The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (208+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Raleigh, Cal in signal, the comp in amber.

SEA · bats L · 301 PA

Ranked comps for Raleigh, Cal

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Gorman, Nolan STL · L · 242 PA 0.56 xwOBA on contactStrikeout rateWalk rate Fly-ball rate -1.4zWhiff rate +1.3zOppo rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Wells, Austin NYY · L · 233 PA 0.51 Whiff rateAvg exit velocitySprint speed Fly-ball rate -2.0zGround-ball rate +1.4zHard-hit rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Montgomery, Colson CWS · L · 410 PA 0.51 Swing lengthStrikeout rateOppo rate Isolated power +1.7zFly-ball rate -1.6zxwOBA on contact +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Castro, Willi COL · L · 345 PA 0.47 Chase ratexwOBA on contactMax exit velocity Fly-ball rate -2.0zSprint speed +1.9zWalk rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 283 PA 0.47 Bat speedxwOBA on contactWhiff rate Fly-ball rate -2.6zSprint speed +1.5zIn-zone contact +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Carpenter, Kerry DET · L · 257 PA 0.45 Barrel rateWhiff rateStrikeout rate Hard-hit rate +1.8zMax exit velocity -1.4zWalk rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Manzardo, Kyle CLE · L · 332 PA 0.44 Barrel rateStrikeout rateSweet-spot rate Fly-ball rate -2.3zGround-ball rate +1.6zBat speed -1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Suárez, Eugenio CIN · R · 283 PA 0.42 Avg exit velocityxwOBA on contactSprint speed Fly-ball rate -2.6zGround-ball rate +1.4zOppo rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Soler, Jorge LAA · R · 334 PA 0.41 Avg exit velocityStrikeout rateSprint speed Fly-ball rate -3.1zGround-ball rate +1.8zChase rate -1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Neto, Zach LAA · R · 444 PA 0.41 Strikeout rateSweet-spot rateChase rate Swing length -2.0zMax exit velocity -1.6zSprint speed +1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 418 PA 0.37 Pull rateOppo rateBat speed Swing length -1.9zFly-ball rate -1.7zIsolated power +1.7z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 400 PA 0.37 In-zone contactSwing lengthOppo rate Fly-ball rate -2.1zChase rate -1.8zGround-ball rate +1.8z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.