Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 30 |
| Height | 6' 3" |
| Weight | 235 lb |
| Debut | 2021-06-29 |
Player profile / San Diego Padres
Gavin Sheets
1B · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 3", 235 lb · Age 30
Club San Diego Padres
Position 1B
Roster Current MLB team
Status IL-10
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 501 | 35 | 105 | 10 | 2 | .233 | .303 | .357 | .660 |
| 2025 | 545 | 57 | 124 | 19 | 2 | .252 | .317 | .429 | .746 |
| 2026 | 412 | 46 | 75 | 16 | 4 | .211 | .313 | .388 | .701 |
| 6 Seasons | 2391 | 219 | 498 | 81 | 9 | .232 | .303 | .395 | .698 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
51
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.319 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.317 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.318 |
| Observed weight | 66% |
xwOBA
0.296
0.306
0.318
0.329
0.339
wOBA
0.305
0.319
0.334
0.350
0.363
ISO
0.150
0.162
0.176
0.189
0.201
K%
18.0%
19.1%
20.3%
21.4%
22.5%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.1%
54
Exit velocity87.9
50
Hard-hit%40.7%
60
xBA0.302
31
xSLG0.496
48
xwOBA0.317
65
BB%11.4%
83
+36 vs proj
Bat speed72.1
81
K%19.5%
70
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.9 · 1B
7
Arm Strength93.1 · 1B
88
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · 1B
19
Range Runs-3.5 · 1B
20
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.6 · 1B
28
SB Success Rate100.0% · 1B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.8% · rebadged research
48
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.6% · rebadged research
21
Correct Decisions61.9% · rebadged research
14
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
31
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.318 · borderline
10
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.248 · insufficient sample
99
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.303 · validated thin sample
10
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.346 · insufficient sample
16
Resists FastballwOBA 0.349 · validated
30
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.330 · validated
94
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
180 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.003 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.021 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Sheets’s wOBA sits at 0.334, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.317 — a gap of 0.017, -0.6 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 431 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Springer, George TOR · R | 0.82 | Max exit velocitySweet-spot rate | Player · Projection |
| Herrera, Iván STL · R | 0.82 | xwOBA on contactHard-hit rate | Player · Projection |
| Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L | 0.74 | Barrel rateBat speed | Player · Projection |
| Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L | 0.73 | Ground-ball ratePull rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 3 | 2026-05-17 | Impact contact was the main driver |
| Fielding | 1 | 2026-08-02 | 3 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.461 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.314 xwOBA | 16 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 @ CLE0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 | K |
| 2026-05-20 vs LAD0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | K |
| 2026-04-17 @ LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2B, K |
| 2026-04-15 vs SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | 2 2B, R |
| 2026-04-14 vs SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB, K |