263 · borderline
91
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.283 · insufficient sample
38
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.292 · validated thin sample
20
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.282 · insufficient sample
100
Resists FastballwOBA 0.343 · validated
39
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.375 · validated
16
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
154 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.003 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.018 |
positive regression
Regression watch
Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.
Crawford’s wOBA sits at 0.315, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.330 — a gap of 0.015, 0.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 335 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly, Carson CHC · R | 0.71 | Isolated powerSprint speed | Player · Projection |
| Caratini, Victor MIN · L | 0.69 | Bat speedStrikeout rate | Player · Projection |
| Cortes, Carlos ATH · L | 0.67 | xwOBA on contactIsolated power | Player · Projection |
| Julien, Edouard COL · L | 0.61 | Fly-ball rateBarrel rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 6 | 2026-05-12 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.333 xwOBA | 14 HR | Projection |
| 2026-04-20 vs ATH0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | BB |
| 2026-04-17 vs TEX0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | K |
| 2026-04-14 @ SD0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | HBP |
| 2026-04-13 vs HOU0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 |
| 2026-04-12 vs HOU0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 | 3 BB, R |