The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Lewis, Royce in signal, the comp in amber.
MIN · bats R · 438 PA
Ranked comps for Lewis, Royce
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Adames, Willy SF · R · 517 PA | 0.75 | Sprint speedOppo ratePull rate | Max exit velocity -1.1zFly-ball rate +1.0zIsolated power +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Crews, Dylan WSH · R · 362 PA | 0.71 | Chase rateMax exit velocityxwOBA on contact | Pull rate -1.6zGround-ball rate +1.2zSwing length -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 557 PA | 0.71 | Max exit velocityOppo rateWhiff rate | Isolated power +1.2zSprint speed -1.1zFly-ball rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Riley, Austin ATL · R · 557 PA | 0.70 | Walk rateWhiff rateChase rate | Swing length -1.2zStrikeout rate +1.1zPull rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Castro, Willi COL · L · 494 PA | 0.69 | Pull ratexwOBA on contactIsolated power | Swing length -1.9zAvg exit velocity -0.9zGround-ball rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Bell, Josh MIN · L · 552 PA | 0.67 | Walk ratexwOBA on contactAvg exit velocity | Ground-ball rate +1.5zWhiff rate -1.5zSprint speed -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 586 PA | 0.67 | Avg exit velocityStrikeout rateHard-hit rate | Isolated power +1.6zSwing length -0.9zOppo rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 582 PA | 0.66 | Strikeout rateBarrel rateIn-zone contact | Swing length -1.4zOppo rate +0.9zSprint speed +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Soler, Jorge LAA · R · 381 PA | 0.65 | Fly-ball rateOppo ratexwOBA on contact | Strikeout rate +1.5zSprint speed -1.4zIn-zone contact -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Burger, Jake TEX · R · 535 PA | 0.63 | Walk rateBarrel rateFly-ball rate | Ground-ball rate +1.8zSweet-spot rate -1.4zSwing length -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Wells, Austin NYY · L · 335 PA | 0.63 | In-zone contactOppo rateSweet-spot rate | Sprint speed -1.5zBarrel rate -1.3zSwing length -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Montgomery, Colson CWS · L · 564 PA | 0.63 | Chase rateWalk rateSweet-spot rate | Strikeout rate +1.7zFly-ball rate +1.1zIsolated power +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.