Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 30 |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Weight | 191 lb |
| Debut | 2025-03-30 |
Player profile / Pittsburgh Pirates
Jake Mangum
CF · Bats/Throws S/L · 5' 11", 191 lb · Age 30
Club Pittsburgh Pirates
Position CF
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 428 | 37 | 120 | 3 | 27 | .296 | .330 | .368 | .698 |
| 2026 | 253 | 35 | 71 | 2 | 18 | .310 | .364 | .389 | .753 |
| 2 Seasons | 681 | 72 | 191 | 5 | 45 | .301 | .343 | .375 | .718 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
19
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.274 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.291 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.284 |
| Observed weight | 55% |
xwOBA
0.258
0.270
0.284
0.297
0.309
wOBA
0.337
0.355
0.374
0.394
0.412
ISO
0.061
0.076
0.093
0.109
0.124
K%
13.8%
15.2%
16.9%
18.5%
20.0%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.1%
5
Exit velocity82.3
5
Hard-hit%27.1%
10
-19 vs proj
xBA0.319
48
xSLG0.407
14
xwOBA0.291
33
BB%5.2%
14
Bat speed64.2
4
K%17.8%
75
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.1 · CF
50
Arm Strength98.5 · CF
89
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · CF
11
Range Runs0.5 · CF
50
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.4 · CF
79
Bolts28.0 · CF
88
SB Success Rate76.9% · CF
39
Sprint Speed29.3 · CF
94
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 47.8% · rebadged research
4
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.5% · rebadged research
57
Correct Decisions57.3% · rebadged research
5
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.296 · borderline
32
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.285 · insufficient sample
30
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.274 · validated thin sample
69
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.330 · insufficient sample
59
Resists FastballwOBA 0.361 · validated
16
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.329 · validated
95
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline85
7
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
110 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.001 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.084 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Mangum’s wOBA sits at 0.374, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.291 — a gap of 0.083, -2.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 269 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crawford, Justin PHI · L | 0.58 | Pull ratexwOBA on contact | Player · Projection |
| Simpson, Chandler TB · L | 0.40 | Ground-ball rateFly-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Wilson, Jacob ATH · R | 0.40 | Barrel ratePull rate | Player · Projection |
| Lukes, Nathan TOR · L | 0.37 | xwOBA on contactBarrel rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet. | |||
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.290 xwOBA | 8 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 @ STL0 HR | 1 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 2-5 | RBI, R |
| 2026-04-14 vs WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-2 |
| 2026-04-13 vs WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | BB, 2 R |
| 2026-04-11 @ CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 | K |
| 2026-04-08 vs SD0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB, K |