Free-source markets • Anchor readiness • Line shopping
Market Watch
Before judging a number, inspect the market behind it.
Market Watch separates consensus-backed rows from sparse single-book rows. The goal is not to declare something mispriced; it is to decide whether the market is strong enough to support that conversation.
Snapshot
20260601
22%
consensus-backed
Tracked
1343
Anchor-ready
293
Input rows
1924
Updated
2026-06-01 12:00 UTC
Consensus proxy 293
Single-book only 21
Insufficient 1029
Sparse rows still matter for price shopping. They should not be treated as proof of closing-line value.
Lane Health
2026-06-01
Palantir
3096 props
Brier 0.126
ECE 0.030
14d stable
Fangorn
3096 props
Brier 0.126
ECE 0.009
14d error falling
Valinor
1176 props
Brier 0.125
ECE 0.013
14d stable
Palantir
49 props
Brier 0.228
ECE 0.190
sample building
Fangorn
13 props
Brier 0.239
ECE 0.139
sample building
Valinor
32 props
Brier 0.236
ECE 0.220
sample building
Palantir
194 props
Brier 0.262
ECE 0.207
sample building
Fangorn
tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor
tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir
2 props
Brier 0.560
ECE 0.748
sample building
Fangorn
tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor
tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir
40 props
Brier 0.249
ECE 0.040
sample building
Fangorn
tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor
tracking in progress (0 logged)
Palantir
tracking in progress (0 logged)
Fangorn
tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor
tracking in progress (0 logged)
Rolling Accountability
Recent Market Quality
How often the free-source market has enough book coverage to support a cautious consensus-style anchor.
Days covered
15
| Date | Tracked | Anchor-Ready | Consensus Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20260601 | 1343 | 293 | 21.8% |
| 20260531 | 3247 | 619 | 19.1% |
| 20260530 | 2446 | 543 | 22.2% |
| 20260529 | 2148 | 600 | 27.9% |
| 20260528 | 779 | 258 | 33.1% |
| 20260526 | 2399 | 664 | 27.7% |
| 20260525 | 1313 | 25 | 1.9% |
Structure Report
Which prop lanes are healthiest?
Each lane is judged by source depth, current consensus rate, and stability versus its recent average.
Prop Lane
Total Bases
34%
latest consensus rate
Prop Lane
Home Run
32%
latest consensus rate
Prop Lane
Strikeouts
19%
latest consensus rate
Prop Lane
Hits
0%
latest consensus rate
Prop Lane
Pitcher Outs
0%
latest consensus rate
Coverage Mix
Tracked market families
The page is only as strong as the markets it can see. This mix keeps coverage limits visible.
Anchor-Ready
Consensus-Proxy Markets
These rows have enough complete free-source book coverage to support a cautious CLV-style anchor.
| Player | Market | Anchor | Best Over | Best Under | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Cade Cavalli
WSH vs MIA
|
Strikeouts 5.5
3/3 complete books | BetMGM, DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 46.0% Under 54.0% |
+106
FanDuel | Spread +207
|
-127
DraftKings | Spread +13
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Chase Burns
CIN vs KC
|
Strikeouts 6.5
3/3 complete books | BetMGM, DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 55.0% Under 45.0% |
-130
BetMGM | Spread +18
|
+116
DraftKings | Spread +221
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Eduardo Rodriguez
ARI vs LAD
|
Strikeouts 3.5
3/3 complete books | BetMGM, DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 57.0% Under 43.0% |
-145
BetMGM | Spread +7
|
+124
FanDuel | Spread +19
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Emmet Sheehan
LAD vs ARI
|
Strikeouts 5.5
3/3 complete books | BetMGM, DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 47.5% Under 52.5% |
+100
FanDuel | Spread +205
|
-122
FanDuel | Spread +4
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Griffin Jax
TB vs DET
|
Strikeouts 4.5
3/3 complete books | BetMGM, DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 54.6% Under 45.4% |
-130
BetMGM | Spread +10
|
+112
FanDuel | Spread +217
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Joe Ryan
MIN vs CWS
|
Strikeouts 5.5
3/3 complete books | BetMGM, DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 58.2% Under 41.8% |
-150
BetMGM | Spread +13
|
+130
FanDuel | Spread +20
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Kyle Freeland
COL vs LAA
|
Strikeouts 4.5
3/3 complete books | BetMGM, DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 58.1% Under 41.9% |
