Mithrandir Metrics

HR BOARD 2024-06-27 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay PALANTIR production FANGORN nonlinear lane VALINOR calibrated lane LINEUP FILTER armed; waiting on confirmed lineups

Lane Health 2026-09-01

Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable

Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable

Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable

Model Lane

Home Runs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn production Valinor rebadged research

Selective Lane

Palantir is available, but quiet today.

Palantir covers Home Run Market Gaps as a selective lane but didn't qualify any rows on today's slate. Try Palantir or check back tomorrow.

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Lineups not posted

The in-lineup filter is armed, but no confirmed lineup artifact exists for this date yet. The board is showing the projected pool honestly.

Home-run board · largest Palantir gap versus market

#	Player	Matchup	Sim	Implied	Gap	Three lanes · P/F/V	Spread	Park	Weather	Recent	Best line
01	José Ramírez CLE Lineup pending	CLE vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 1	--Palantir	19.4%market	+5.6pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.979xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 395 avg 3 books
02	Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY Lineup pending	NYY vs TORJosé Berríos · slot 5	--Palantir	18.8%market	+5.2pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.993xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 410 avg 3 books
03	Joc Pederson TEX Lineup pending	TEX vs BALCorbin Burnes · slot 5	--Palantir	15.9%market	+4.2pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.014xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 505 avg 3 books
04	Anthony Santander TOR Lineup pending	TOR vs NYYCarlos Rodón · slot 3	--Palantir	20.1%market	+4.1pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.993xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 380 avg 3 books
05	Jj Bleday CIN Lineup pending	CIN vs STLMiles Mikolas · slot 6	--Palantir	14.1%market	+3.6pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.964xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 580 avg 3 books
06	Alec Burleson STL Lineup pending	STL vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 3	--Palantir	14.1%market	+3.3pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.964xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 580 avg 3 books
07	Jesús Sánchez TOR Lineup pending	TOR vs NYYCarlos Rodón · slot 5	--Palantir	13.5%market	+3.3pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.993xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 615 avg 3 books
08	Salvador Perez KC Lineup pending	KC vs CLEBen Lively · slot 4	--Palantir	17.8%market	+3.0pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.979xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 440 avg 3 books
09	Bobby Witt Jr. KC Lineup pending	KC vs CLEBen Lively · slot 1	--Palantir	17.5%market	+3.0pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.979xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 450 avg 3 books
10	Lars Nootbaar STL Lineup pending	STL vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 5	--Palantir	11.6%market	+2.5pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.964xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 735 avg 3 books
11	Corey Seager TEX Lineup pending	TEX vs BALCorbin Burnes · slot 2	--Palantir	22.1%market	+2.3pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.014xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 335 avg 3 books
12	Giancarlo Stanton NYY Lineup pending	NYY vs TORJosé Berríos · slot 4	--Palantir	24.3%market	+2.2pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.993xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 295 avg 3 books
13	Aaron Judge NYY Lineup pending	NYY vs TORJosé Berríos · slot 2	--Palantir	29.6%market	+1.4pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.993xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 225 avg 3 books
14	Lane Thomas KC Lineup pending	KC vs CLEBen Lively · slot 5	--Palantir	14.4%market	+0.7pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.979xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 570 avg 3 books
15	Yoán Moncada LAA Lineup pending	LAA vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 6	--Palantir	14.4%market	+0.4pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.985xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 570 avg 3 books
16	Jordan Walker STL Lineup pending	STL vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 7	--Palantir	10.6%market	-0.1pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.964xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 805 avg 3 books
17	Kyle Stowers MIA Lineup pending	MIA vs PHIZack Wheeler · slot 3	--Palantir	17.7%market	-0.2pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.975xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 445 avg 3 books
18	Alec Bohm PHI Lineup pending	PHI vs MIATrevor Rogers · slot 5	--Palantir	11.8%market	-0.3pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.975xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 745 avg 3 books
19	Bryce Harper PHI Lineup pending	PHI vs MIATrevor Rogers · slot 2	--Palantir	19.3%market	-0.5pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.975xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 400 avg 3 books
20	Zach Neto LAA Lineup pending	LAA vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 1	--Palantir	18.1%market	-0.5pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.985xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 435 avg 3 books
21	Jakob Marsee MIA Lineup pending	MIA vs PHIZack Wheeler · slot 2	--Palantir	11.8%market	-0.6pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.975xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 750 avg 3 books
22	Vinnie Pasquantino KC Lineup pending	KC vs CLEBen Lively · slot 3	--Palantir	17.6%market	-0.6pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.979xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 450 avg 3 books
23	Ben Rice NYY Lineup pending	NYY vs TORJosé Berríos · slot 6	--Palantir	17.7%market	-0.8pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.993xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 445 avg 3 books
24	Christopher Morel MIA Lineup pending	MIA vs PHIZack Wheeler · slot 5	--Palantir	17.2%market	-0.8pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.975xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 460 avg 3 books
