Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 27 |
| Height | 5' 10" |
| Weight | 185 lb |
| Debut | 2024-03-30 |
Player profile / Minnesota Twins
Austin Martin
RF · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 10", 185 lb · Age 27
Club Minnesota Twins
Position RF
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 257 | 41 | 59 | 1 | 7 | .253 | .318 | .352 | .670 |
| 2025 | 181 | 22 | 44 | 1 | 11 | .282 | .374 | .365 | .739 |
| 2026 | 274 | 34 | 57 | 2 | 10 | .248 | .361 | .326 | .687 |
| 3 Seasons | 712 | 97 | 160 | 4 | 28 | .258 | .349 | .346 | .695 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
28
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.315 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.317 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.316 |
| Observed weight | 56% |
xwOBA
0.289
0.302
0.316
0.330
0.343
wOBA
0.321
0.339
0.358
0.377
0.394
ISO
0.079
0.093
0.109
0.124
0.138
K%
14.2%
15.5%
17.0%
18.5%
19.8%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.4%
7
Exit velocity86.4
29
Hard-hit%27.5%
11
-21 vs proj
xBA0.314
40
xSLG0.419
18
xwOBA0.317
61
BB%13.7%
93
+45 vs proj
Bat speed65.8
10
K%17.6%
76
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.8 · RF
76
Arm Strength92.1 · RF
44
Outs Above Avg1.0 · RF
80
Range Runs1.2 · RF
63
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.8 · RF
19
SB Success Rate72.7% · RF
29
Sprint Speed27.7 · RF
58
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 80.0% · rebadged research
98
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.3% · rebadged research
59
Correct Decisions74.2% · rebadged research
97
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline114
97
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.310 · borderline
13
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.290 · insufficient sample
18
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.266 · validated thin sample
87
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.343 · insufficient sample
23
Resists FastballwOBA 0.347 · validated
33
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.350 · validated
75
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
152 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.002 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.039 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Martin’s wOBA sits at 0.358, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.317 — a gap of 0.041, -1.4 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 284 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Edwards, Xavier MIA · L | 0.64 | Bat speedHard-hit rate | Player · Projection |
| Marsee, Jakob MIA · L | 0.62 | xwOBA on contactOppo rate | Player · Projection |
| Meidroth, Chase CWS · R | 0.61 | Swing lengthAvg exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Friedl, TJ CIN · L | 0.59 | Bat speedIn-zone contact | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 2 | 2026-04-17 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.318 xwOBA | 5 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs HOU0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-17 vs CIN0 HR | 1 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-2 | BB, RBI |
| 2026-04-15 vs BOS1 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | HR, BB, K |
| 2026-04-13 vs BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2B, BB, K |
| 2026-04-12 @ TOR0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-0 |