Before judging a number, inspect the market behind it.

Market Watch separates consensus-backed rows from sparse single-book rows. The goal is not to declare something mispriced; it is to decide whether the market is strong enough to support that conversation.

Anchor-Ready Markets Line-Shop Only

Snapshot 20261024

0% consensus-backed

Tracked 171

Anchor-ready 0

Input rows 0

Updated 2026-10-24 11:53 UTC

Sparse rows still matter for price shopping. They should not be treated as proof of closing-line value.

Lane Health 2026-10-26

Palantir 22485 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.004 14d error rising

Fangorn 22485 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.005 14d error rising

Valinor 16797 props Brier 0.114 ECE 0.002 14d error rising

Palantir 2000 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.010 sample building

Fangorn 53 props Brier 0.257 ECE 0.119 sample building

Valinor 1496 props Brier 0.248 ECE 0.010 sample building

Palantir 10922 props Brier 0.238 ECE 0.042 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir 889 props Brier 0.170 ECE 0.040 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir 1106 props Brier 0.255 ECE 0.052 sample building

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Palantir tracking in progress (0 logged)

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Rolling Accountability

Recent Market Quality

How often the free-source market has enough book coverage to support a cautious consensus-style anchor.

Days covered 22

Average readiness 34% rolling consensus rate

20261019 100% 1 of 1 rows ready

20261023 100% 3 of 3 rows ready

20261024 1% 2 of 171 rows ready

Date	Tracked	Anchor-Ready	Consensus Rate
20261024	171	2	1.2%
20261023	3	3	100.0%
20261019	1	1	100.0%
20261018	172	3	1.7%
20261017	1	1	100.0%
20261016	1	1	100.0%
20261015	173	3	1.7%

Structure Report

Which prop lanes are healthiest?

Each lane is judged by source depth, current consensus rate, and stability versus its recent average.

Best current lane --

Weakest lane --

Coverage Mix

Tracked market families

The page is only as strong as the markets it can see. This mix keeps coverage limits visible.

Anchor-Ready

Consensus-Proxy Markets

These rows have enough complete free-source book coverage to support a cautious CLV-style anchor.

Player	Market	Anchor	Best Over	Best Under	Read
Drew Rasmussen TB vs MIL	Strikeouts 5.5 3/3 complete books \| BetMGM, DraftKings, FanDuel	Over 55.1% Under 44.9%	-125 BetMGM \| Spread +25	+118 FanDuel \| Spread +223	Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor.
Logan Henderson MIL vs TB	Strikeouts 4.5 3/3 complete books \| BetMGM, DraftKings, FanDuel	Over 55.0% Under 45.0%	-120 BetMGM \| Spread +29	+117 DraftKings \| Spread +227	Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor.

Shopping Lane

Line-Shop Only Markets

These rows can still help with shopping prices, but they should not be treated as honest CLV anchors yet.

