The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Montgomery, Colson in signal, the comp in amber.
CWS · bats L · 564 PA
Ranked comps for Montgomery, Colson
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 557 PA | 0.78 | xwOBA on contactSweet-spot rateSwing length | Bat speed -1.2zStrikeout rate -0.9zChase rate -0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Soler, Jorge LAA · R · 381 PA | 0.74 | Whiff rateHard-hit rateBarrel rate | Fly-ball rate -1.2zGround-ball rate +1.2zIn-zone contact -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Mayo, Coby BAL · R · 376 PA | 0.71 | Chase rateFly-ball rateSweet-spot rate | Swing length -1.2zAvg exit velocity +1.1zSprint speed +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 534 PA | 0.66 | Pull rateBat speedSwing length | Strikeout rate -1.5zFly-ball rate -1.1zGround-ball rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 438 PA | 0.63 | Chase rateWalk rateSweet-spot rate | Strikeout rate -1.7zFly-ball rate -1.1zIsolated power -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 579 PA | 0.63 | Fly-ball ratexwOBA on contactIn-zone contact | Swing length -2.0zMax exit velocity -1.2zBat speed -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Raleigh, Cal SEA · L · 444 PA | 0.62 | Max exit velocitySwing lengthSweet-spot rate | Fly-ball rate +1.8zWalk rate +1.7zPull rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Suárez, Eugenio CIN · R · 434 PA | 0.56 | Strikeout rateIsolated powerAvg exit velocity | Bat speed -1.7zSweet-spot rate +1.5zOppo rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Riley, Austin ATL · R · 557 PA | 0.54 | Chase rateIn-zone contactWalk rate | Oppo rate +1.9zPull rate -1.6zIsolated power -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Goodman, Hunter COL · R · 509 PA | 0.54 | Walk rateSweet-spot rateFly-ball rate | Isolated power +1.8zSwing length -1.3zBarrel rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Burger, Jake TEX · R · 535 PA | 0.54 | In-zone contactWalk rateBat speed | Ground-ball rate +2.0zStrikeout rate -1.3zFly-ball rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Adames, Willy SF · R · 517 PA | 0.53 | Chase rateFly-ball rateIsolated power | Max exit velocity -1.9zBat speed -1.3zWhiff rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.