The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Montgomery, Colson in signal, the comp in amber.

CWS · bats L · 564 PA

Ranked comps for Montgomery, Colson

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 557 PA 0.78 xwOBA on contactSweet-spot rateSwing length Bat speed -1.2zStrikeout rate -0.9zChase rate -0.7z
02 Soler, Jorge LAA · R · 381 PA 0.74 Whiff rateHard-hit rateBarrel rate Fly-ball rate -1.2zGround-ball rate +1.2zIn-zone contact -0.8z
03 Mayo, Coby BAL · R · 376 PA 0.71 Chase rateFly-ball rateSweet-spot rate Swing length -1.2zAvg exit velocity +1.1zSprint speed +1.0z
04 Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 534 PA 0.66 Pull rateBat speedSwing length Strikeout rate -1.5zFly-ball rate -1.1zGround-ball rate +1.1z
05 Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 438 PA 0.63 Chase rateWalk rateSweet-spot rate Strikeout rate -1.7zFly-ball rate -1.1zIsolated power -1.0z
06 Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 579 PA 0.63 Fly-ball ratexwOBA on contactIn-zone contact Swing length -2.0zMax exit velocity -1.2zBat speed -1.1z
07 Raleigh, Cal SEA · L · 444 PA 0.62 Max exit velocitySwing lengthSweet-spot rate Fly-ball rate +1.8zWalk rate +1.7zPull rate +0.8z
08 Suárez, Eugenio CIN · R · 434 PA 0.56 Strikeout rateIsolated powerAvg exit velocity Bat speed -1.7zSweet-spot rate +1.5zOppo rate +1.2z
09 Riley, Austin ATL · R · 557 PA 0.54 Chase rateIn-zone contactWalk rate Oppo rate +1.9zPull rate -1.6zIsolated power -1.1z
10 Goodman, Hunter COL · R · 509 PA 0.54 Walk rateSweet-spot rateFly-ball rate Isolated power +1.8zSwing length -1.3zBarrel rate +1.3z
11 Burger, Jake TEX · R · 535 PA 0.54 In-zone contactWalk rateBat speed Ground-ball rate +2.0zStrikeout rate -1.3zFly-ball rate -1.3z
12 Adames, Willy SF · R · 517 PA 0.53 Chase rateFly-ball rateIsolated power Max exit velocity -1.9zBat speed -1.3zWhiff rate -1.1z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.