Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 31 |
| Height | 6' 2" |
| Weight | 210 lb |
| Debut | 2019-04-20 |
Player profile / Pittsburgh Pirates
Bryan Reynolds
LF · Bats/Throws S/R · 6' 2", 210 lb · Age 31
Club Pittsburgh Pirates
Position LF
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 692 | 73 | 171 | 24 | 10 | .275 | .344 | .447 | .791 |
| 2025 | 654 | 68 | 144 | 16 | 3 | .245 | .318 | .402 | .720 |
| 2026 | 612 | 94 | 137 | 15 | 9 | .263 | .369 | .420 | .789 |
| 8 Seasons | 4612 | 594 | 1103 | 153 | 50 | .270 | .349 | .454 | .803 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
82
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.4%
72
Exit velocity90.9
87
Hard-hit%47.8%
88
xBA0.344
77
xSLG0.599
79
xwOBA0.349
90
BB%13.1%
91
Bat speed70.5
63
K%23.6%
46
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.6 · LF
35
Arm Strength95.0 · LF
60
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · LF
12
Range Runs-3.0 · LF
19
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.1 · LF
65
SB Success Rate100.0% · LF
94
Sprint Speed28.2 · LF
72
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.5% · rebadged research
81
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.4% · rebadged research
76
Correct Decisions71.1% · rebadged research
89
Resists FastballwOBA 0.376 · validated
7
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline109
87
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.269 · borderline
88
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · insufficient sample
56
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.274 · validated thin sample
67
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.332 · insufficient sample
39
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.375 · validated
15
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
249 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Reynolds’s wOBA sits at 0.366, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.349 — a gap of 0.018, -0.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 626 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Butler, Lawrence ATH · L | 0.77 | Chase rateOppo rate | Player · Projection |
| Karros, Kyle COL · R | 0.69 | Chase rateSwing length | Player · Projection |
| Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R | 0.67 | Strikeout rateOppo rate | Player · Projection |
| Arozarena, Randy SEA · R | 0.66 | Ground-ball rateAvg exit velocity | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 8 | 2026-08-16 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
| Fielding | 10 | 2026-09-01 | 5 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +2.013 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.337 xwOBA | 19 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 vs BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K |
| 2026-05-20 @ STL0 HR | 2 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | 2B, K, 2 RBI |
| 2026-04-17 vs TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | BB, 2 K |
| 2026-04-15 vs WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 | 3 BB, R |
| 2026-04-14 vs WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | BB, K, R |