The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Lewis, Royce in signal, the comp in amber.

MIN · bats R · 532 PA

Ranked comps for Lewis, Royce

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Riley, Austin ATL · R · 677 PA 0.78 Sweet-spot rateIn-zone contactMax exit velocity Swing length -1.3zStrikeout rate +1.0zPull rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Adames, Willy SF · R · 517 PA 0.73 Walk rateHard-hit ratexwOBA on contact Max exit velocity -1.1zIsolated power +1.0zSweet-spot rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Crews, Dylan WSH · R · 453 PA 0.72 Isolated powerOppo rateMax exit velocity Pull rate -1.5zSprint speed +1.2zSwing length -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Castro, Willi COL · L · 498 PA 0.68 xwOBA on contactHard-hit ratePull rate Swing length -1.9zAvg exit velocity -0.9zGround-ball rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 675 PA 0.67 Fly-ball rateAvg exit velocitySweet-spot rate Isolated power +1.8zSwing length -1.0zGround-ball rate +0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 490 PA 0.65 Fly-ball rateBarrel rateStrikeout rate Swing length -1.4zPull rate -1.2zGround-ball rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Burger, Jake TEX · R · 638 PA 0.65 Fly-ball ratePull rateIn-zone contact Ground-ball rate +1.7zSwing length -1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 650 PA 0.65 Whiff rateMax exit velocitySwing length Isolated power +1.5zSprint speed -1.0zChase rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Soler, Jorge LAA · R · 381 PA 0.64 Max exit velocityxwOBA on contactBat speed Strikeout rate +1.3zSprint speed -1.3zGround-ball rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Duran, Jarren BOS · L · 637 PA 0.63 Bat speedIsolated powerWalk rate Ground-ball rate +2.1zSwing length -1.3zFly-ball rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Bell, Josh MIN · L · 650 PA 0.63 xwOBA on contactAvg exit velocityHard-hit rate Whiff rate -1.6zGround-ball rate +1.4zSprint speed -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Wells, Austin NYY · L · 418 PA 0.62 Isolated powerStrikeout rateOppo rate Walk rate +1.6zSwing length -1.2zSprint speed -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.