Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 28 |
| Height | 6' 2" |
| Weight | 215 lb |
| Debut | 2022-06-13 |
Player profile / Miami Marlins
Kyle Stowers
1B · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 2", 215 lb · Age 28
Club Miami Marlins
Position 1B
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 209 | 15 | 40 | 3 | 0 | .208 | .268 | .333 | .601 |
| 2025 | 457 | 61 | 115 | 25 | 5 | .288 | .368 | .544 | .912 |
| 2026 | 424 | 46 | 91 | 16 | 1 | .245 | .331 | .457 | .788 |
| 5 Seasons | 1221 | 134 | 271 | 47 | 6 | .250 | .327 | .453 | .780 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
89
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.8%
78
Exit velocity92.2
94
Hard-hit%56.3%
98
xBA0.366
91
xSLG0.682
93
xwOBA0.330
77
BB%9.8%
66
Bat speed73.3
91
K%31.5%
12
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.1 · 1B
21
Arm Strength93.9 · 1B
92
Outs Above Avg-3.0 · 1B
12
Range Runs-1.5 · 1B
36
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.7 · 1B
31
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.2% · rebadged research
25
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 18.6% · rebadged research
93
Correct Decisions66.5% · rebadged research
55
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
58
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.307 · borderline
20
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.313 · insufficient sample
3
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.272 · validated thin sample
72
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.331 · insufficient sample
42
Resists FastballwOBA 0.295 · validated
98
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.372 · validated
19
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
138 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Stowers’s wOBA sits at 0.352, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.330 — a gap of 0.022, -0.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 429 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lowe, Brandon PIT · L | 0.82 | Pull rateWhiff rate | Player · Projection |
| Mayo, Coby BAL · R | 0.65 | Chase rateStrikeout rate | Player · Projection |
| Muncy, Max LAD · L | 0.59 | Max exit velocityFly-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| McMahon, Ryan NYY · L | 0.57 | Fly-ball rateBarrel rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 5 | 2026-08-07 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
| Fielding | 12 | 2026-08-31 | 1 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.218 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.323 xwOBA | 19 HR | Projection |
| 2026-04-20 vs STL0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | BB, 2 R |