-155
BetMGM | Spread +3
|
+128
FanDuel | Spread +13
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Landen Roupp
SF vs MIL
|
Strikeouts 5.5
3/3 complete books | BetMGM, DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 51.2% Under 48.8% |
-111
DraftKings | Spread +19
|
-102
FanDuel | Spread +13
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Luinder Avila
KC vs CIN
|
Strikeouts 3.5
3/3 complete books | BetMGM, DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 43.8% Under 56.2% |
+118
FanDuel | Spread +13
|
-139
DraftKings | Spread +19
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Michael McGreevy
STL vs TEX
|
Strikeouts 3.5
3/3 complete books | BetMGM, DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 48.9% Under 51.1% |
+100
BetMGM | Spread +216
|
-110
DraftKings | Spread +25
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Ty Madden
DET vs TB
|
Strikeouts 3.5
3/3 complete books | BetMGM, DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 53.6% Under 46.4% |
-125
BetMGM | Spread +19
|
+108
FanDuel | Spread +213
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Agustín Ramírez
MIA vs WSH
|
Home Run 0.5
2/3 complete books | DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 12.0% Under 88.0% |
+585
FanDuel | Spread +5
|
-795
DraftKings | Spread +50
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Agustín Ramírez
MIA vs WSH
|
Total Bases 0.5
2/3 complete books | DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 68.7% Under 31.3% |
-230
FanDuel | Spread +10
|
+210
DraftKings | Spread +20
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Agustín Ramírez
MIA vs WSH
|
Total Bases 1.5
2/3 complete books | DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 54.8% Under 45.2% |
-130
BetMGM | Spread +0
|
+115
DraftKings | Spread +5
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Agustín Ramírez
MIA vs WSH
|
Total Bases 2.5
2/3 complete books | DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 30.0% Under 70.0% |
+215
BetMGM | Spread +5
|
-245
DraftKings | Spread +10
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Alec Burleson
STL vs TEX
|
Home Run 0.5
2/3 complete books | DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 11.1% Under 88.9% |
+625
BetMGM | Spread +0
|
-870
DraftKings | Spread +55
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Alec Burleson
STL vs TEX
|
Total Bases 0.5
2/3 complete books | DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 77.0% Under 23.0% |
-350
FanDuel | Spread +20
|
+315
DraftKings | Spread +35
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Alec Burleson
STL vs TEX
|
Total Bases 1.5
2/3 complete books | DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 58.0% Under 42.0% |
-145
BetMGM | Spread +5
|
+130
DraftKings | Spread +5
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Alec Burleson
STL vs TEX
|
Total Bases 2.5
2/3 complete books | DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 34.3% Under 65.7% |
+175
BetMGM | Spread +0
|
-200
DraftKings | Spread +10
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Alex Call
LAD vs AZ
|
Total Bases 0.5
2/3 complete books | DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 69.2% Under 30.8% |
-235
FanDuel | Spread +10
|
+215
DraftKings | Spread +20
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Alex Call
LAD vs AZ
|
Total Bases 1.5
2/3 complete books | DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 48.8% Under 51.2% |
-100
FanDuel | Spread +5
|
-110
DraftKings | Spread +5
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Alex Call
LAD vs AZ
|
Total Bases 2.5
2/3 complete books | DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 27.4% Under 71.8% |
+265
BetMGM | Spread +0
|
-255
DraftKings | Spread +0
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Andrew Benintendi
CWS vs MIN
|
Home Run 0.5
2/3 complete books | DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 10.8% Under 89.2% |
+640
BetMGM | Spread +0
|
-900
DraftKings | Spread +55
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Andrew Benintendi
CWS vs MIN
|
Total Bases 0.5
2/3 complete books | DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 70.2% Under 29.8% |
-245
FanDuel | Spread +10
|
+225
DraftKings | Spread +20
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Andrew Benintendi
CWS vs MIN
|
Total Bases 1.5
2/3 complete books | DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 51.2% Under 48.8% |
-110
