Mithrandir Metrics
Player New York Yankees Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / New York Yankees

Austin Wells

C · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 1", 220 lb · Age 27

Cards
2
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club New York Yankees Position C Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
20244144281131.229.322.395.717
20254485188215.219.275.436.711
2026222193061.153.244.255.499
4 Seasons1159120215447.211.285.391.676
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
46
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
48
Defense4 metrics
50
Speed1 metrics
13
Plate skills10 metrics
71
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-18
xwOBA preseason0.312
xwOBA current pace0.285
xwOBA rolling p500.299
Observed weight51%
xwOBA
0.268 0.283 0.299 0.314 0.329
wOBA
0.212 0.230 0.249 0.268 0.285
ISO
0.100 0.117 0.135 0.153 0.169
K%
22.8% 24.3% 25.9% 27.6% 29.1%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.3%
40 -24 vs proj
Exit velocity88.3
51
Hard-hit%44.3%
73
xBA0.303
29
xSLG0.518
53
xwOBA0.285
27 -27 vs proj
BB%10.8%
74 +26 vs proj
Bat speed70.5
64
K%27.7%
23 -23 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.3 · C
70
Catcher Throwing-2.1 · C
7
Framing Runs4.0 · C
92
Pop Time2.0 · C
29
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.7 · C
13
SB Success Rate100.0% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-18
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.8% · rebadged research
62
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.5% · rebadged research
58
Correct Decisions68.0% · rebadged research
69
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.247 · borderline
99
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.257 · insufficient sample
96
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.265 · validated thin sample
88
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.337 · insufficient sample
37
Resists FastballwOBA 0.340 · validated
45
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.335 · validated
93
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
65
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Wells, Austin · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.285 2026-07-07: 0.2792026-07-08: 0.2782026-07-09: 0.2782026-07-10: 0.2772026-07-11: 0.2792026-07-12: 0.2842026-07-13: 0.2832026-07-14: 0.2852026-07-15: 0.2852026-07-16: 0.2852026-07-17: 0.2852026-07-18: 0.285 2026-07-07 2026-07-18 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

