Mithrandir Metrics

Traditional line

Season by season

3D Swing Sim Projections

	PA	R	H	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
2024	554	64	130	19	1	.262	.315	.446	.761
2025	682	72	164	32	1	.264	.323	.475	.798
2026	401	41	84	9	5	.241	.329	.375	.704
5 Seasons	2195	226	511	79	8	.261	.330	.442	.772

At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-03

58

Offense
percentile

Offense9 metrics

61

Defense2 metrics

51

Speed2 metrics

14

Plate skills10 metrics

55

Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-03

xwOBA preseason	0.336
xwOBA current pace	0.325
xwOBA rolling p50	0.329
Observed weight	65%

xwOBA

0.307 0.318 0.329 0.341 0.351

wOBA

0.299 0.313 0.329 0.345 0.359

ISO

0.126 0.138 0.151 0.164 0.176

K%

13.2% 14.2% 15.3% 16.4% 17.4%

Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-03

Hitting · percentile strip

Barrel%5.4%

57 -16 vs proj

Exit velocity89.6

73

Hard-hit%41.4%

63

xBA0.304

33

xSLG0.498

49

xwOBA0.325

73

BB%11.0%

79 +33 vs proj

Bat speed68.6

36

K%15.4%

88

Defense · percentile strip

Outs Above Avg0.0 · 1B

46

Range Runs0.1 · 1B

56

Baserunning · percentile strip

Base Running Runs-1.6 · 1B

16

Sprint Speed25.7 · 1B

12

SB Success Rate100.0% · 1B

Small sample

Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-03

Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.3% · rebadged research

56

Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.1% · rebadged research

70

Correct Decisions66.6% · rebadged research

56

Resists FastballwOBA 0.331 · validated

65

SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103

64

Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.273 · borderline

83

Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.293 · insufficient sample

16

Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.286 · validated thin sample

30

Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.349 · insufficient sample

14

Resists SinkerwOBA 0.330 · validated

93

Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots

Hitter optimization

Swing path and decision map

Vinnie Pasquantino's production (76) outpaces the tools grade (67) by 9 points. Primary finding: high exit velocity but low barrel rate — bat-to-ball efficiency is leaving power on the table. Also flagged: Launch Angle Too High.

See full optimization →

See the swing in 3D →

Launch Angle Too High

-12.0° Current 32° → Target 20°

Flatten swing plane to bring average LA into the 15-22° window

Solid = current angle. Dotted = recommended window.

Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

221 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.1σ gap

wOBA (actual)0.329

xwOBA (deserved)0.325

Pasquantino’s wOBA sits at 0.329, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.325 — a gap of 0.004, -0.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 410 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

Closest profiles

Full constellation →

Player	Similarity	Agrees on	Open
Tucker, Kyle LAD · L	0.77	xwOBA on contactBat speed	Player · Projection
Bregman, Alex CHC · R	0.74	Strikeout rateIn-zone contact	Player · Projection
Rutschman, Adley BAL · L	0.70	Whiff rateHard-hit rate	Player · Projection
Smith, Dominic ATL · L	0.70	Max exit velocityStrikeout rate	Player · Projection

Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

Module	Cards	Latest	Signal
Hitting	4	2026-08-28	Disciplined swing decisions drove the score
Fielding	9	2026-08-30	2 chances \| 0 difficult plays \| Run Exp +0.275

Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.333 xwOBA \| 23 HR	Projection
2026-04-20 vs BAL0 HR \| 0 RBI / 9 Ch \| 0 E	0-4 \| 2 BB, K, R
2026-04-17 @ NYY1 HR \| 2 RBI / 7 Ch \| 0 E	2-4 \| HR, 2 RBI, R
2026-04-15 @ DET0 HR \| 0 RBI / 5 Ch \| 0 E	1-3 \| 3B, BB
2026-04-14 @ DET0 HR \| 0 RBI / 13 Ch \| 0 E	0-4 \| K, R
2026-04-12 vs CWS0 HR \| 1 RBI / 9 Ch \| 0 E	0-4 \| BB, K, RBI

Age	28
Height	6' 3"
Weight	245 lb
Debut	2022-06-28

xwOBA Δ	-0.008
wOBA Δ	-0.004

Hitter Projections 20260.333 xwOBA \| 23 HR	Projection
2026-04-20 vs BAL0 HR \| 0 RBI / 9 Ch \| 0 E	0-4 \| 2 BB, K, R
2026-04-17 @ NYY1 HR \| 2 RBI / 7 Ch \| 0 E	2-4 \| HR, 2 RBI, R
2026-04-15 @ DET0 HR \| 0 RBI / 5 Ch \| 0 E	1-3 \| 3B, BB
2026-04-14 @ DET0 HR \| 0 RBI / 13 Ch \| 0 E	0-4 \| K, R
2026-04-12 vs CWS0 HR \| 1 RBI / 9 Ch \| 0 E	0-4 \| BB, K, RBI

Vinnie Pasquantino

Season by season

Season percentile report

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Current traits vs projection tick

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

xwOBA snapshot line

Swing path and decision map

Field-coordinate spray profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Current snapshot

Delta / regression

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

Closest profiles

Module shelf

Available detail