Mithrandir Metrics
Player New York Mets Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / New York Mets

Francisco Álvarez

C profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
3
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club New York Mets Position C Roster Injured 10-Day Status IL-10
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
xwOBA preseason0.312
xwOBA current pace0.343
xwOBA rolling p500.324
Observed weight39%
xwOBA
0.291 0.307 0.324 0.341 0.357
wOBA
0.307 0.332 0.359 0.386 0.411
ISO
0.120 0.139 0.160 0.181 0.199
K%
20.1% 22.1% 24.4% 26.6% 28.6%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%8.6%
44
Barrel%10.0%
93 +25 vs proj
Bat speed72.5
85
Exit velocity90.0
71
Hard-hit%40.4%
51 -22 vs proj
K%21.4%
52 +23 vs proj
xBA0.332
59
xSLG0.619
78
xwOBA0.343
77 +24 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-0.7 · C
19
Catcher Throwing-0.3 · C
29
Framing Runs-1.1 · C
33
Pop Time2.0 · C
50
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.7 · C
15
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-01
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.6% · rebadged research
55
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.1% · rebadged research
50
Correct Decisions65.8% · rebadged research
46
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.275 · borderline
75
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.269 · insufficient sample
78
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.304 · validated thin sample
5
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.349 · insufficient sample
16
Resists FastballwOBA 0.342 · validated
46
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.352 · validated
63
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
54
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Alvarez, Francisco · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 2026-05-17: 0.3432026-05-19: 0.3432026-05-21: 0.3432026-05-23: 0.3432026-05-24: 0.3432026-05-25: 0.3432026-05-26: 0.3432026-05-28: 0.3432026-05-29: 0.3432026-05-30: 0.3432026-05-31: 0.3432026-06-01: 0.343 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Alvarez, Francisco · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 46%46%Chase: 30%30%Whiff: 25%25%Zone contact: 83%83%Contact: 75%75%Hard hit: 40%40% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics SWING PATH Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Swing Path Alvarez, Francisco · aggregate bat-tracking arc Swing tilt 28.0° Length 7.4 ft Ideal path 60% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics ATTACK ANGLE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Attack Angle Alvarez, Francisco · aggregate attack vector Attack angle 9.3° Direction -2.4° MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Alvarez, Francisco · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 74.2 mph Hard swing rate 42% Whiff / swing 22% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age24
Height5' 10"
Weight233 lb
Debut2022-09-30
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.031
wOBA Δ+0.047

negative regression

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting32026-04-11Impact contact was the main driver
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.312 xwOBA | 15 HRProjection
2026-04-17 @ CHC0 HR | 1 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E2-3 | BB, RBI, R
2026-04-15 @ LAD0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E0-2 | BB, HBP, K
2026-04-14 @ LAD0 HR | 0 RBI / 9 Ch | 0 E0-3 | BB, K
2026-04-13 @ LAD0 HR | 0 RBI / 13 Ch | 0 E1-3
2026-04-11 vs ATH1 HR | 1 RBI / 12 Ch | 0 E2-4 | HR, RBI, R