Mithrandir Metrics

Traditional line

Season by season

3D Swing Sim Projections

	PA	R	H	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
2024	682	114	173	39	41	.279	.335	.537	.872
2025	673	103	168	30	44	.283	.360	.503	.863
2026	454	61	94	11	31	.242	.336	.388	.724
14 Seasons	7213	1062	1762	296	318	.277	.352	.497	.849

At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-02

63

Offense
percentile

Offense9 metrics

66

Defense3 metrics

61

Speed3 metrics

76

Plate skills10 metrics

57

Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-02

xwOBA preseason	0.337
xwOBA current pace	0.343
xwOBA rolling p50	0.341
Observed weight	68%

xwOBA

0.317 0.329 0.341 0.354 0.366

wOBA

0.330 0.343 0.358 0.373 0.386

ISO

0.147 0.160 0.175 0.189 0.203

K%

10.7% 11.5% 12.5% 13.5% 14.4%

Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-02

Hitting · percentile strip

Barrel%4.1%

37

Exit velocity89.7

74

Hard-hit%42.8%

71 +23 vs proj

xBA0.329

63

xSLG0.492

46

xwOBA0.343

87

BB%12.2%

88 +30 vs proj

Bat speed68.7

38

K%12.9%

95

Defense · percentile strip

Arm Strength85.6 · 3B

38

Outs Above Avg2.0 · 3B

79

Range Runs1.4 · 3B

67

Baserunning · percentile strip

Base Running Runs3.8 · 3B

94

SB Success Rate88.0% · 3B

76

Sprint Speed27.8 · 3B

59

Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-02

Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.4% · rebadged research

61

Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.7% · rebadged research

73

Correct Decisions67.3% · rebadged research

62

SEAGER+ Plate Discipline105

71

Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.292 · borderline

43

Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.293 · insufficient sample

16

Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.268 · validated thin sample

80

Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.325 · insufficient sample

59

Resists FastballwOBA 0.360 · validated

18

Resists SinkerwOBA 0.334 · validated

91

Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots

Hitter optimization

Swing path and decision map

José Ramírez's production (77) outpaces the tools grade (62) by 15 points. Primary finding: high exit velocity but low barrel rate — bat-to-ball efficiency is leaving power on the table. Also flagged: Contact-Discipline Mismatch.

See full optimization →

See the swing in 3D →

Chase Rate Problem

Hold Hold Hold Hold Attack Hold Hold Hold Hold

Pitch recognition training and two-strike approach adjustment

Protected takes / Chase risk

Contact-Discipline Mismatch

Hold Hold Hold Hold Attack Hold Hold Hold Hold

Shorten swing against breaking balls while maintaining bat speed on fastballs

Protected takes / Chase risk

Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

254 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.6σ gap

wOBA (actual)0.358

xwOBA (deserved)0.343

Ramírez’s wOBA sits at 0.358, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.343 — a gap of 0.015, -0.6 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 466 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

Closest profiles

Full constellation →

Player	Similarity	Agrees on	Open
Pasquantino, Vinnie KC · L	0.71	Swing lengthBat speed	Player · Projection
Grisham, Trent NYY · L	0.71	Sweet-spot rateBat speed	Player · Projection
Bellinger, Cody NYY · L	0.68	Barrel rateFly-ball rate	Player · Projection
Stott, Bryson PHI · L	0.67	xwOBA on contactBarrel rate	Player · Projection

Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

Module	Cards	Latest	Signal
Hitting	6	2026-08-30	Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions

Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.337 xwOBA \| 28 HR	Projection
2026-08-15 vs SD0 HR \| 1 RBI / 4 Ch \| 0 E	1-3 \| 2B, K, RBI
2026-05-20 @ DET0 HR \| 1 RBI / 3 Ch \| 0 E	1-5 \| 2B, 3 K, RBI
2026-04-20 vs HOU0 HR \| 0 RBI / 2 Ch \| 1 E	1-4 \| 2B, BB, K
2026-04-17 vs BAL0 HR \| 0 RBI / 2 Ch \| 0 E	0-1 \| 4 BB, R, SB
2026-04-15 @ STL0 HR \| 0 RBI / 0 Ch \| 0 E	0-4 \| K, R

Age	33
Height	5' 8"
Weight	190 lb
Debut	2013-09-01

xwOBA Δ	+0.006
wOBA Δ	+0.021

Hitter Projections 20260.337 xwOBA \| 28 HR	Projection
2026-08-15 vs SD0 HR \| 1 RBI / 4 Ch \| 0 E	1-3 \| 2B, K, RBI
2026-05-20 @ DET0 HR \| 1 RBI / 3 Ch \| 0 E	1-5 \| 2B, 3 K, RBI
2026-04-20 vs HOU0 HR \| 0 RBI / 2 Ch \| 1 E	1-4 \| 2B, BB, K
2026-04-17 vs BAL0 HR \| 0 RBI / 2 Ch \| 0 E	0-1 \| 4 BB, R, SB
2026-04-15 @ STL0 HR \| 0 RBI / 0 Ch \| 0 E	0-4 \| K, R

José Ramírez

Season by season

Season percentile report

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Current traits vs projection tick

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

xwOBA snapshot line

Swing path and decision map

Field-coordinate spray profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Current snapshot

Delta / regression

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

Closest profiles

Module shelf

Available detail