The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (292+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Arozarena, Randy in signal, the comp in amber.
SEA · bats R · 595 PA
Ranked comps for Arozarena, Randy
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Stewart, Sal CIN · R · 632 PA | 0.70 | Chase rateStrikeout rateWhiff rate | Barrel rate +1.4zFly-ball rate +1.3zOppo rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Butler, Lawrence ATH · L · 460 PA | 0.70 | Whiff rateMax exit velocitySprint speed | Isolated power -1.1zBat speed +0.9zChase rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 521 PA | 0.67 | Sweet-spot rateWhiff rateFly-ball rate | In-zone contact +1.6zSprint speed +1.4zChase rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L · 631 PA | 0.66 | Sweet-spot rateAvg exit velocityOppo rate | In-zone contact +1.6zWalk rate +1.1zIsolated power -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Sánchez, Jesús TOR · L · 307 PA | 0.66 | Avg exit velocityxwOBA on contactPull rate | Walk rate -1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.2zChase rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 392 PA | 0.65 | Sprint speedAvg exit velocityPull rate | Bat speed +1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.0zBarrel rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Walker, Christian HOU · R · 566 PA | 0.64 | Isolated powerHard-hit rateChase rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.6zIn-zone contact +1.4zBat speed +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Goldschmidt, Paul NYY · R · 367 PA | 0.63 | Oppo rateWhiff rateIsolated power | Avg exit velocity -1.3zSprint speed -1.2zFly-ball rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 339 PA | 0.62 | Bat speedSweet-spot rateOppo rate | Isolated power -1.3zxwOBA on contact -1.3zIn-zone contact +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Baldwin, Drake ATL · L · 539 PA | 0.60 | Walk rateStrikeout rateMax exit velocity | Bat speed +1.6zIn-zone contact +1.5zBarrel rate +1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Hernández, Teoscar LAD · R · 421 PA | 0.59 | Oppo rateChase rateAvg exit velocity | Fly-ball rate +1.6zSwing length +1.3zStrikeout rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Karros, Kyle COL · R · 424 PA | 0.59 | Sprint speedHard-hit rateFly-ball rate | In-zone contact +2.4zSweet-spot rate +1.2zChase rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.