105 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Wells, Austin · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 13% of plotted batted ballsPull 13%Center field third: 66% of plotted batted ballsCenter 66%Right field third: 21% of plotted batted ballsOppo 21% LF 318 CF 408 RF 314 2026-03-18 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 90.1 / LA 38.02026-03-18 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 106.6 / LA -33.02026-03-21 · double · SI · fly_ball · EV 96.7 / LA 26.02026-03-21 · sac bunt · SI · ground_ball · EV 45.7 / LA -43.02026-03-23 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 106.3 / LA 19.02026-03-23 · grounded into double play · ST · ground_ball · EV 76.4 / LA -4.02026-03-25 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 93.7 / LA 26.02026-03-25 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.8 / LA -1.02026-03-25 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 88.2 / LA 15.02026-03-27 · grounded into double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 104.4 / LA 5.02026-03-27 · fielders choice out · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.2 / LA -9.02026-03-27 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 78.3 / LA -2.02026-03-28 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 90.6 / LA 55.02026-03-30 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 56.7 / LA -24.02026-04-01 · grounded into double play · KC · ground_ball · EV 101.4 / LA -22.02026-04-01 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 106.5 / LA -7.02026-04-03 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 107.0 / LA 50.02026-04-04 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 90.8 / LA 19.02026-04-04 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 101.1 / LA 12.02026-04-05 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 68.7 / LA -45.02026-04-05 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 99.2 / LA 28.02026-04-07 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 110.5 / LA 13.02026-04-07 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 81.9 / LA -2.02026-04-09 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.9 / LA 33.02026-04-09 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 96.9 / LA 1.02026-04-10 · field out · FF · popup · EV 98.1 / LA 59.02026-04-10 · field out · SI · popup · EV 70.0 / LA 56.02026-04-10 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 98.7 / LA 24.02026-04-11 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 87.4 / LA 1.02026-04-11 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 84.2 / LA 60.02026-04-11 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 93.9 / LA -23.02026-04-11 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.5 / LA 26.02026-04-12 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 106.6 / LA 14.02026-04-13 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 78.5 / LA 49.02026-04-13 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 95.1 / LA 55.02026-04-13 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 99.9 / LA -7.02026-04-14 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 106.2 / LA 12.02026-04-14 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 96.1 / LA -2.02026-04-14 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 93.5 / LA -5.02026-04-15 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 28.6 / LA -18.02026-04-15 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 53.0 / LA -62.02026-04-17 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 83.3 / LA 2.02026-04-17 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 101.4 / LA 35.02026-04-19 · sac fly · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.2 / LA 26.02026-04-19 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 86.6 / LA 55.02026-04-21 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 97.8 / LA 17.02026-04-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · LA -53.02026-04-21 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 98.2 / LA 36.02026-04-21 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 85.1 / LA 18.02026-04-22 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.2 / LA -11.02026-04-22 · field out · CU · popup · EV 75.0 / LA 86.02026-04-23 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.3 / LA 41.02026-04-23 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 85.1 / LA 55.02026-04-23 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 76.9 / LA -39.02026-04-25 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 85.7 / LA 3.02026-04-25 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.6 / LA 33.02026-04-25 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.4 / LA -3.02026-04-27 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 58.9 / LA -9.02026-04-27 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 85.4 / LA 24.02026-04-28 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.1 / LA 37.02026-04-28 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 107.3 / LA 6.02026-04-28 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.5 / LA 31.02026-05-01 · field out · FF · popup · EV 93.3 / LA 71.02026-05-01 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 68.4 / LA 30.02026-05-01 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.0 / LA -8.02026-05-03 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.8 / LA -17.02026-05-03 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.7 / LA -3.02026-05-03 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.9 / LA 32.02026-05-04 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.0 / LA 27.02026-05-05 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 101.7 / LA 39.02026-05-05 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 65.7 / LA 7.02026-05-06 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 79.3 / LA 19.02026-05-06 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 95.6 / LA 38.02026-05-09 · field out · FF · popup · EV 88.8 / LA 73.02026-05-09 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 58.7 / LA 4.02026-05-11 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 89.4 / LA -20.02026-05-11 · field out · FF · popup · EV 88.4 / LA 75.02026-05-11 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 87.3 / LA 32.02026-05-12 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 106.5 / LA 10.02026-05-12 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 70.1 / LA 42.02026-05-15 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.0 / LA 38.02026-05-15 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 100.1 / LA 29.02026-05-16 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 105.4 / LA 5.02026-05-17 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 81.3 / LA -1.02026-05-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 68.8 / LA -60.02026-05-20 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 61.8 / LA -18.02026-05-22 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 99.7 / LA 15.02026-05-22 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 106.0 / LA 23.02026-05-22 · field out · CH · popup · EV 67.8 / LA 53.02026-05-24 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 95.9 / LA 51.02026-05-24 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 84.1 / LA -24.02026-05-24 · field out · CU · popup · EV 81.0 / LA 74.02026-05-26 · single · EP · line_drive · EV 92.0 / LA 12.02026-05-26 · single · FF · fly_ball · EV 70.6 / LA 31.02026-05-26 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 96.9 / LA 11.02026-05-26 · field out · SL · popup · EV 86.5 / LA 68.02026-05-27 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 58.7 / LA 12.02026-05-27 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 100.0 / LA 18.02026-05-31 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.8 / LA 29.02026-06-05 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 74.1 / LA 45.02026-06-05 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 76.9 / LA 28.02026-06-22 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.1 / LA 4.02026-06-24 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 90.5 / LA -16.02026-06-24 · field out · FF · popup · EV 65.8 / LA 56.02026-06-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 99.4 / LA 9.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Wells, Austin · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 47%47%Chase: 30%30%Whiff: 29%29%Zone contact: 80%80%Contact: 71%71%Hard hit: 44%44% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Wells, Austin · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 73.5 mph Hard swing rate 26% Whiff / swing 24% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age27
Height6' 1"
Weight220 lb
Debut2023-09-01
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.026
wOBA Δ-0.062

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

1.2σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.249
xwOBA (deserved)0.285

Wells’s wOBA sits at 0.249, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.285 — a gap of 0.037, 1.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 231 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

Closest profiles

Full constellation →
PlayerSimilarityAgrees onOpen
Manzardo, Kyle CLE · L 0.76 Whiff rateChase rate Player · Projection
Gorman, Nolan STL · L 0.68 Hard-hit rateSwing length Player · Projection
Schneemann, Daniel CLE · L 0.63 Whiff rateAvg exit velocity Player · Projection
Tucker, Kyle LAD · L 0.63 Barrel rateGround-ball rate Player · Projection

Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting22026-04-28Impact contact was the main driver
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.311 xwOBA | 20 HRProjection
2026-05-20 vs TOR0 HR | 0 RBI / 12 Ch | 0 E0-3 | 2 K
2026-04-17 vs KC0 HR | 0 RBI / 10 Ch | 0 E0-2 | BB
2026-04-15 vs LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E1-2 | 2 BB, R
2026-04-14 vs LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 12 Ch | 0 E1-3
2026-04-13 vs LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E1-3 | 2 BB