Reference layer
Current snapshot
| MLB bio context is unavailable. |
Player profile / MIN
Austin Martin
Player · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 10", 185 lb · Age 27
Club MIN
Position --
Roster profile
Status IL-10
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 257 | 41 | 59 | 1 | 7 | .253 | .318 | .352 | .670 |
| 2025 | 181 | 22 | 44 | 1 | 11 | .282 | .374 | .365 | .739 |
| 2026 | 335 | 41 | 68 | 3 | 12 | .241 | .352 | .333 | .685 |
| 3 Seasons | 773 | 104 | 171 | 5 | 30 | .255 | .346 | .347 | .693 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
27
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.0%
13
Exit velocity86.0
28
Hard-hit%28.9%
14
xBA0.305
34
xSLG0.414
18
xwOBA0.311
57
BB%13.2%
92
Bat speed65.5
9
K%17.5%
80
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.4 · RF
82
Arm Strength92.1 · RF
40
Outs Above Avg1.0 · RF
80
Range Runs0.9 · RF
58
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.1 · RF
40
SB Success Rate73.3% · RF
30
Sprint Speed27.8 · RF
60
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 78.3% · rebadged research
97
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.6% · rebadged research
56
Correct Decisions72.9% · rebadged research
95
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline113
95
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.308 · borderline
19
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.292 · insufficient sample
16
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.256 · validated thin sample
92
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.329 · insufficient sample
46
Resists FastballwOBA 0.348 · validated
30
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.347 · validated
73
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
167 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Martin’s wOBA sits at 0.350, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.311 — a gap of 0.039, -1.4 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 348 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Edwards, Xavier MIA · L | 0.70 | Hard-hit rateBat speed | Player · Projection |
| Antonacci, Sam CWS · L | 0.67 | Oppo ratePull rate | Player · Projection |
| Marsee, Jakob MIA · L | 0.65 | Barrel rateFly-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Meidroth, Chase CWS · R | 0.65 | Avg exit velocitySwing length | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 3 | 2026-08-10 | Impact contact was the main driver |
| Fielding | 5 | 2026-08-15 | 10 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +4.665 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| No projection links or recent game log rows are available yet. |