Mithrandir Metrics

Traditional line

Season by season

3D Swing Sim Projections

	PA	R	H	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
2024	522	50	109	20	3	.229	.289	.396	.685
2025	470	57	101	20	1	.240	.307	.431	.738
2026	468	58	101	15	1	.240	.302	.413	.715
11 Seasons	5244	633	1236	133	87	.265	.334	.417	.751

At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-10-21

65

Offense
percentile

Offense9 metrics

56

Defense1 metrics

35

Speed2 metrics

23

Plate skills10 metrics

46

Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-10-21

Hitting · percentile strip

Barrel%6.0%

68

Exit velocity88.8

61

Hard-hit%45.5%

83

xBA0.328

62

xSLG0.544

64

xwOBA0.303

52

BB%8.4%

50

Bat speed67.9

29

K%25.3%

37

Defense · percentile strip

Arm Runs-0.8 · LF

Small sample

Outs Above Avg-0.5 · LF

35 Regression applied

Range Runs-0.8 · LF

Small sample

Baserunning · percentile strip

Base Running Runs-1.8 · DH

20

Sprint Speed26.6 · DH

27

Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-10-21

Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.4% · rebadged research

26

Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.4% · rebadged research

85

Correct Decisions65.1% · rebadged research

39

SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99

44

Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.293 · borderline

39

Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.305 · insufficient sample

7

Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.256 · validated thin sample

92

Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.336 · insufficient sample

24

Resists FastballwOBA 0.337 · validated

50

Resists SinkerwOBA 0.354 · validated

53

Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots

Hitter optimization

Swing path and decision map

Andrew Benintendi's tools (50) outpace production (29) by 21 points. Primary finding: expanding the zone too aggressively — generating weak contact and whiffs on pitcher's pitches.

See full optimization →

See the swing in 3D →

Chase Rate Problem

Hold Hold Hold Hold Attack Hold Hold Hold Hold

Pitch recognition training and two-strike approach adjustment

Protected takes / Chase risk

Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

224 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-1.2σ gap

wOBA (actual)0.335

xwOBA (deserved)0.303

Benintendi’s wOBA sits at 0.335, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.303 — a gap of 0.032, -1.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 499 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

Closest profiles

Full constellation →

Player	Similarity	Agrees on	Open
Manzardo, Kyle CLE · L	0.74	Ground-ball rateBat speed	Player · Projection
Lowe, Brandon PIT · L	0.67	Hard-hit rateSwing length	Player · Projection
Wells, Austin NYY · L	0.63	Avg exit velocityFly-ball rate	Player · Projection
Neto, Zach LAA · R	0.61	Max exit velocitySwing length	Player · Projection

Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

Module	Cards	Latest	Signal
Hitting	5	2026-10-10	Swing decisions lagged behind the production line

Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.306 xwOBA \| 15 HR	Projection
2026-08-15 @ DET0 HR \| 1 RBI / 0 Ch \| 0 E	2-4 \| RBI, R
2026-05-20 @ SEA0 HR \| 1 RBI / 0 Ch \| 0 E	1-4 \| K, RBI
2026-04-17 @ ATH0 HR \| 1 RBI / 0 Ch \| 0 E	3-6 \| 2 2B, K, RBI
2026-04-15 vs TB0 HR \| 0 RBI / 2 Ch \| 0 E	1-5 \| 3B, K
2026-04-14 vs TB0 HR \| 0 RBI / 1 Ch \| 0 E	0-1 \| BB, K

Age	32
Height	5' 9"
Weight	185 lb
Debut	2016-08-02

xwOBA Δ	--
wOBA Δ	--

Hitter Projections 20260.306 xwOBA \| 15 HR	Projection
2026-08-15 @ DET0 HR \| 1 RBI / 0 Ch \| 0 E	2-4 \| RBI, R
2026-05-20 @ SEA0 HR \| 1 RBI / 0 Ch \| 0 E	1-4 \| K, RBI
2026-04-17 @ ATH0 HR \| 1 RBI / 0 Ch \| 0 E	3-6 \| 2 2B, K, RBI
2026-04-15 vs TB0 HR \| 0 RBI / 2 Ch \| 0 E	1-5 \| 3B, K
2026-04-14 vs TB0 HR \| 0 RBI / 1 Ch \| 0 E	0-1 \| BB, K

Andrew Benintendi

Season by season

Season percentile report

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Current traits vs projection tick

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

xwOBA snapshot line

Swing path and decision map

Field-coordinate spray profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Current snapshot

Delta / regression

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

Closest profiles

Module shelf

Available detail