Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 33 |
| Height | 6' 1" |
| Weight | 206 lb |
| Debut | 2016-06-26 |
Player profile / Texas Rangers
Brandon Nimmo
RF · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 1", 206 lb · Age 33
Club Texas Rangers
Position RF
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 663 | 88 | 128 | 23 | 15 | .224 | .327 | .399 | .726 |
| 2025 | 652 | 81 | 154 | 25 | 13 | .262 | .324 | .436 | .760 |
| 2026 | 387 | 38 | 92 | 9 | 4 | .264 | .331 | .427 | .758 |
| 11 Seasons | 4752 | 631 | 1066 | 144 | 58 | .262 | .361 | .437 | .798 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
94
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.330 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.379 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.362 |
| Observed weight | 65% |
xwOBA
0.335
0.348
0.362
0.376
0.388
wOBA
0.323
0.337
0.353
0.369
0.384
ISO
0.142
0.156
0.172
0.189
0.203
K%
19.4%
20.5%
21.8%
23.1%
24.3%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%9.2%
92
+21 vs proj
Exit velocity92.8
95
Hard-hit%52.7%
96
xBA0.382
93
xSLG0.681
91
xwOBA0.379
96
+21 vs proj
BB%8.2%
45
-16 vs proj
Bat speed70.7
66
K%21.3%
57
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.5 · RF
12
Arm Strength91.8 · RF
41
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · RF
11
Range Runs-1.8 · RF
27
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.1 · RF
38
Bolts3.0 · RF
42
Sprint Speed28.0 · RF
68
SB Success Rate75.0% · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.0% · rebadged research
58
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.2% · rebadged research
50
Correct Decisions68.7% · rebadged research
75
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
56
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.293 · borderline
36
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.293 · insufficient sample
16
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.263 · validated thin sample
90
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.333 · insufficient sample
44
Resists FastballwOBA 0.349 · validated
31
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.374 · validated
17
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
199 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.043 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.017 |
positive regression
Regression watch
Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.
Nimmo’s wOBA sits at 0.353, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.379 — a gap of 0.026, 0.9 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 403 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baldwin, Drake ATL · L | 0.68 | Sweet-spot ratexwOBA on contact | Player · Projection |
| O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L | 0.66 | Strikeout rateGround-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Steer, Spencer CIN · R | 0.64 | Strikeout rateSweet-spot rate | Player · Projection |
| Keith, Colt DET · L | 0.62 | Oppo rateBat speed | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 7 | 2026-06-22 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.336 xwOBA | 22 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 @ COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 |
| 2026-04-17 @ SEA1 HR | 1 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | HR, BB, 2 K |
| 2026-04-15 @ ATH0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB, K, R |
| 2026-04-14 @ ATH0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2B, R |
| 2026-04-13 @ ATH0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-5 | 4 K |