FanDuel | Spread +5
|
+100
DraftKings | Spread +205
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Andrew Benintendi
CWS vs MIN
|
Total Bases 2.5
2/3 complete books | DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 29.0% Under 71.0% |
+230
BetMGM | Spread +0
|
-255
DraftKings | Spread +0
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Andy Pages
LAD vs AZ
|
Home Run 0.5
2/3 complete books | DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 11.2% Under 88.8% |
+620
BetMGM | Spread +0
|
-860
DraftKings | Spread +55
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Andy Pages
LAD vs AZ
|
Total Bases 0.5
2/3 complete books | DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 76.9% Under 23.1% |
-345
FanDuel | Spread +25
|
+310
DraftKings | Spread +30
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Andy Pages
LAD vs AZ
|
Total Bases 1.5
2/3 complete books | DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 60.3% Under 39.7% |
-160
BetMGM | Spread +5
|
+145
DraftKings | Spread +10
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Andy Pages
LAD vs AZ
|
Total Bases 2.5
2/3 complete books | DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 37.0% Under 63.0% |
+160
FanDuel | Spread +5
|
-175
DraftKings | Spread +15
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
Shopping Lane
Line-Shop Only Markets
These rows can still help with shopping prices, but they should not be treated as honest CLV anchors yet.
| Player | Market | Anchor | Best Over | Best Under | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Chase Meidroth
CWS vs MIN
|
Home Run 0.5
2/3 complete books | DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 5.0% Under 95.0% |
+1150
BetMGM | Spread +0
|
-2120
DraftKings | Spread +280
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Edgar Quero
CWS vs MIN
|
Home Run 0.5
2/3 complete books | DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 5.0% Under 95.0% |
+1150
BetMGM | Spread +0
|
-2120
DraftKings | Spread +280
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
José Tena
WSH vs MIA
|
Home Run 0.5
2/3 complete books | DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 5.0% Under 95.0% |
+1150
BetMGM | Spread +0
|
-2120
DraftKings | Spread +280
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Chase Burns
CIN vs KC
|
Strikeouts 6.5
3/3 complete books | BetMGM, DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 55.0% Under 45.0% |
-130
BetMGM | Spread +18
|
+116
DraftKings | Spread +221
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Griffin Jax
TB vs DET
|
Strikeouts 4.5
3/3 complete books | BetMGM, DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 54.6% Under 45.4% |
-130
BetMGM | Spread +10
|
+112
FanDuel | Spread +217
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Michael McGreevy
STL vs TEX
|
Strikeouts 3.5
3/3 complete books | BetMGM, DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 48.9% Under 51.1% |
+100
BetMGM | Spread +216
|
-110
DraftKings | Spread +25
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Ty Madden
DET vs TB
|
Strikeouts 3.5
3/3 complete books | BetMGM, DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 53.6% Under 46.4% |
-125
BetMGM | Spread +19
|
+108
FanDuel | Spread +213
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Cade Cavalli
WSH vs MIA
|
Strikeouts 5.5
3/3 complete books | BetMGM, DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 46.0% Under 54.0% |
+106
FanDuel | Spread +207
|
-127
DraftKings | Spread +13
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Emmet Sheehan
LAD vs ARI
|
Strikeouts 5.5
3/3 complete books | BetMGM, DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 47.5% Under 52.5% |
+100
FanDuel | Spread +205
|
-122
FanDuel | Spread +4
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Geraldo Perdomo
AZ vs LAD
|
Home Run 0.5
2/3 complete books | DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 6.9% Under 93.1% |
+935
DraftKings | Spread +20
|
-1520
DraftKings | Spread +85
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Keibert Ruiz
WSH vs MIA
|
Home Run 0.5
2/3 complete books | DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 7.4% Under 92.6% |
+880
DraftKings | Spread +15
|
-1395
DraftKings | Spread +80
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Brice Turang
MIL vs SF
|
Home Run 0.5
2/3 complete books | DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 7.6% Under 92.4% |
+865
DraftKings | Spread +15
|
-1360
