The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Wells, Austin in signal, the comp in amber.
NYY · bats L · 418 PA
Ranked comps for Wells, Austin
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Yastrzemski, Mike ATL · L · 433 PA | 0.73 | Oppo rateBarrel rateAvg exit velocity | Max exit velocity -1.3zWhiff rate -0.8zGround-ball rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Manzardo, Kyle CLE · L · 378 PA | 0.72 | Fly-ball rateSweet-spot ratePull rate | Strikeout rate +1.1zOppo rate -1.0zBat speed -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 390 PA | 0.68 | Hard-hit rateIsolated powerSprint speed | Walk rate -1.4zGround-ball rate +1.2zOppo rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Busch, Michael CHC · L · 736 PA | 0.67 | Sweet-spot rateSprint speedFly-ball rate | Bat speed -1.5zSwing length -1.4zGround-ball rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Lindor, Francisco NYM · L · 489 PA | 0.64 | Bat speedSwing lengthFly-ball rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.8zStrikeout rate -1.0zIsolated power +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 677 PA | 0.64 | Barrel rateAvg exit velocityFly-ball rate | Strikeout rate -1.6zWhiff rate -1.3zIn-zone contact +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Benintendi, Andrew CWS · L · 499 PA | 0.63 | Avg exit velocityFly-ball rateStrikeout rate | Pull rate +1.2zWalk rate -1.2zChase rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Adames, Willy SF · R · 517 PA | 0.62 | Fly-ball rateBat speedOppo rate | Swing length +1.6zWalk rate -1.6zSprint speed +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Swanson, Dansby CHC · R · 512 PA | 0.62 | Max exit velocityChase rateBarrel rate | Sprint speed +1.7zSweet-spot rate -1.6zGround-ball rate +1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 532 PA | 0.62 | Isolated powerStrikeout rateOppo rate | Walk rate -1.6zSwing length +1.2zSprint speed +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 650 PA | 0.62 | Sweet-spot rateBat speedFly-ball rate | Isolated power +1.6zBarrel rate +1.4zxwOBA on contact +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Torkelson, Spencer DET · R · 634 PA | 0.61 | In-zone contactPull rateWalk rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.8zIsolated power +1.4zBarrel rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.