Mithrandir Metrics

HR BOARD 2024-06-17 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay PALANTIR production FANGORN nonlinear lane VALINOR calibrated lane LINEUP FILTER armed; waiting on confirmed lineups

Lane Health 2026-09-01

Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable

Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable

Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable

Model Lane

Home Runs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn production Valinor rebadged research

Selective Lane

Palantir is available, but quiet today.

Palantir covers Home Run Market Gaps as a selective lane but didn't qualify any rows on today's slate. Try Palantir or check back tomorrow.

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Lineups not posted

The in-lineup filter is armed, but no confirmed lineup artifact exists for this date yet. The board is showing the projected pool honestly.

Home-run board · largest Palantir gap versus market

#	Player	Matchup	Sim	Implied	Gap	Three lanes · P/F/V	Spread	Park	Weather	Recent	Best line
01	Shohei Ohtani LAD Lineup pending	LAD vs COLCal Quantrill · slot 1	--Palantir	28.6%market	+7.3pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.152xHR pf	Hitter-Friendlyweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 235 avg 3 books
02	Rafael Devers SF Lineup pending	SF vs CHCJavier Assad · slot 2	--Palantir	20.0%market	+5.6pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.087xHR pf	Hitter-Friendlyweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 380 avg 3 books
03	Anthony Santander TOR Lineup pending	TOR vs BOSNick Pivetta · slot 3	--Palantir	20.1%market	+5.4pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.042xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 380 avg 3 books
04	Fernando Tatis Jr. SD Lineup pending	SD vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 1	--Palantir	17.2%market	+4.7pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.058xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 460 avg 3 books
05	Ronald Acuña Jr. ATL Lineup pending	ATL vs DETReese Olson · slot 1	--Palantir	20.0%market	+4.7pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.008xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 380 avg 3 books
06	Freddie Freeman LAD Lineup pending	LAD vs COLCal Quantrill · slot 2	--Palantir	16.3%market	+4.3pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.152xHR pf	Hitter-Friendlyweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 490 avg 3 books
07	Mookie Betts LAD Lineup pending	LAD vs COLCal Quantrill · slot 5	--Palantir	16.0%market	+4.3pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.152xHR pf	Hitter-Friendlyweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 500 avg 3 books
08	Austin Riley ATL Lineup pending	ATL vs DETReese Olson · slot 4	--Palantir	17.2%market	+3.9pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.008xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 460 avg 3 books
09	Bryce Harper PHI Lineup pending	PHI vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 2	--Palantir	18.9%market	+3.7pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.058xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 410 avg 3 books
10	Joc Pederson TEX Lineup pending	TEX vs NYMDavid Peterson · slot 5	--Palantir	15.9%market	+3.7pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.039xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 505 avg 3 books
11	Riley Greene DET Lineup pending	DET vs ATLMax Fried · slot 4	--Palantir	18.0%market	+3.6pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.008xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 435 avg 3 books
12	Ozzie Albies ATL Lineup pending	ATL vs DETReese Olson · slot 5	--Palantir	13.5%market	+3.5pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.008xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 610 avg 3 books
13	Jesús Sánchez TOR Lineup pending	TOR vs BOSNick Pivetta · slot 5	--Palantir	13.5%market	+3.3pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.042xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 615 avg 3 books
14	Ramón Laureano SD Lineup pending	SD vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 5	--Palantir	16.0%market	+2.3pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.058xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 500 avg 3 books
15	Jarren Duran BOS Lineup pending	BOS vs TORYusei Kikuchi · slot 1	--Palantir	12.0%market	+2.3pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.042xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 705 avg 3 books
16	Max Muncy LAD Lineup pending	LAD vs COLCal Quantrill · slot 6	--Palantir	19.7%market	+2.3pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.152xHR pf	Hitter-Friendlyweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 390 avg 3 books
17	Will Smith LAD Lineup pending	LAD vs COLCal Quantrill · slot 9	--Palantir	13.9%market	+2.1pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.152xHR pf	Hitter-Friendlyweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 590 avg 3 books
18	Michael Harris II ATL Lineup pending	ATL vs DETReese Olson · slot 8	--Palantir	13.0%market	+1.7pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.008xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 640 avg 3 books
19	Kyle Tucker LAD Lineup pending	LAD vs COLCal Quantrill · slot 3	--Palantir	18.7%market	+1.6pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.152xHR pf	Hitter-Friendlyweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 415 avg 3 books
20	Daulton Varsho TOR Lineup pending	TOR vs BOSNick Pivetta · slot 4	--Palantir	18.1%market	+1.5pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.042xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 430 avg 3 books
21	Kyle Schwarber PHI Lineup pending	PHI vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 3	--Palantir	25.7%market	+1.3pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.058xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 275 avg 3 books
22	Teoscar Hernández LAD Lineup pending	LAD vs COLCal Quantrill · slot 4	--Palantir	18.1%market	+0.9pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.152xHR pf	Hitter-Friendlyweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 430 avg 3 books
