Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 23 |
| Height | 6' 4" |
| Weight | 250 lb |
| Debut | 2025-06-03 |
Player profile / Kansas City Royals
Jac Caglianone
RF · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 4", 250 lb · Age 23
Club Kansas City Royals
Position RF
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 232 | 19 | 33 | 7 | 1 | .157 | .237 | .295 | .532 |
| 2026 | 496 | 64 | 130 | 23 | 6 | .283 | .333 | .496 | .829 |
| 2 Seasons | 728 | 83 | 163 | 30 | 7 | .243 | .302 | .433 | .735 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
96
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.329 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.360 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.351 |
| Observed weight | 70% |
xwOBA
0.323
0.336
0.351
0.365
0.379
wOBA
0.342
0.355
0.369
0.384
0.397
ISO
0.177
0.187
0.199
0.212
0.222
K%
22.2%
23.5%
24.8%
26.2%
27.4%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%9.3%
96
+21 vs proj
Exit velocity93.0
97
Hard-hit%54.2%
98
+25 vs proj
xBA0.391
97
xSLG0.710
95
xwOBA0.360
95
+18 vs proj
BB%6.1%
23
-28 vs proj
Bat speed75.4
98
K%26.3%
32
-20 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.6 · RF
87
Arm Strength102.7 · RF
98
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · RF
24
Range Runs-7.6 · RF
2
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.5 · RF
76
SB Success Rate85.7% · RF
67
Sprint Speed27.0 · RF
39
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.8% · rebadged research
27
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.0% · rebadged research
79
Correct Decisions64.6% · rebadged research
34
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
43
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.343 · borderline
1
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.258 · insufficient sample
94
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.319 · validated thin sample
3
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.311 · insufficient sample
88
Resists FastballwOBA 0.391 · validated
3
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.343 · validated
81
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
204 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.030 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.039 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Caglianone’s wOBA sits at 0.369, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.360 — a gap of 0.009, -0.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 505 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Canzone, Dominic SEA · L | 0.69 | Sweet-spot rateGround-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Contreras, Willson BOS · R | 0.64 | Max exit velocitySweet-spot rate | Player · Projection |
| Walker, Jordan STL · R | 0.63 | Barrel rateSweet-spot rate | Player · Projection |
| Basallo, Samuel BAL · L | 0.58 | Isolated powerStrikeout rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 5 | 2026-08-10 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
| Fielding | 17 | 2026-09-01 | 3 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +2.983 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.330 xwOBA | 10 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 @ LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 9 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | K, SB |
| 2026-05-20 vs BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-20 vs BAL1 HR | 1 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | HR, BB, K |
| 2026-04-17 @ NYY0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 3 K |
| 2026-04-15 @ DET0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 3-3 | 3B, BB |