Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 23 |
| Height | 6' 4" |
| Weight | 250 lb |
| Debut | 2025-06-03 |
Player profile / Kansas City Royals
Jac Caglianone
RF · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 4", 250 lb · Age 23
Club Kansas City Royals
Position RF
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 232 | 19 | 33 | 7 | 1 | .157 | .237 | .295 | .532 |
| 2026 | 553 | 72 | 148 | 23 | 7 | .289 | .340 | .494 | .834 |
| 2 Seasons | 785 | 91 | 181 | 30 | 8 | .251 | .310 | .436 | .746 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
96
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.5%
92
Exit velocity93.2
97
Hard-hit%54.4%
98
xBA0.393
98
xSLG0.696
95
xwOBA0.357
94
BB%6.0%
24
Bat speed75.2
98
K%26.3%
31
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.9 · RF
77
Arm Strength102.7 · RF
98
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · RF
26
Range Runs-8.6 · RF
2
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.0 · RF
63
SB Success Rate85.7% · RF
67
Sprint Speed27.0 · RF
38
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.2% · rebadged research
20
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.3% · rebadged research
79
Correct Decisions63.7% · rebadged research
25
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
33
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.334 · borderline
5
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.269 · insufficient sample
80
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.330 · validated thin sample
2
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.319 · insufficient sample
67
Resists FastballwOBA 0.383 · validated
6
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.352 · validated
62
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
237 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Caglianone’s wOBA sits at 0.372, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.357 — a gap of 0.015, -0.6 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 562 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Canzone, Dominic SEA · L | 0.62 | Barrel rateGround-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Contreras, Willson BOS · R | 0.60 | Sweet-spot ratePull rate | Player · Projection |
| Walker, Jordan STL · R | 0.60 | Strikeout rateIsolated power | Player · Projection |
| Burleson, Alec STL · L | 0.59 | In-zone contactPull rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 5 | 2026-08-10 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
| Fielding | 22 | 2026-09-26 | 5 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +2.050 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| 2026-08-15 @ LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 9 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | K, SB |
| 2026-05-20 vs BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-20 vs BAL1 HR | 1 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | HR, BB, K |
| 2026-04-17 @ NYY0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 3 K |
| 2026-04-15 @ DET0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 3-3 | 3B, BB |