Player	Market	Anchor	Best Over	Best Under	Read
Logan Henderson MIL vs TB	Strikeouts 4.5 3/3 complete books \| BetMGM, DraftKings, FanDuel	Over 55.0% Under 45.0%	-120 BetMGM \| Spread +29	+117 DraftKings \| Spread +227	Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor.
Drew Rasmussen TB vs MIL	Strikeouts 5.5 3/3 complete books \| BetMGM, DraftKings, FanDuel	Over 55.1% Under 44.9%	-125 BetMGM \| Spread +25	+118 FanDuel \| Spread +223	Consensus Proxy Multiple complete books support a usable free-source anchor.
Brice Turang --	Hits 0.5 1 source book \| FanDuel	Over -- Under --	-175 FanDuel	-- --	Sparse This market is too thin to claim an honest anchor right now.
Brice Turang --	Hits 1.5 1 source book \| FanDuel	Over -- Under --	+350 FanDuel	-- --	Sparse This market is too thin to claim an honest anchor right now.
Brice Turang --	Hits 2.5 1 source book \| FanDuel	Over -- Under --	+2200 FanDuel	-- --	Sparse This market is too thin to claim an honest anchor right now.
Brice Turang --	Hits 3.5 1 source book \| FanDuel	Over -- Under --	+17500 FanDuel	-- --	Sparse This market is too thin to claim an honest anchor right now.
Chandler Simpson --	Hits 0.5 1 source book \| FanDuel	Over -- Under --	-260 FanDuel	-- --	Sparse This market is too thin to claim an honest anchor right now.
Chandler Simpson --	Hits 1.5 1 source book \| FanDuel	Over -- Under --	+210 FanDuel	-- --	Sparse This market is too thin to claim an honest anchor right now.
Chandler Simpson --	Hits 2.5 1 source book \| FanDuel	Over -- Under --	+1200 FanDuel	-- --	Sparse This market is too thin to claim an honest anchor right now.
Chandler Simpson --	Hits 3.5 1 source book \| FanDuel	Over -- Under --	+8000 FanDuel	-- --	Sparse This market is too thin to claim an honest anchor right now.
Christian Yelich --	Hits 0.5 1 source book \| FanDuel	Over -- Under --	-145 FanDuel	-- --	Sparse This market is too thin to claim an honest anchor right now.
Christian Yelich --	Hits 1.5 1 source book \| FanDuel	Over -- Under --	+460 FanDuel	-- --	Sparse This market is too thin to claim an honest anchor right now.
Christian Yelich --	Hits 2.5 1 source book \| FanDuel	Over -- Under --	+3000 FanDuel	-- --	Sparse This market is too thin to claim an honest anchor right now.
Cooper Pratt --	Hits 0.5 1 source book \| FanDuel	Over -- Under --	-150 FanDuel	-- --	Sparse This market is too thin to claim an honest anchor right now.
Cooper Pratt --	Hits 1.5 1 source book \| FanDuel	Over -- Under --	+430 FanDuel	-- --	Sparse This market is too thin to claim an honest anchor right now.
Cooper Pratt --	Hits 2.5 1 source book \| FanDuel	Over -- Under --	+2700 FanDuel	-- --	Sparse This market is too thin to claim an honest anchor right now.
Cooper Pratt --	Hits 3.5 1 source book \| FanDuel	Over -- Under --	+22500 FanDuel	-- --	Sparse This market is too thin to claim an honest anchor right now.
David Hamilton --	Hits 0.5 1 source book \| FanDuel	Over -- Under --	-105 FanDuel	-- --	Sparse This market is too thin to claim an honest anchor right now.
David Hamilton --	Hits 1.5 1 source book \| FanDuel	Over -- Under --	+700 FanDuel	-- --	Sparse This market is too thin to claim an honest anchor right now.
David Hamilton --	Hits 2.5 1 source book \| FanDuel	Over -- Under --	+5000 FanDuel	-- --	Sparse This market is too thin to claim an honest anchor right now.
Drew Rasmussen --	Pitcher Outs 16.5 1/1 complete books \| FanDuel	Over 55.4% Under 44.6%	-144 FanDuel	+106 FanDuel	Line Shop Only Pricing is useful for shopping, but not trustworthy enough for CLV.
Drew Rasmussen --	Strikeouts 5.5 1/1 complete books \| FanDuel	Over 56.9% Under 43.1%	-148 FanDuel	+116 FanDuel	Line Shop Only Pricing is useful for shopping, but not trustworthy enough for CLV.
Garrett Mitchell --	Hits 0.5 1 source book \| FanDuel	Over -- Under --	-120 FanDuel	-- --	Sparse This market is too thin to claim an honest anchor right now.
Garrett Mitchell --	Hits 1.5 1 source book \| FanDuel	Over -- Under --	+550 FanDuel	-- --	Sparse This market is too thin to claim an honest anchor right now.
Garrett Mitchell --	Hits 2.5 1 source book \| FanDuel	Over -- Under --	+4000 FanDuel	-- --	Sparse This market is too thin to claim an honest anchor right now.
Jackson Chourio --	Hits 0.5 1 source book \| FanDuel	Over -- Under --	-220 FanDuel	-- --	Sparse This market is too thin to claim an honest anchor right now.
Jackson Chourio --	Hits 1.5 1 source book \| FanDuel	Over -- Under --	+260 FanDuel	-- --	Sparse This market is too thin to claim an honest anchor right now.
Jackson Chourio --	Hits 2.5 1 source book \| FanDuel	Over -- Under --	+1600 FanDuel	-- --	Sparse This market is too thin to claim an honest anchor right now.
Jackson Chourio --	Hits 3.5 1 source book \| FanDuel	Over -- Under --	+10000 FanDuel	-- --	Sparse This market is too thin to claim an honest anchor right now.
Jake Bauers --	Hits 0.5 1 source book \| FanDuel	Over -- Under --	-135 FanDuel	-- --	Sparse This market is too thin to claim an honest anchor right now.