Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 24 |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Weight | 200 lb |
| Debut | 2025-07-30 |
Player profile / Los Angeles Dodgers
Alex Freeland
2B · Bats/Throws S/R · 5' 11", 200 lb · Age 24
Club Los Angeles Dodgers
Position 2B
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 97 | 10 | 16 | 2 | 1 | .190 | .292 | .310 | .602 |
| 2026 | 220 | 24 | 45 | 3 | 2 | .234 | .313 | .318 | .631 |
| 2 Seasons | 317 | 34 | 61 | 5 | 3 | .221 | .307 | .315 | .622 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
38
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.253 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.279 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.267 |
| Observed weight | 52% |
xwOBA
0.225
0.245
0.267
0.289
0.309
wOBA
0.282
0.300
0.321
0.341
0.359
ISO
0.055
0.077
0.100
0.124
0.146
K%
23.4%
26.1%
29.1%
32.1%
34.8%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.7%
29
Exit velocity87.2
37
Hard-hit%37.8%
46
xBA0.323
53
xSLG0.489
42
xwOBA0.279
23
BB%10.4%
71
+25 vs proj
Bat speed68.5
35
K%29.5%
17
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.0 · 2B
36
Arm Strength87.2 · 2B
56
Outs Above Avg3.0 · 2B
85
Range Runs2.3 · 2B
75
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.4 · 2B
54
Sprint Speed26.8 · 2B
34
SB Success Rate100.0% · 2B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 74.6% · rebadged research
91
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.5% · rebadged research
36
Correct Decisions69.0% · rebadged research
79
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.286 · borderline
55
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.265 · insufficient sample
87
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.270 · validated thin sample
81
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.325 · insufficient sample
68
Resists FastballwOBA 0.356 · validated
19
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.342 · validated
87
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline108
84
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
97 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.005 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.036 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Freeland’s wOBA sits at 0.321, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.279 — a gap of 0.041, -1.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 241 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey, Patrick CLE · L | 0.67 | Oppo rateHard-hit rate | Player · Projection |
| Norby, Connor MIA · R | 0.64 | Bat speedMax exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Carter, Evan TEX · L | 0.58 | Hard-hit rateBarrel rate | Player · Projection |
| Winn, Masyn STL · R | 0.58 | Avg exit velocityIsolated power | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 1 | 2026-03-27 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.285 xwOBA | 7 HR | Projection |
| 2026-04-17 @ COL0 HR | 1 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | RBI |
| 2026-04-15 vs NYM0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-14 vs NYM0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 |
| 2026-04-12 vs TEX0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB, K |
| 2026-04-11 vs TEX0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 2 K |