Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-09-04 · saved artifact ROWS 47 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-04

Palantir 700 props Brier 0.165 ECE 0.033 14d error rising

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Kyle StowersMIA	MIA vs CHC	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	33.9%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.18count	98.0%selected	0.86role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
02	Seiya SuzukiCHC	CHC vs MIA	P 3.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	96.3%Under prob · Palantir	31.2%no-vig	+96.34%	1+ Hitline	0.382count	96.3%selected	1.6role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
03	Christopher MorelMIA	MIA vs CHC	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	41.7%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.25count	98.0%selected	1.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 470 avg 1 books
04	Sean MurphyATL	ATL vs PHI	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	45.5%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.23count	98.0%selected	1.38role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 550 avg 1 books
05	David FryCLE	CLE vs DET	P 3.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	96.8%Under prob · Palantir	45.5%no-vig	+96.78%	1+ Hitline	0.359count	96.8%selected	1.83role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 550 avg 1 books
06	Drake BaldwinATL	ATL vs PHI	P 8.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	91.5%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+91.45%	2+ Hitsline	0.585count	91.5%selected	2.44role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
07	Otto LopezMIA	MIA vs CHC	P 17.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.3%Under prob · Palantir	65.5%no-vig	+82.30%	2+ Hitsline	0.804count	82.3%selected	3.49role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 190 avg 1 books
08	Caleb DurbinBOS	BOS vs BAL	P 13.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.6%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+86.63%	2+ Hitsline	0.688count	86.6%selected	3.28role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
09	Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHC	CHC vs MIA	P 17.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.5%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+82.47%	2+ Hitsline	0.786count	82.5%selected	3.5role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
10	Dillon DinglerDET	DET vs CLE	P 17.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.2%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+82.17%	2+ Hitsline	0.807count	82.2%selected	3.49role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
11	Roman AnthonyBOS	BOS vs BAL	P 23.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.8%Under prob · Palantir	65.5%no-vig	+76.76%	2+ Hitsline	0.93count	76.8%selected	4.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 190 avg 1 books
12	Bryson StottPHI	PHI vs ATL	P 10.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	90.0%Under prob · Palantir	40.8%no-vig	+89.99%	1+ Hitline	0.588count	90.0%selected	2.95role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 460 avg 1 books
13	Nico HoernerCHC	CHC vs MIA	P 38.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	38.7%Over prob · Palantir	28.6%no-vig	+61.31%	2+ Hitsline	1.297count	38.7%selected	4.66role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
14	Wilyer AbreuBOS	BOS vs BAL	P 19.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.9%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+80.86%	2+ Hitsline	0.827count	80.9%selected	3.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
15	Royce LewisMIN	MIN vs CWS	P 17.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.3%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+82.34%	2+ Hitsline	0.789count	82.3%selected	3.64role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
16	Gleyber TorresDET	DET vs CLE	P 20.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.1%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+79.15%	2+ Hitsline	0.871count	79.1%selected	3.72role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
17	Ozzie AlbiesATL	ATL vs PHI	P 24.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.3%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+75.29%	2+ Hitsline	0.965count	75.3%selected	4.41role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
18	Victor CaratiniMIN	MIN vs CWS	P 17.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.4%Under prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+82.42%	2+ Hitsline	0.801count	82.4%selected	3.43role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
19	Michael Harris IIATL	ATL vs PHI	P 20.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	79.9%Under prob · Palantir	31.2%no-vig	+79.87%	1+ Hitline	0.853count	79.9%selected	3.64role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
20	Trevor LarnachMIN	MIN vs CWS	P 16.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	83.2%Under prob · Palantir	35.7%no-vig	+83.25%	1+ Hitline	0.765count	83.2%selected	3.6role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
21	Josh BellMIN	MIN vs CWS	P 23.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.7%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+76.74%	2+ Hitsline	0.93count	76.7%selected	4.27role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
22	Kyle SchwarberPHI	PHI vs ATL	P 13.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	86.1%Under prob · Palantir	40.8%no-vig	+86.09%	1+ Hitline	0.687count	86.1%selected	4.48role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 440 avg 1 books
23	Adley RutschmanBAL	BAL vs BOS	P 20.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.7%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+79.71%	2+ Hitsline	0.857count	79.7%selected	4.17role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
