The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Montgomery, Colson in signal, the comp in amber.
CWS · bats L · 688 PA
Ranked comps for Montgomery, Colson
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Soler, Jorge LAA · R · 381 PA | 0.71 | Avg exit velocityWhiff rateBarrel rate | Fly-ball rate -1.1zGround-ball rate +1.1zMax exit velocity -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 650 PA | 0.68 | Swing lengthPull rateFly-ball rate | Strikeout rate -1.3zBat speed -1.3zMax exit velocity -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Mayo, Coby BAL · R · 468 PA | 0.62 | Walk rateBat speedChase rate | Swing length -1.4zWhiff rate -1.1zSprint speed +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Raleigh, Cal SEA · L · 547 PA | 0.60 | Oppo rateSweet-spot rateSwing length | Fly-ball rate +1.9zWalk rate +1.7zGround-ball rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 560 PA | 0.60 | Bat speedPull rateChase rate | Strikeout rate -1.8zFly-ball rate -1.1zGround-ball rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 532 PA | 0.59 | In-zone contactChase rateGround-ball rate | Strikeout rate -1.8zMax exit velocity -1.1zIsolated power -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Burger, Jake TEX · R · 638 PA | 0.55 | In-zone contactIsolated powerWalk rate | Ground-ball rate +1.8zStrikeout rate -1.6zOppo rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Suárez, Eugenio CIN · R · 510 PA | 0.55 | Avg exit velocityxwOBA on contactIn-zone contact | Sweet-spot rate +1.7zBat speed -1.7zMax exit velocity -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Goodman, Hunter COL · R · 599 PA | 0.53 | Fly-ball rateWalk rateIn-zone contact | Isolated power +1.9zSwing length -1.4zChase rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Riley, Austin ATL · R · 677 PA | 0.52 | In-zone contactChase rateSweet-spot rate | Oppo rate +1.6zPull rate -1.6zMax exit velocity -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 672 PA | 0.52 | Fly-ball rateIn-zone contactPull rate | Swing length -2.0zMax exit velocity -1.6zBat speed -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Castro, Willi COL · L · 498 PA | 0.51 | Walk rateHard-hit rateSweet-spot rate | Strikeout rate -1.5zSwing length -1.5zBat speed -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.