25	Davis Schneider TOR Lineup pending	TOR vs NYYCarlos Rodón · slot 7	--Palantir	15.6%market	-0.8pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.993xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 520 avg 3 books
26	Isaac Collins KC Lineup pending	KC vs CLEBen Lively · slot 2	--Palantir	10.1%market	-0.8pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.979xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 850 avg 3 books
27	Trent Grisham NYY Lineup pending	NYY vs TORJosé Berríos · slot 7	--Palantir	17.3%market	-0.8pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.993xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 460 avg 3 books
28	George Springer TOR Lineup pending	TOR vs NYYCarlos Rodón · slot 1	--Palantir	18.2%market	-0.9pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.993xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 430 avg 3 books
29	Daulton Varsho TOR Lineup pending	TOR vs NYYCarlos Rodón · slot 4	--Palantir	18.6%market	-1.0pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.993xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 420 avg 3 books
30	Elly De La Cruz CIN Lineup pending	CIN vs STLMiles Mikolas · slot 1	--Palantir	15.3%market	-1.0pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.964xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 530 avg 3 books
31	Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR Lineup pending	TOR vs NYYCarlos Rodón · slot 2	--Palantir	17.1%market	-1.0pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.993xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 465 avg 3 books
32	Cody Bellinger NYY Lineup pending	NYY vs TORJosé Berríos · slot 3	--Palantir	17.4%market	-1.0pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.993xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 455 avg 3 books
33	Tj Friedl CIN Lineup pending	CIN vs STLMiles Mikolas · slot 2	--Palantir	13.3%market	-1.1pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.964xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 625 avg 3 books
34	Evan Carter TEX Lineup pending	TEX vs BALCorbin Burnes · slot 6	--Palantir	12.9%market	-1.1pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.014xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 675 avg 3 books
35	Brandon Nimmo TEX Lineup pending	TEX vs BALCorbin Burnes · slot 3	--Palantir	16.1%market	-1.1pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.014xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 500 avg 3 books
36	Nolan Schanuel LAA Lineup pending	LAA vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 7	--Palantir	9.2%market	-1.1pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.985xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 940 avg 3 books
37	Heriberto Hernández MIA Lineup pending	MIA vs PHIZack Wheeler · slot 6	--Palantir	13.6%market	-1.2pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.975xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 610 avg 3 books
38	Will Benson CIN Lineup pending	CIN vs STLMiles Mikolas · slot 7	--Palantir	15.3%market	-1.2pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.964xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 530 avg 3 books
39	Ramón Urías STL Lineup pending	STL vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 6	--Palantir	11.4%market	-1.2pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.964xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 740 avg 3 books
40	Connor Norby MIA Lineup pending	MIA vs PHIZack Wheeler · slot 7	--Palantir	13.8%market	-1.3pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.975xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 625 avg 3 books
41	Agustín Ramírez MIA Lineup pending	MIA vs PHIZack Wheeler · slot 4	--Palantir	15.2%market	-1.3pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.975xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 535 avg 3 books
42	Iván Herrera STL Lineup pending	STL vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 2	--Palantir	14.8%market	-1.3pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.964xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	DraftKings 550 avg 3 books
43	Jonathan India KC Lineup pending	KC vs CLEBen Lively · slot 6	--Palantir	10.2%market	-1.4pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.979xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 845 avg 3 books
44	Starling Marte KC Lineup pending	KC vs CLEBen Lively · slot 7	--Palantir	9.6%market	-1.4pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.979xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 905 avg 3 books
45	José Caballero NYY Lineup pending	NYY vs TORJosé Berríos · slot 1	--Palantir	9.1%market	-1.5pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.993xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 960 avg 3 books
46	Nathan Lukes TOR Lineup pending	TOR vs NYYCarlos Rodón · slot 6	--Palantir	10.4%market	-1.5pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.993xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 825 avg 3 books
47	Angel Martínez CLE Lineup pending	CLE vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 7	--Palantir	9.5%market	-1.6pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.979xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 915 avg 3 books
48	Daniel Schneemann CLE Lineup pending	CLE vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 6	--Palantir	12.0%market	-1.7pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.979xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 700 avg 3 books
49	Edgar Quero CWS Lineup pending	CWS vs ATLChris Sale · slot 6	--Palantir	7.8%market	-1.7pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.975xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 1125 avg 3 books
50	Victor Scott II STL Lineup pending	STL vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 1	--Palantir	7.7%market	-1.8pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.964xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
51	Chase Meidroth CWS Lineup pending	CWS vs ATLChris Sale · slot 1	--Palantir	7.7%market	-1.8pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.975xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
52	Josh Jung TEX Lineup pending	TEX vs BALCorbin Burnes · slot 7	--Palantir	13.6%market	-1.9pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.014xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	FanDuel 605 avg 3 books
53	Wyatt Langford TEX Lineup pending	TEX vs BALCorbin Burnes · slot 1	--Palantir	15.9%market	-1.9pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.014xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 530 avg 3 books