23	Alec Bohm PHI Lineup pending	PHI vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 5	--Palantir	11.3%market	+0.6pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.058xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 755 avg 3 books
24	Andy Pages LAD Lineup pending	LAD vs COLCal Quantrill · slot 7	--Palantir	14.2%market	+0.6pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.152xHR pf	Hitter-Friendlyweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 575 avg 3 books
25	Corey Seager TEX Lineup pending	TEX vs NYMDavid Peterson · slot 2	--Palantir	22.1%market	+0.4pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.039xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 335 avg 3 books
26	Masataka Yoshida BOS Lineup pending	BOS vs TORYusei Kikuchi · slot 7	--Palantir	9.9%market	+0.2pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.042xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 875 avg 3 books
27	Nathan Lukes TOR Lineup pending	TOR vs BOSNick Pivetta · slot 6	--Palantir	10.4%market	-0.4pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.042xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 825 avg 3 books
28	Romy Gonzalez BOS Lineup pending	BOS vs TORYusei Kikuchi · slot 6	--Palantir	12.4%market	-0.4pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.042xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 705 avg 3 books
29	Brandon Marsh PHI Lineup pending	PHI vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 6	--Palantir	12.2%market	-0.5pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.058xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 690 avg 3 books
30	Jung Hoo Lee SF Lineup pending	SF vs CHCJavier Assad · slot 7	--Palantir	7.7%market	-0.8pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.087xHR pf	Hitter-Friendlyweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
31	Tyler Fitzgerald SF Lineup pending	SF vs CHCJavier Assad · slot 6	--Palantir	13.1%market	-0.8pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.087xHR pf	Hitter-Friendlyweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 635 avg 3 books
32	Heliot Ramos SF Lineup pending	SF vs CHCJavier Assad · slot 5	--Palantir	14.5%market	-0.8pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.087xHR pf	Hitter-Friendlyweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 565 avg 3 books
33	Davis Schneider TOR Lineup pending	TOR vs BOSNick Pivetta · slot 7	--Palantir	15.6%market	-0.9pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.042xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 520 avg 3 books
34	Matt Chapman SF Lineup pending	SF vs CHCJavier Assad · slot 3	--Palantir	16.4%market	-0.9pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.087xHR pf	Hitter-Friendlyweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 490 avg 3 books
35	Manny Machado SD Lineup pending	SD vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 2	--Palantir	19.1%market	-0.9pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.058xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 405 avg 3 books
36	George Springer TOR Lineup pending	TOR vs BOSNick Pivetta · slot 1	--Palantir	18.2%market	-1.0pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.042xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 430 avg 3 books
37	Willy Adames SF Lineup pending	SF vs CHCJavier Assad · slot 4	--Palantir	17.9%market	-1.0pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.087xHR pf	Hitter-Friendlyweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 440 avg 3 books
38	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR Lineup pending	TOR vs BOSNick Pivetta · slot 2	--Palantir	17.1%market	-1.1pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.042xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 465 avg 3 books
39	Roman Anthony BOS Lineup pending	BOS vs TORYusei Kikuchi · slot 2	--Palantir	14.0%market	-1.1pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.042xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 615 avg 3 books
40	Wilyer Abreu BOS Lineup pending	BOS vs TORYusei Kikuchi · slot 4	--Palantir	17.9%market	-1.2pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.042xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 440 avg 3 books
41	Miguel Andujar SD Lineup pending	SD vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 6	--Palantir	10.3%market	-1.2pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.058xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 830 avg 3 books
42	Trea Turner PHI Lineup pending	PHI vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 1	--Palantir	15.0%market	-1.4pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.058xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 545 avg 3 books
43	Edmundo Sosa PHI Lineup pending	PHI vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 7	--Palantir	13.5%market	-1.4pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.058xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 615 avg 3 books
44	Willson Contreras BOS Lineup pending	BOS vs TORYusei Kikuchi · slot 3	--Palantir	16.7%market	-1.4pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.042xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 480 avg 3 books
45	Wyatt Langford TEX Lineup pending	TEX vs NYMDavid Peterson · slot 1	--Palantir	15.3%market	-1.4pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.039xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 530 avg 3 books
46	Josh Jung TEX Lineup pending	TEX vs NYMDavid Peterson · slot 7	--Palantir	13.6%market	-1.5pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.039xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 605 avg 3 books
47	Triston Casas BOS Lineup pending	BOS vs TORYusei Kikuchi · slot 5	--Palantir	17.7%market	-1.5pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.042xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 445 avg 3 books
48	Luis Arraez SF Lineup pending	SF vs CHCJavier Assad · slot 1	--Palantir	7.7%market	-1.6pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.087xHR pf	Hitter-Friendlyweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
