Mithrandir Metrics
Palantir lane 2024-04-18 Refreshed Sep 1 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs

Home run board.

Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.

Rows
43
Matched
129
Lineups
0
HR BOARD 2024-04-18 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay PALANTIR production FANGORN nonlinear lane VALINOR calibrated lane LINEUP FILTER armed; waiting on confirmed lineups
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable

Model Lane

Home Runs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn production Valinor rebadged research

Selective Lane

Palantir is available, but quiet today.

Palantir covers Home Run Market Gaps as a selective lane but didn't qualify any rows on today's slate. Try Palantir or check back tomorrow.

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Lineups not posted

The in-lineup filter is armed, but no confirmed lineup artifact exists for this date yet. The board is showing the projected pool honestly.

Home-run board · largest Palantir gap versus market
# Player Matchup Sim Implied Gap Three lanes · P/F/V Spread Park Weather Recent Best line
01
Rafael Devers SF
Lineup pending
SF vs AZRyne Nelson · slot 2
 --Palantir 20.0%market +3.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.941xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 380 avg 3 books
02
Jarren Duran BOS
Lineup pending
BOS vs CLECarlos Carrasco · slot 1
 --Palantir 12.0%market +2.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.963xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 705 avg 3 books
03
Yoán Moncada LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs TBRyan Pepiot · slot 6
 --Palantir 14.4%market +1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 570 avg 3 books
04
Zach Neto LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs TBRyan Pepiot · slot 1
 --Palantir 17.6%market +1.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 445 avg 3 books
05
Masataka Yoshida BOS
Lineup pending
BOS vs CLECarlos Carrasco · slot 7
 --Palantir 9.9%market +1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.963xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 875 avg 3 books
06
Jonathan Aranda TB
Lineup pending
TB vs LAAGriffin Canning · slot 3
 --Palantir 14.4%market +0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 570 avg 3 books
07
Cedric Mullins TB
Lineup pending
TB vs LAAGriffin Canning · slot 5
 --Palantir 14.9%market +0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 545 avg 3 books
08
Jake Fraley TB
Lineup pending
TB vs LAAGriffin Canning · slot 6
 --Palantir 12.7%market +0.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 660 avg 3 books
09
Nolan Schanuel LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs TBRyan Pepiot · slot 7
 --Palantir 9.2%market -0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 940 avg 3 books
10
Wilyer Abreu BOS
Lineup pending
BOS vs CLECarlos Carrasco · slot 4
 --Palantir 17.9%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.963xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 440 avg 3 books
11
Roman Anthony BOS
Lineup pending
BOS vs CLECarlos Carrasco · slot 2
 --Palantir 14.0%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.963xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 615 avg 3 books
12
Mike Trout LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs TBRyan Pepiot · slot 2
 --Palantir 20.8%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 365 avg 3 books
13
Junior Caminero TB
Lineup pending
TB vs LAAGriffin Canning · slot 4
 --Palantir 24.1%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 300 avg 3 books
14
Gavin Lux TB
Lineup pending
TB vs LAAGriffin Canning · slot 7
 --Palantir 7.7%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
15
Yandy Díaz TB
Lineup pending
TB vs LAAGriffin Canning · slot 2
 --Palantir 15.1%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 540 avg 3 books
16
Triston Casas BOS
Lineup pending
BOS vs CLECarlos Carrasco · slot 5
 --Palantir 17.7%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.963xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 445 avg 3 books
17
Logan O'Hoppe LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs TBRyan Pepiot · slot 5
 --Palantir 18.1%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 435 avg 3 books
18
Jorge Soler LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs TBRyan Pepiot · slot 3
 --Palantir 18.6%market -0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 420 avg 3 books
19
Jo Adell LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs TBRyan Pepiot · slot 4
 --Palantir 22.2%market -0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 335 avg 3 books
20
Travis D'Arnaud LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs TBRyan Pepiot · slot 8
 --Palantir 14.1%market -1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 585 avg 3 books
21
Christopher Morel MIA
Lineup pending
MIA vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 5
 --Palantir 17.2%market -1.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.926xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 460 avg 3 books
