The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Montgomery, Colson in signal, the comp in amber.

CWS · bats L · 688 PA

Ranked comps for Montgomery, Colson

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Soler, Jorge LAA · R · 381 PA 0.71 Avg exit velocityWhiff rateBarrel rate Fly-ball rate -1.1zGround-ball rate +1.1zMax exit velocity -1.0z
02 Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 650 PA 0.68 Swing lengthPull rateFly-ball rate Strikeout rate -1.3zBat speed -1.3zMax exit velocity -1.0z
03 Mayo, Coby BAL · R · 468 PA 0.62 Walk rateBat speedChase rate Swing length -1.4zWhiff rate -1.1zSprint speed +1.0z
04 Raleigh, Cal SEA · L · 547 PA 0.60 Oppo rateSweet-spot rateSwing length Fly-ball rate +1.9zWalk rate +1.7zGround-ball rate -0.9z
05 Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 560 PA 0.60 Bat speedPull rateChase rate Strikeout rate -1.8zFly-ball rate -1.1zGround-ball rate +1.0z
06 Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 532 PA 0.59 In-zone contactChase rateGround-ball rate Strikeout rate -1.8zMax exit velocity -1.1zIsolated power -1.1z
07 Burger, Jake TEX · R · 638 PA 0.55 In-zone contactIsolated powerWalk rate Ground-ball rate +1.8zStrikeout rate -1.6zOppo rate +1.1z
08 Suárez, Eugenio CIN · R · 510 PA 0.55 Avg exit velocityxwOBA on contactIn-zone contact Sweet-spot rate +1.7zBat speed -1.7zMax exit velocity -1.5z
09 Goodman, Hunter COL · R · 599 PA 0.53 Fly-ball rateWalk rateIn-zone contact Isolated power +1.9zSwing length -1.4zChase rate +1.2z
10 Riley, Austin ATL · R · 677 PA 0.52 In-zone contactChase rateSweet-spot rate Oppo rate +1.6zPull rate -1.6zMax exit velocity -1.2z
11 Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 672 PA 0.52 Fly-ball rateIn-zone contactPull rate Swing length -2.0zMax exit velocity -1.6zBat speed -1.3z
12 Castro, Willi COL · L · 498 PA 0.51 Walk rateHard-hit rateSweet-spot rate Strikeout rate -1.5zSwing length -1.5zBat speed -1.2z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.