49	Mike Yastrzemski ATL Lineup pending	ATL vs DETReese Olson · slot 6	--Palantir	14.6%market	-1.6pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.008xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 560 avg 3 books
50	Danny Jansen TEX Lineup pending	TEX vs NYMDavid Peterson · slot 8	--Palantir	14.8%market	-1.6pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.039xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 550 avg 3 books
51	Adolis García PHI Lineup pending	PHI vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 4	--Palantir	18.4%market	-1.7pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.058xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 425 avg 3 books
52	Nick Castellanos SD Lineup pending	SD vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 4	--Palantir	15.1%market	-1.7pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.058xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 540 avg 3 books
53	Drake Baldwin ATL Lineup pending	ATL vs DETReese Olson · slot 3	--Palantir	18.2%market	-1.7pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.008xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 450 avg 3 books
54	Dillon Dingler DET Lineup pending	DET vs ATLMax Fried · slot 7	--Palantir	11.9%market	-1.8pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.008xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 740 avg 3 books
55	Jakob Marsee MIA Lineup pending	MIA vs STLSonny Gray · slot 2	--Palantir	11.8%market	-1.9pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.940xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 750 avg 3 books
56	Christopher Morel MIA Lineup pending	MIA vs STLSonny Gray · slot 5	--Palantir	17.7%market	-2.0pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.940xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
57	Jahmai Jones DET Lineup pending	DET vs ATLMax Fried · slot 2	--Palantir	17.4%market	-2.0pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.008xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 475 avg 3 books
58	Jake Cronenworth SD Lineup pending	SD vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 7	--Palantir	10.1%market	-2.0pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.058xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 850 avg 3 books
59	Evan Carter TEX Lineup pending	TEX vs NYMDavid Peterson · slot 6	--Palantir	12.9%market	-2.1pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.039xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 675 avg 3 books
60	Jackson Merrill SD Lineup pending	SD vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 3	--Palantir	16.8%market	-2.2pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.058xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 495 avg 3 books
61	Spencer Torkelson DET Lineup pending	DET vs ATLMax Fried · slot 5	--Palantir	18.0%market	-2.3pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.008xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
62	Colt Keith DET Lineup pending	DET vs ATLMax Fried · slot 6	--Palantir	11.7%market	-2.3pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.008xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 755 avg 3 books
63	Zach McKinstry DET Lineup pending	DET vs ATLMax Fried · slot 1	--Palantir	10.4%market	-2.3pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.008xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 865 avg 3 books
64	Kyle Stowers MIA Lineup pending	MIA vs STLSonny Gray · slot 3	--Palantir	18.4%market	-2.4pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.940xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 445 avg 3 books
65	Matt Olson ATL Lineup pending	ATL vs DETReese Olson · slot 2	--Palantir	21.7%market	-2.4pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.008xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 360 avg 3 books
66	Brandon Nimmo TEX Lineup pending	TEX vs NYMDavid Peterson · slot 3	--Palantir	16.7%market	-2.4pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.039xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 500 avg 3 books
67	Sean Murphy ATL Lineup pending	ATL vs DETReese Olson · slot 7	--Palantir	17.1%market	-2.5pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.008xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 485 avg 3 books
68	Jake Burger TEX Lineup pending	TEX vs NYMDavid Peterson · slot 4	--Palantir	21.3%market	-2.7pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.039xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 370 avg 3 books
69	Heriberto Hernández MIA Lineup pending	MIA vs STLSonny Gray · slot 6	--Palantir	14.1%market	-2.8pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.940xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 610 avg 3 books
70	Connor Norby MIA Lineup pending	MIA vs STLSonny Gray · slot 7	--Palantir	13.8%market	-2.8pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.940xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 625 avg 3 books
71	Agustín Ramírez MIA Lineup pending	MIA vs STLSonny Gray · slot 4	--Palantir	15.8%market	-3.0pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.940xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 535 avg 3 books
72	Kerry Carpenter DET Lineup pending	DET vs ATLMax Fried · slot 3	--Palantir	22.0%market	-3.5pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.008xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 355 avg 3 books
73	Xavier Edwards MIA Lineup pending	MIA vs STLSonny Gray · slot 1	--Palantir	8.0%market	-4.6pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.940xHR pf	Pitcher-Friendlyweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books

Top saved signals

5 value rows

01 Shohei OhtaniLAD vs COL · FanDuel

P --

F --

V --

0.0pp 02 Rafael DeversSF vs CHC · FanDuel

P --

F --

V --

0.0pp 03 Anthony SantanderTOR vs BOS · FanDuel

P --

F --

V --

0.0pp 04 Ronald Acuña Jr.ATL vs DET · FanDuel

P --

F --

V --

0.0pp 05 Bryce HarperPHI vs SD · FanDuel

P --

F --

V --

0.0pp

Data context

0 sample flags

Status0roster/transaction rows

Lineups0confirmed starters

Triple0cross-domain rows

Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.