22
Jakob Marsee MIA
Lineup pending
MIA vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 2
 --Palantir 11.8%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.926xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 750 avg 3 books
23
Romy Gonzalez BOS
Lineup pending
BOS vs CLECarlos Carrasco · slot 6
 --Palantir 12.4%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.963xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 705 avg 3 books
24
Kyle Stowers MIA
Lineup pending
MIA vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 3
 --Palantir 17.7%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.926xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 445 avg 3 books
25
Jung Hoo Lee SF
Lineup pending
SF vs AZRyne Nelson · slot 7
 --Palantir 7.7%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.941xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
26
Corbin Carroll AZ
Lineup pending
AZ vs SFLogan Webb · slot 1
 --Palantir 18.7%market -2.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.941xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 435 avg 3 books
27
Heriberto Hernández MIA
Lineup pending
MIA vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 6
 --Palantir 14.1%market -2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.926xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 610 avg 3 books
28
Connor Norby MIA
Lineup pending
MIA vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 7
 --Palantir 13.8%market -2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.926xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 625 avg 3 books
29
Agustín Ramírez MIA
Lineup pending
MIA vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 4
 --Palantir 15.8%market -2.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.926xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 535 avg 3 books
30
Tyler Fitzgerald SF
Lineup pending
SF vs AZRyne Nelson · slot 6
 --Palantir 13.6%market -2.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.941xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 635 avg 3 books
31
Luis Arraez SF
Lineup pending
SF vs AZRyne Nelson · slot 1
 --Palantir 8.0%market -2.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.941xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
32
Heliot Ramos SF
Lineup pending
SF vs AZRyne Nelson · slot 5
 --Palantir 15.0%market -2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.941xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 565 avg 3 books
33
Matt Chapman SF
Lineup pending
SF vs AZRyne Nelson · slot 3
 --Palantir 17.0%market -2.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.941xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 490 avg 3 books
34
Geraldo Perdomo AZ
Lineup pending
AZ vs SFLogan Webb · slot 3
 --Palantir 10.2%market -2.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.941xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 885 avg 3 books
35
Willson Contreras BOS
Lineup pending
BOS vs CLECarlos Carrasco · slot 3
 --Palantir 17.2%market -2.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.963xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 480 avg 3 books
36
Willy Adames SF
Lineup pending
SF vs AZRyne Nelson · slot 4
 --Palantir 18.4%market -2.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.941xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 445 avg 3 books
37
Adrian Del Castillo AZ
Lineup pending
AZ vs SFLogan Webb · slot 7
 --Palantir 14.5%market -3.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.941xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 590 avg 3 books
38
Pavin Smith AZ
Lineup pending
AZ vs SFLogan Webb · slot 6
 --Palantir 14.8%market -3.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.941xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 575 avg 3 books
39
Carlos Santana AZ
Lineup pending
AZ vs SFLogan Webb · slot 5
 --Palantir 14.9%market -3.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.941xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 570 avg 3 books
40
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. AZ
Lineup pending
AZ vs SFLogan Webb · slot 4
 --Palantir 15.8%market -4.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.941xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 535 avg 3 books
41
Xavier Edwards MIA
Lineup pending
MIA vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 1
 --Palantir 8.0%market -4.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.926xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
42
Chandler Simpson TB
Lineup pending
TB vs LAAGriffin Canning · slot 1
 --Palantir 8.0%market -4.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
43
Ketel Marte AZ
Lineup pending
AZ vs SFLogan Webb · slot 2
 --Palantir 22.0%market -6.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.941xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 355 avg 3 books

Data context

0 sample flags
Status0roster/transaction rows
Lineups0confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows

Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.