Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 28 |
| Height | 6' 2" |
| Weight | 215 lb |
| Debut | 2022-06-13 |
Player profile / Miami Marlins
Kyle Stowers
LF · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 2", 215 lb · Age 28
Club Miami Marlins
Position LF
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 209 | 15 | 40 | 3 | 0 | .208 | .268 | .333 | .601 |
| 2025 | 457 | 61 | 115 | 25 | 5 | .288 | .368 | .544 | .912 |
| 2026 | 309 | 36 | 64 | 12 | 1 | .235 | .318 | .449 | .767 |
| 5 Seasons | 1106 | 124 | 244 | 43 | 6 | .248 | .323 | .450 | .773 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
86
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.320 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.330 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.326 |
| Observed weight | 58% |
xwOBA
0.300
0.312
0.326
0.339
0.352
wOBA
0.316
0.332
0.350
0.369
0.385
ISO
0.169
0.184
0.201
0.217
0.232
K%
26.3%
27.7%
29.3%
30.8%
32.3%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.8%
76
Exit velocity91.8
91
Hard-hit%55.0%
98
+15 vs proj
xBA0.370
88
xSLG0.674
90
xwOBA0.330
72
BB%9.0%
55
Bat speed72.9
88
K%31.0%
13
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.1 · LF
49
Arm Strength93.9 · LF
60
Outs Above Avg0.0 · LF
46
Range Runs1.2 · LF
63
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.7 · LF
63
Sprint Speed26.5 · LF
27
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.9% · rebadged research
23
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 19.7% · rebadged research
89
Correct Decisions66.1% · rebadged research
51
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.299 · borderline
26
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.303 · insufficient sample
7
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.280 · validated thin sample
48
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.335 · insufficient sample
40
Resists FastballwOBA 0.287 · validated
100
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.366 · validated
29
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
49
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
112 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.007 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.028 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Stowers’s wOBA sits at 0.350, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.330 — a gap of 0.020, -0.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 310 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lowe, Brandon PIT · L | 0.72 | Walk rateChase rate | Player · Projection |
| Seager, Corey TEX · L | 0.65 | Avg exit velocitySweet-spot rate | Player · Projection |
| Burger, Jake TEX · R | 0.58 | Barrel rateBat speed | Player · Projection |
| Basallo, Samuel BAL · L | 0.58 | Avg exit velocityFly-ball rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 2 | 2026-07-03 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.323 xwOBA | 19 HR | Projection |
| 2026-04-20 vs STL0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | BB, 2 R |