Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 31 |
| Height | 5' 10" |
| Weight | 185 lb |
| Debut | 2019-08-14 |
Player profile / Seattle Mariners
Randy Arozarena
LF · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 10", 185 lb · Age 31
Club Seattle Mariners
Position LF
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 648 | 77 | 120 | 20 | 20 | .219 | .332 | .388 | .720 |
| 2025 | 709 | 95 | 146 | 27 | 31 | .238 | .334 | .426 | .760 |
| 2026 | 571 | 89 | 134 | 22 | 20 | .272 | .368 | .465 | .833 |
| 8 Seasons | 3930 | 541 | 863 | 140 | 151 | .254 | .347 | .438 | .785 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
74
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.317 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.349 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.340 |
| Observed weight | 73% |
xwOBA
0.318
0.329
0.340
0.352
0.362
wOBA
0.368
0.381
0.394
0.408
0.420
ISO
0.167
0.178
0.191
0.204
0.215
K%
20.7%
21.7%
22.8%
23.9%
24.9%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.4%
57
-23 vs proj
Exit velocity90.6
84
Hard-hit%41.6%
65
-25 vs proj
xBA0.347
79
xSLG0.564
71
xwOBA0.349
89
BB%9.9%
67
Bat speed68.8
39
K%21.5%
56
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-2.8 · LF
4
Arm Strength90.7 · LF
24
Outs Above Avg-5.0 · LF
4
Range Runs-4.6 · LF
13
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs2.1 · LF
83
SB Success Rate81.8% · LF
55
Sprint Speed27.0 · LF
39
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.5% · rebadged research
51
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.5% · rebadged research
37
Correct Decisions64.7% · rebadged research
34
Resists FastballwOBA 0.343 · validated
40
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
44
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.306 · borderline
21
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.283 · insufficient sample
33
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.338 · validated thin sample
0
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.339 · insufficient sample
25
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.406 · validated
2
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
250 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.013 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.059 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Arozarena’s wOBA sits at 0.394, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.349 — a gap of 0.045, -1.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 595 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart, Sal CIN · R | 0.70 | Chase rateStrikeout rate | Player · Projection |
| Butler, Lawrence ATH · L | 0.70 | Whiff rateMax exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R | 0.67 | Sweet-spot rateWhiff rate | Player · Projection |
| Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L | 0.66 | Sweet-spot rateAvg exit velocity | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 9 | 2026-08-31 | On-base pressure held the card together |
| Fielding | 22 | 2026-08-30 | 8 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +3.428 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.335 xwOBA | 24 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 @ HOU0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-5 | 2 K |
| 2026-05-20 vs CWS1 HR | 2 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-2 | HR, BB, HBP |
| 2026-04-20 vs ATH0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 3 K |
| 2026-04-17 vs TEX0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K |
| 2026-04-15 @ SD0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | 2B, BB, 3 R |