54	Kyle Manzardo CLE Lineup pending	CLE vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 3	--Palantir	19.8%market	-2.0pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.979xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 405 avg 3 books
55	Lenyn Sosa CWS Lineup pending	CWS vs ATLChris Sale · slot 7	--Palantir	14.5%market	-2.0pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.975xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 590 avg 3 books
56	Spencer Steer CIN Lineup pending	CIN vs STLMiles Mikolas · slot 4	--Palantir	15.2%market	-2.0pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.964xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 560 avg 3 books
57	Logan O'Hoppe LAA Lineup pending	LAA vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 5	--Palantir	18.5%market	-2.1pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.985xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 440 avg 3 books
58	Steven Kwan CLE Lineup pending	CLE vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 2	--Palantir	9.2%market	-2.1pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.979xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 985 avg 3 books
59	Travis D'Arnaud LAA Lineup pending	LAA vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 8	--Palantir	14.6%market	-2.1pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.985xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 585 avg 3 books
60	Tyler Stephenson CIN Lineup pending	CIN vs STLMiles Mikolas · slot 5	--Palantir	15.0%market	-2.1pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.964xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 565 avg 3 books
61	Bo Naylor CLE Lineup pending	CLE vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 4	--Palantir	15.8%market	-2.1pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.979xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 535 avg 3 books
62	Mike Trout LAA Lineup pending	LAA vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 2	--Palantir	21.3%market	-2.1pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.985xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 370 avg 3 books
63	Austin Hays CWS Lineup pending	CWS vs ATLChris Sale · slot 5	--Palantir	13.3%market	-2.1pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.975xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 650 avg 3 books
64	Danny Jansen TEX Lineup pending	TEX vs BALCorbin Burnes · slot 8	--Palantir	15.4%market	-2.1pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.014xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 550 avg 3 books
65	Trea Turner PHI Lineup pending	PHI vs MIATrevor Rogers · slot 1	--Palantir	15.4%market	-2.1pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.975xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 550 avg 3 books
66	Nolan Gorman STL Lineup pending	STL vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 4	--Palantir	19.8%market	-2.2pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.964xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 405 avg 3 books
67	Edmundo Sosa PHI Lineup pending	PHI vs MIATrevor Rogers · slot 7	--Palantir	14.0%market	-2.2pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.975xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 615 avg 3 books
68	Jorge Soler LAA Lineup pending	LAA vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 3	--Palantir	19.2%market	-2.3pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.985xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
69	Jo Adell LAA Lineup pending	LAA vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 4	--Palantir	22.7%market	-2.3pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.985xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 340 avg 3 books
70	Eugenio Suárez CIN Lineup pending	CIN vs STLMiles Mikolas · slot 3	--Palantir	22.7%market	-2.5pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.964xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 340 avg 3 books
71	Adolis García PHI Lineup pending	PHI vs MIATrevor Rogers · slot 4	--Palantir	18.9%market	-2.6pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.975xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 430 avg 3 books
72	Brandon Marsh PHI Lineup pending	PHI vs MIATrevor Rogers · slot 6	--Palantir	12.7%market	-2.6pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.975xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 690 avg 3 books
73	Kyle Teel CWS Lineup pending	CWS vs ATLChris Sale · slot 2	--Palantir	14.1%market	-2.7pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.975xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 610 avg 3 books
74	David Fry CLE Lineup pending	CLE vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 5	--Palantir	17.0%market	-2.9pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.979xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 490 avg 3 books
75	Andrew Benintendi CWS Lineup pending	CWS vs ATLChris Sale · slot 4	--Palantir	14.3%market	-3.1pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.975xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 600 avg 3 books
76	Jake Burger TEX Lineup pending	TEX vs BALCorbin Burnes · slot 4	--Palantir	21.3%market	-3.4pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	1.014xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 370 avg 3 books
77	Kyle Schwarber PHI Lineup pending	PHI vs MIATrevor Rogers · slot 3	--Palantir	27.0%market	-3.5pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.975xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 270 avg 3 books
78	Colson Montgomery CWS Lineup pending	CWS vs ATLChris Sale · slot 3	--Palantir	25.6%market	-4.1pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.975xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 290 avg 3 books
79	Xavier Edwards MIA Lineup pending	MIA vs PHIZack Wheeler · slot 1	--Palantir	8.0%market	-4.2pp	P -- F -- V --	--pp	0.975xHR pf	Neutralweather	Low Damageform	BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books

Top saved signals

5 value rows

01 José RamírezCLE vs KC · FanDuel

P --

F --

V --

0.0pp 02 Jazz Chisholm Jr.NYY vs TOR · FanDuel

P --

F --

V --

0.0pp 03 Anthony SantanderTOR vs NYY · FanDuel

P --

F --

V --

0.0pp 04 Salvador PerezKC vs CLE · FanDuel

P --

F --

V --

0.0pp 05 Bobby Witt Jr.KC vs CLE · FanDuel

P --

F --

V --

0.0pp

Data context

0 sample flags

Status0roster/transaction rows

Lineups0confirmed starters

Triple0cross-domain rows

Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.