Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 28 |
| Height | 6' 2" |
| Weight | 215 lb |
| Debut | 2022-06-13 |
Player profile / Miami Marlins
Kyle Stowers
1B · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 2", 215 lb · Age 28
Club Miami Marlins
Position 1B
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 209 | 15 | 40 | 3 | 0 | .208 | .268 | .333 | .601 |
| 2025 | 457 | 61 | 115 | 25 | 5 | .288 | .368 | .544 | .912 |
| 2026 | 512 | 57 | 107 | 21 | 1 | .239 | .331 | .459 | .790 |
| 5 Seasons | 1309 | 145 | 287 | 52 | 6 | .248 | .327 | .454 | .781 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
89
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.2%
82
Exit velocity92.5
96
Hard-hit%56.8%
99
xBA0.354
86
xSLG0.682
94
xwOBA0.329
78
BB%10.1%
70
Bat speed73.2
91
K%31.1%
13
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.1 · 1B
18
Arm Strength93.9 · 1B
92
Outs Above Avg-5.0 · 1B
8
Range Runs-2.9 · 1B
25
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.3 · 1B
22
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.3% · rebadged research
26
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 17.0% · rebadged research
96
Correct Decisions67.0% · rebadged research
60
Resists FastballwOBA 0.294 · validated
98
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
65
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.324 · borderline
8
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.324 · insufficient sample
1
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.263 · validated thin sample
87
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.347 · insufficient sample
13
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.375 · validated
16
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
175 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Stowers’s wOBA sits at 0.351, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.329 — a gap of 0.022, -0.9 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 517 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lowe, Brandon PIT · L | 0.78 | Oppo ratePull rate | Player · Projection |
| Muncy, Max LAD · L | 0.60 | Max exit velocityFly-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Mayo, Coby BAL · R | 0.60 | Strikeout rateOppo rate | Player · Projection |
| Seager, Corey TEX · L | 0.59 | Walk rateAvg exit velocity | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 8 | 2026-09-22 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
| Fielding | 17 | 2026-09-23 | 4 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.626 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| 2026-04-20 vs STL0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | BB, 2 R |