The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 256 qualified hitters (340+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Wells, Austin in signal, the comp in amber.

NYY · bats L · 418 PA

Ranked comps for Wells, Austin

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Yastrzemski, Mike ATL · L · 433 PA 0.73 Oppo rateBarrel rateAvg exit velocity Max exit velocity -1.3zWhiff rate -0.8zGround-ball rate +0.8z
02 Manzardo, Kyle CLE · L · 378 PA 0.72 Fly-ball rateSweet-spot ratePull rate Strikeout rate +1.1zOppo rate -1.0zBat speed -1.0z
03 McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 390 PA 0.68 Hard-hit rateIsolated powerSprint speed Walk rate -1.4zGround-ball rate +1.2zOppo rate +1.1z
04 Busch, Michael CHC · L · 736 PA 0.67 Sweet-spot rateSprint speedFly-ball rate Bat speed -1.5zSwing length -1.4zGround-ball rate +1.0z
05 Lindor, Francisco NYM · L · 489 PA 0.64 Bat speedSwing lengthFly-ball rate Sweet-spot rate -1.8zStrikeout rate -1.0zIsolated power +1.0z
06 Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 677 PA 0.64 Barrel rateAvg exit velocityFly-ball rate Strikeout rate -1.6zWhiff rate -1.3zIn-zone contact +1.1z
07 Benintendi, Andrew CWS · L · 499 PA 0.63 Avg exit velocityFly-ball rateStrikeout rate Pull rate +1.2zWalk rate -1.2zChase rate +1.2z
08 Adames, Willy SF · R · 517 PA 0.62 Fly-ball rateBat speedOppo rate Swing length +1.6zWalk rate -1.6zSprint speed +1.3z
09 Swanson, Dansby CHC · R · 512 PA 0.62 Max exit velocityChase rateBarrel rate Sprint speed +1.7zSweet-spot rate -1.6zGround-ball rate +1.5z
10 Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 532 PA 0.62 Isolated powerStrikeout rateOppo rate Walk rate -1.6zSwing length +1.2zSprint speed +1.2z
11 Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 650 PA 0.62 Sweet-spot rateBat speedFly-ball rate Isolated power +1.6zBarrel rate +1.4zxwOBA on contact +1.2z
12 Torkelson, Spencer DET · R · 634 PA 0.61 In-zone contactPull rateWalk rate Sweet-spot rate +1.8zIsolated power +1.4zBarrel rate +1.1z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.