DraftKings | Spread +75
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Edouard Julien
COL vs LAA
|
Home Run 0.5
2/3 complete books | DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 8.5% Under 91.5% |
+790
DraftKings | Spread +5
|
-1195
DraftKings | Spread +75
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Jakob Marsee
MIA vs WSH
|
Home Run 0.5
2/3 complete books | DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 7.7% Under 92.3% |
+855
DraftKings | Spread +10
|
-1340
DraftKings | Spread +75
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Daylen Lile
WSH vs MIA
|
Home Run 0.5
2/3 complete books | DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 8.7% Under 91.3% |
+770
DraftKings | Spread +5
|
-1150
DraftKings | Spread +70
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Evan Carter
TEX vs STL
|
Home Run 0.5
2/3 complete books | DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 8.6% Under 91.4% |
+780
DraftKings | Spread +5
|
-1175
DraftKings | Spread +70
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Bo Bichette
NYM vs SEA
|
Home Run 0.5
2/3 complete books | DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 9.4% Under 90.6% |
+725
DraftKings | Spread +5
|
-1060
DraftKings | Spread +65
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Brenton Doyle
COL vs LAA
|
Home Run 0.5
2/3 complete books | DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 9.7% Under 90.3% |
+700
DraftKings | Spread +5
|
-1015
DraftKings | Spread +60
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Ezequiel Tovar
COL vs LAA
|
Home Run 0.5
2/3 complete books | DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 10.3% Under 89.7% |
+670
DraftKings | Spread +5
|
-950
DraftKings | Spread +60
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Iván Herrera
STL vs TEX
|
Home Run 0.5
2/3 complete books | DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 10.2% Under 89.8% |
+670
BetMGM | Spread +0
|
-955
DraftKings | Spread +60
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Luis García Jr.
WSH vs MIA
|
Home Run 0.5
2/3 complete books | DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 10.2% Under 89.8% |
+675
DraftKings | Spread +5
|
-965
DraftKings | Spread +60
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Alec Burleson
STL vs TEX
|
Home Run 0.5
2/3 complete books | DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 11.1% Under 88.9% |
+625
BetMGM | Spread +0
|
-870
DraftKings | Spread +55
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Andrew Benintendi
CWS vs MIN
|
Home Run 0.5
2/3 complete books | DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 10.8% Under 89.2% |
+640
BetMGM | Spread +0
|
-900
DraftKings | Spread +55
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Andy Pages
LAD vs AZ
|
Home Run 0.5
2/3 complete books | DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 11.2% Under 88.8% |
+620
BetMGM | Spread +0
|
-860
DraftKings | Spread +55
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Agustín Ramírez
MIA vs WSH
|
Home Run 0.5
2/3 complete books | DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 12.0% Under 88.0% |
+585
FanDuel | Spread +5
|
-795
DraftKings | Spread +50
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
CJ Abrams
WSH vs MIA
|
Home Run 0.5
2/3 complete books | DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 11.9% Under 88.1% |
+590
FanDuel | Spread +5
|
-800
DraftKings | Spread +50
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Carlos Santana
AZ vs LAD
|
Home Run 0.5
2/3 complete books | DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 11.4% Under 88.6% |
+610
FanDuel | Spread +5
|
-840
DraftKings | Spread +50
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Joc Pederson
TEX vs STL
|
Home Run 0.5
2/3 complete books | DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 12.1% Under 87.9% |
+580
FanDuel | Spread +5
|
-780
DraftKings | Spread +50
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Brandon Nimmo
TEX vs STL
|
Home Run 0.5
2/3 complete books | DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 13.8% Under 86.2% |
+515
FanDuel | Spread +10
|
-670
DraftKings | Spread +45
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |
|
Freddie Freeman
LAD vs AZ
|
Home Run 0.5
2/3 complete books | DraftKings, FanDuel
|
Over 13.7% Under 86.3% |
+515
FanDuel | Spread +5
|
-675
DraftKings | Spread +45
|
Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor. |