Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 32 |
| Height | 5' 10" |
| Weight | 215 lb |
| Debut | 2019-04-26 |
Player profile / San Diego Padres
Ty France
1B · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 10", 215 lb · Age 32
Club San Diego Padres
Position 1B
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 535 | 46 | 112 | 13 | 1 | .234 | .305 | .365 | .670 |
| 2025 | 490 | 50 | 114 | 7 | 1 | .257 | .320 | .360 | .680 |
| 2026 | 243 | 28 | 60 | 14 | 1 | .275 | .335 | .537 | .872 |
| 8 Seasons | 3552 | 392 | 836 | 95 | 4 | .263 | .334 | .410 | .744 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
76
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.319 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.328 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.324 |
| Observed weight | 53% |
xwOBA
0.299
0.311
0.324
0.338
0.350
wOBA
0.353
0.372
0.392
0.413
0.432
ISO
0.164
0.179
0.196
0.213
0.228
K%
18.7%
19.9%
21.3%
22.7%
24.0%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.9%
85
+39 vs proj
Exit velocity91.1
87
Hard-hit%46.2%
80
+22 vs proj
xBA0.330
59
xSLG0.598
76
xwOBA0.328
71
BB%5.1%
14
Bat speed70.1
56
K%22.5%
49
-22 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength77.2 · 1B
1
Outs Above Avg6.0 · 1B
93
Range Runs4.7 · 1B
88
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed24.9 · 1B
4
SB Success Rate0.0% · 1B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 61.6% · rebadged research
30
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.3% · rebadged research
83
Correct Decisions67.5% · rebadged research
63
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.311 · borderline
11
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.283 · insufficient sample
38
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.311 · validated thin sample
5
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.324 · insufficient sample
74
Resists FastballwOBA 0.352 · validated
25
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.356 · validated
62
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
49
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
112 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.014 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.078 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
France’s wOBA sits at 0.392, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.328 — a gap of 0.064, -2.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 253 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goldschmidt, Paul NYY · R | 0.73 | Barrel rateWhiff rate | Player · Projection |
| O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L | 0.66 | Oppo rateSweet-spot rate | Player · Projection |
| Pederson, Joc TEX · L | 0.66 | Sprint speedSwing length | Player · Projection |
| Walker, Christian HOU · R | 0.66 | Swing lengthStrikeout rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 5 | 2026-07-18 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.314 xwOBA | 10 HR | Projection |
| 2026-04-17 @ LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 |
| 2026-04-15 vs SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | K, R |
| 2026-04-14 vs SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 9 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 |
| 2026-04-12 vs COL1 HR | 1 RBI / 9 Ch | 0 E | 3-3 | HR, 2B, HBP |
| 2026-04-09 vs COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB |