Mithrandir Metrics
Player Toronto Blue Jays Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Toronto Blue Jays

Nathan Lukes

RF profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
4
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Toronto Blue Jays Position RF Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
xwOBA preseason0.309
xwOBA current pace0.336
xwOBA rolling p500.317
Observed weight31%
xwOBA
0.288 0.302 0.317 0.332 0.346
wOBA
0.369 0.400 0.434 0.468 0.498
ISO
0.104 0.124 0.146 0.167 0.187
K%
12.0% 13.4% 15.1% 16.7% 18.2%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%6.2%
22 -20 vs proj
Barrel%1.0%
6 -17 vs proj
Bat speed66.4
16
Exit velocity86.9
31
Hard-hit%38.4%
43
K%14.4%
88
xBA0.372
86
xSLG0.481
40
xwOBA0.336
72 +19 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength92.4 · RF
53
Outs Above Avg1.0 · RF
80
Arm Runs0.9 · RF
Limited
Range Runs0.4 · RF
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.1 · RF
45
SB Success Rate0.0% · RF
Limited
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-01
Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.5% · rebadged research
22
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 33.1% · rebadged research
6
Correct Decisions62.8% · rebadged research
19
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.290 · borderline
35
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.282 · insufficient sample
36
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.285 · validated thin sample
25
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.330 · insufficient sample
57
Resists FastballwOBA 0.353 · validated
29
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.337 · validated
88
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline89
9
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Lukes, Nathan · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 2026-05-17: 0.2812026-05-19: 0.2812026-05-21: 0.2812026-05-23: 0.2812026-05-24: 0.2812026-05-25: 0.2812026-05-26: 0.3092026-05-28: 0.3112026-05-29: 0.3102026-05-30: 0.3112026-05-31: 0.3142026-06-01: 0.336 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Lukes, Nathan · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 50%50%Chase: 37%37%Whiff: 13%13%Zone contact: 87%87%Contact: 87%87%Hard hit: 38%38% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics SWING PATH Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Swing Path Lukes, Nathan · aggregate bat-tracking arc Swing tilt 32.7° Length 6.4 ft Ideal path 40% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics ATTACK ANGLE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Attack Angle Lukes, Nathan · aggregate attack vector Attack angle 5.3° Direction +6.1° MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Lukes, Nathan · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 67.6 mph Hard swing rate 1% Whiff / swing 15% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age31
Height5' 11"
Weight180 lb
Debut2023-03-30
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.024
wOBA Δ+0.122
Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting42025-10-31Disciplined swing decisions drove the score
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.312 xwOBA | 11 HRProjection
2026-04-20 @ LAA0 HR | 2 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E1-2 | 2 RBI
2026-04-17 @ AZ0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E1-1
2026-04-15 @ MIL0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E0-3
2026-04-14 @ MIL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-2 | K
2026-04-12 vs MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E0-4 | K