The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 258 qualified hitters (286+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Wells, Austin in signal, the comp in amber.
NYY · bats L · 335 PA
Ranked comps for Wells, Austin
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Manzardo, Kyle CLE · L · 378 PA | 0.73 | Fly-ball rateMax exit velocityPull rate | Barrel rate +1.1zOppo rate -1.0zBat speed -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Yastrzemski, Mike ATL · L · 353 PA | 0.69 | Hard-hit rateOppo rateBarrel rate | Max exit velocity -1.3zSprint speed +1.0zWhiff rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 547 PA | 0.68 | Barrel rateIsolated powerAvg exit velocity | Strikeout rate -1.5zWhiff rate -1.1zIn-zone contact +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 326 PA | 0.67 | Chase rateSweet-spot rateIn-zone contact | Oppo rate +1.1zWalk rate -1.1zAvg exit velocity +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Schneemann, Daniel CLE · L · 290 PA | 0.67 | Sweet-spot rateAvg exit velocityIsolated power | Sprint speed +1.4zSwing length -1.2zGround-ball rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Swanson, Dansby CHC · R · 478 PA | 0.65 | xwOBA on contactSwing lengthMax exit velocity | Sprint speed +1.9zIsolated power +1.1zGround-ball rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Lindor, Francisco NYM · L · 367 PA | 0.64 | Fly-ball rateChase rateBat speed | Sweet-spot rate -1.4zStrikeout rate -1.3zIsolated power +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 438 PA | 0.63 | In-zone contactOppo rateSweet-spot rate | Sprint speed +1.5zBarrel rate +1.3zSwing length +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Suárez, Eugenio CIN · R · 434 PA | 0.62 | Chase rateAvg exit velocityGround-ball rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.5zIsolated power +1.4zStrikeout rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Adames, Willy SF · R · 517 PA | 0.62 | Bat speedFly-ball rateStrikeout rate | Sprint speed +1.5zSwing length +1.4zIsolated power +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Chisholm Jr., Jazz NYY · L · 517 PA | 0.60 | Chase rateWalk rateHard-hit rate | Sprint speed +1.9zGround-ball rate +1.1zPull rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Castro, Willi COL · L · 494 PA | 0.60 | Strikeout rateWhiff rateBat speed | Sprint speed +1.8zChase rate +1.4zMax exit velocity +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.