Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 30 |
| Height | 6' 3" |
| Weight | 235 lb |
| Debut | 2021-06-29 |
Player profile / San Diego Padres
Gavin Sheets
1B · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 3", 235 lb · Age 30
Club San Diego Padres
Position 1B
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 501 | 35 | 105 | 10 | 2 | .233 | .303 | .357 | .660 |
| 2025 | 545 | 57 | 124 | 19 | 2 | .252 | .317 | .429 | .746 |
| 2026 | 326 | 35 | 62 | 14 | 4 | .218 | .319 | .419 | .738 |
| 6 Seasons | 2305 | 208 | 485 | 79 | 9 | .234 | .304 | .400 | .704 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
61
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.319 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.331 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.326 |
| Observed weight | 61% |
xwOBA
0.303
0.314
0.326
0.339
0.350
wOBA
0.325
0.341
0.359
0.376
0.392
ISO
0.162
0.176
0.191
0.206
0.219
K%
18.5%
19.7%
21.0%
22.3%
23.5%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.6%
58
Exit velocity88.7
58
Hard-hit%43.4%
68
xBA0.323
52
xSLG0.537
60
xwOBA0.331
72
+15 vs proj
BB%11.1%
77
+33 vs proj
Bat speed71.8
77
K%20.5%
61
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.4 · 1B
8
Arm Strength93.1 · 1B
89
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · 1B
18
Range Runs-1.5 · 1B
33
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.6 · 1B
26
Sprint Speed26.6 · 1B
29
SB Success Rate100.0% · 1B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.1% · rebadged research
47
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.0% · rebadged research
17
Correct Decisions61.7% · rebadged research
14
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
31
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.316 · borderline
9
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.265 · insufficient sample
88
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.291 · validated thin sample
24
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.355 · insufficient sample
12
Resists FastballwOBA 0.346 · validated
35
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.336 · validated
92
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
153 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.017 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.045 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Sheets’s wOBA sits at 0.359, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.331 — a gap of 0.028, -1.0 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 341 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L | 0.76 | xwOBA on contactGround-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Walker, Christian HOU · R | 0.73 | Bat speedIsolated power | Player · Projection |
| Springer, George TOR · R | 0.73 | Pull rateAvg exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Herrera, Iván STL · R | 0.72 | Bat speedOppo rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 3 | 2026-05-17 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.314 xwOBA | 16 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs LAD0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | K |
| 2026-04-17 @ LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2B, K |
| 2026-04-15 vs SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | 2 2B, R |
| 2026-04-14 vs SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB, K |
| 2026-04-11 vs COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 9 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 2 K |