Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 28 |
| Height | 6' 0" |
| Weight | 202 lb |
| Debut | 2022-04-07 |
Player profile / Houston Astros
Jeremy Peña
SS · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 0", 202 lb · Age 28
Club Houston Astros
Position SS
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 650 | 78 | 160 | 15 | 20 | .266 | .308 | .394 | .702 |
| 2025 | 543 | 68 | 150 | 17 | 20 | .304 | .363 | .477 | .840 |
| 2026 | 388 | 67 | 100 | 17 | 9 | .281 | .335 | .475 | .810 |
| 5 Seasons | 2773 | 366 | 694 | 81 | 73 | .272 | .322 | .425 | .747 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
63
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.4%
42
Exit velocity88.3
54
Hard-hit%38.9%
52
xBA0.361
88
xSLG0.553
67
xwOBA0.329
76
BB%6.0%
21
Bat speed70.6
66
K%22.0%
53
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.1 · SS
62
Arm Strength89.2 · SS
66
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · SS
27
Range Runs-0.8 · SS
46
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs2.9 · SS
89
Bolts23.0 · SS
76
SB Success Rate90.0% · SS
81
Sprint Speed29.3 · SS
93
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 58.1% · rebadged research
16
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.7% · rebadged research
80
Correct Decisions65.0% · rebadged research
38
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
32
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.286 · borderline
61
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.249 · insufficient sample
98
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.257 · validated thin sample
92
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.330 · insufficient sample
44
Resists FastballwOBA 0.362 · validated
16
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.353 · validated
60
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
145 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Peña’s wOBA sits at 0.364, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.329 — a gap of 0.034, -1.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 386 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R | 0.75 | Fly-ball rateGround-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Abrams, CJ WSH · L | 0.73 | xwOBA on contactBat speed | Player · Projection |
| Duran, Jarren BOS · L | 0.67 | Oppo ratePull rate | Player · Projection |
| Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L | 0.67 | Ground-ball rateFly-ball rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 2 | 2026-07-22 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.314 xwOBA | 14 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 vs SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 1 E | 1-4 | 2B, R |
| 2026-05-20 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 3 K |
| 2026-04-11 @ SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 |
| 2026-04-08 @ COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | K |
| 2026-04-07 @ COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB |