Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 26 |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Weight | 220 lb |
| Debut | 2022-05-24 |
Player profile / St. Louis Cardinals
Iván Herrera
DH · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 220 lb · Age 26
Club St. Louis Cardinals
Position DH
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 259 | 37 | 69 | 5 | 5 | .301 | .372 | .428 | .800 |
| 2025 | 452 | 54 | 110 | 19 | 8 | .284 | .373 | .464 | .837 |
| 2026 | 428 | 61 | 86 | 11 | 5 | .246 | .376 | .386 | .762 |
| 5 Seasons | 1205 | 158 | 278 | 35 | 18 | .272 | .372 | .419 | .791 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
52
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.354 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.345 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.348 |
| Observed weight | 66% |
xwOBA
0.326
0.337
0.348
0.360
0.370
wOBA
0.338
0.352
0.368
0.383
0.397
ISO
0.129
0.140
0.153
0.166
0.177
K%
14.9%
15.9%
17.0%
18.1%
19.1%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.2%
37
-31 vs proj
Exit velocity89.1
61
Hard-hit%40.3%
55
-19 vs proj
xBA0.310
36
xSLG0.477
38
xwOBA0.345
83
BB%11.8%
83
+28 vs proj
Bat speed71.8
77
K%16.2%
83
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.2 · C
39
Catcher Throwing-3.2 · C
3
Framing Runs-0.2 · C
47
Pop Time2.0 · C
21
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.6 · DH
9
SB Success Rate100.0% · DH
93
Sprint Speed25.9 · DH
16
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.1% · rebadged research
69
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.0% · rebadged research
41
Correct Decisions66.1% · rebadged research
50
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
63
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.295 · borderline
34
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.286 · insufficient sample
28
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.314 · validated thin sample
3
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.308 · insufficient sample
96
Resists FastballwOBA 0.360 · validated
16
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.379 · validated
12
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
195 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.006 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.016 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Herrera’s wOBA sits at 0.368, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.345 — a gap of 0.022, -0.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 431 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guerrero Jr., Vladimir TOR · R | 0.73 | Oppo rateWhiff rate | Player · Projection |
| Contreras, William MIL · R | 0.73 | Max exit velocityIsolated power | Player · Projection |
| Sheets, Gavin SD · L | 0.72 | Bat speedOppo rate | Player · Projection |
| Chapman, Matt SF · R | 0.72 | Isolated powerChase rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 4 | 2026-06-21 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.351 xwOBA | 15 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 |
| 2026-04-20 @ MIA0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | HBP |
| 2026-04-17 @ HOU1 HR | 3 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | HR, HBP, 3 RBI |
| 2026-04-15 vs CLE0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | 3 BB |
| 2026-04-14 vs CLE1 HR | 1 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | HR, BB, RBI |