Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 26 |
| Height | 6' 3" |
| Weight | 210 lb |
| Debut | 2023-08-11 |
Player profile / Athletics
Lawrence Butler
RF · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 3", 210 lb · Age 26
Club Athletics
Position RF
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 451 | 63 | 108 | 22 | 18 | .262 | .317 | .490 | .807 |
| 2025 | 630 | 83 | 133 | 21 | 22 | .234 | .306 | .404 | .710 |
| 2026 | 539 | 64 | 112 | 17 | 10 | .237 | .326 | .394 | .720 |
| 4 Seasons | 1749 | 220 | 379 | 64 | 50 | .240 | .310 | .419 | .729 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
72
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.4%
59
Exit velocity89.3
68
Hard-hit%44.7%
80
xBA0.347
81
xSLG0.566
71
xwOBA0.326
75
BB%11.2%
82
Bat speed71.5
76
K%26.0%
33
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-2.0 · RF
13
Arm Strength93.3 · RF
48
Outs Above Avg-7.0 · RF
2
Range Runs-9.8 · RF
1
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-3.5 · RF
4
SB Success Rate60.0% · RF
14
Sprint Speed26.7 · RF
30
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.8% · rebadged research
84
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.3% · rebadged research
59
Correct Decisions70.6% · rebadged research
89
Resists FastballwOBA 0.352 · validated
26
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline108
85
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.321 · borderline
10
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.267 · insufficient sample
84
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.283 · validated thin sample
42
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.326 · insufficient sample
45
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.292 · validated
100
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
231 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Butler’s wOBA sits at 0.338, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.326 — a gap of 0.013, -0.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 554 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yelich, Christian MIL · L | 0.82 | Oppo ratexwOBA on contact | Player · Projection |
| Arozarena, Randy SEA · R | 0.72 | Oppo rateBarrel rate | Player · Projection |
| Herrera, Iván STL · R | 0.69 | Avg exit velocityBat speed | Player · Projection |
| Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L | 0.69 | Isolated powerChase rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 5 | 2026-09-13 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
| Fielding | 37 | 2026-09-27 | 2 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +1.923 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| 2026-08-15 vs TEX0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB, K |
| 2026-05-20 @ LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 | K |
| 2026-04-20 @ SEA0 HR | 2 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | 2 RBI, SB, CS |
| 2026-04-17 vs CWS0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | K |
| 2026-04-15 vs TEX0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2 K, R |