24	Jarren DuranBOS	BOS vs BAL	P 29.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	29.4%Over prob · Palantir	64.3%no-vig	+70.56%	1+ Hitline	1.077count	29.4%selected	4.79role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
25	Bryce HarperPHI	PHI vs ATL	P 24.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	24.4%Over prob · Palantir	18.5%no-vig	+75.58%	2+ Hitsline	0.954count	24.4%selected	4.54role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 440 avg 1 books
26	Austin RileyATL	ATL vs PHI	P 25.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	25.8%Over prob · Palantir	62.3%no-vig	+74.25%	1+ Hitline	0.99count	25.8%selected	4.42role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 360 avg 1 books
27	Colson MontgomeryCWS	CWS vs MIN	P 16.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	83.1%Under prob · Palantir	37.0%no-vig	+83.09%	1+ Hitline	0.769count	83.1%selected	3.79role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 370 avg 1 books
28	Luke KeaschallMIN	MIN vs CWS	P 25.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.2%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+74.23%	2+ Hitsline	0.99count	74.2%selected	4.0role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
29	Lane ThomasKC	KC vs TOR	P 16.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	83.9%Under prob · Palantir	38.5%no-vig	+83.86%	1+ Hitline	0.748count	83.9%selected	3.58role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 380 avg 1 books
30	Carson KellyCHC	CHC vs MIA	P 15.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.3%Under prob · Palantir	79.2%no-vig	+84.26%	2+ Hitsline	0.753count	84.3%selected	3.27role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 380 avg 1 books
31	Alex BregmanCHC	CHC vs MIA	P 28.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	28.3%Over prob · Palantir	65.5%no-vig	+71.74%	1+ Hitline	1.049count	28.3%selected	4.26role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
32	Andrew BenintendiCWS	CWS vs MIN	P 20.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.4%Under prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+79.38%	2+ Hitsline	0.865count	79.4%selected	3.89role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
33	Gunnar HendersonBAL	BAL vs BOS	P 26.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	26.7%Over prob · Palantir	64.9%no-vig	+73.31%	1+ Hitline	1.012count	26.7%selected	4.48role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
34	Jakob MarseeMIA	MIA vs CHC	P 19.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	19.8%Over prob · Palantir	57.4%no-vig	+80.19%	1+ Hitline	0.844count	19.8%selected	3.68role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 490 avg 1 books
35	Ian HappCHC	CHC vs MIA	P 24.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	24.6%Over prob · Palantir	20.8%no-vig	+75.43%	2+ Hitsline	0.958count	24.6%selected	4.56role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 380 avg 1 books
36	Edmundo SosaPHI	PHI vs ATL	P 16.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	83.8%Under prob · Palantir	40.0%no-vig	+83.81%	1+ Hitline	0.75count	83.8%selected	3.64role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 420 avg 1 books
37	Matt OlsonATL	ATL vs PHI	P 26.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	26.1%Over prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+73.88%	1+ Hitline	0.996count	26.1%selected	4.54role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
38	Alec BohmPHI	PHI vs ATL	P 24.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.6%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+75.60%	2+ Hitsline	0.958count	75.6%selected	4.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
39	Leody TaverasBAL	BAL vs BOS	P 16.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.0%Under prob · Palantir	80.8%no-vig	+83.95%	2+ Hitsline	0.761count	84.0%selected	3.44role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 420 avg 1 books
40	Pete AlonsoBAL	BAL vs BOS	P 24.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	75.3%Under prob · Palantir	31.2%no-vig	+75.28%	1+ Hitline	0.962count	75.3%selected	4.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
41	J.t. RealmutoPHI	PHI vs ATL	P 18.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.7%Under prob · Palantir	79.2%no-vig	+81.66%	2+ Hitsline	0.807count	81.7%selected	3.85role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 380 avg 1 books
42	Chase MeidrothCWS	CWS vs MIN	P 22.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.5%Under prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+77.47%	2+ Hitsline	0.912count	77.5%selected	3.94role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
43	Michael BuschCHC	CHC vs MIA	P 22.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.1%Under prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+77.15%	2+ Hitsline	0.92count	77.1%selected	4.25role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
44	Riley GreeneDET	DET vs CLE	P 23.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	23.5%Over prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+76.50%	1+ Hitline	0.936count	23.5%selected	3.99role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
45	Spencer TorkelsonDET	DET vs CLE	P 18.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.3%Under prob · Palantir	80.0%no-vig	+81.31%	2+ Hitsline	0.816count	81.3%selected	4.22role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 400 avg 1 books
46	Steven KwanCLE	CLE vs DET	P 30.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	69.8%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+69.82%	2+ Hitsline	1.094count	69.8%selected	4.47role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
47	Trea TurnerPHI	PHI vs ATL	P 29.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	70.3%Under prob · Palantir	28.6%no-vig	+70.29%	1+ Hitline	1.083count	70.3%selected	4.87role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books