Reference layer
Current snapshot
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Player profile / ATH
Tyler Soderstrom
Player · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 2", 200 lb · Age 24
Club ATH
Position --
Roster profile
Status IL-10
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 213 | 18 | 44 | 9 | 0 | .233 | .315 | .429 | .744 |
| 2025 | 624 | 75 | 155 | 25 | 8 | .276 | .346 | .474 | .820 |
| 2026 | 453 | 58 | 97 | 19 | 2 | .245 | .338 | .472 | .810 |
| 4 Seasons | 1428 | 160 | 316 | 56 | 10 | .249 | .328 | .444 | .772 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
71
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.4%
73
Exit velocity90.7
85
Hard-hit%45.8%
83
xBA0.319
52
xSLG0.534
60
xwOBA0.328
75
BB%11.6%
85
Bat speed72.5
84
K%20.0%
67
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.6 · LF
67
Arm Strength96.0 · LF
70
Outs Above Avg-8.0 · LF
1
Range Runs-7.1 · LF
3
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.1 · LF
39
Sprint Speed27.1 · LF
41
SB Success Rate100.0% · LF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.5% · rebadged research
70
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.3% · rebadged research
83
Correct Decisions70.6% · rebadged research
88
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline108
85
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.310 · borderline
17
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.271 · insufficient sample
73
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.271 · validated thin sample
73
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.301 · insufficient sample
96
Resists FastballwOBA 0.372 · validated
10
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.341 · validated
83
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
208 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Soderstrom’s wOBA sits at 0.372, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.328 — a gap of 0.044, -1.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 466 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Springer, George TOR · R | 0.76 | Sprint speedWhiff rate | Player · Projection |
| Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L | 0.76 | Bat speedxwOBA on contact | Player · Projection |
| Sheets, Gavin SD · L | 0.73 | Ground-ball ratePull rate | Player · Projection |
| Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L | 0.70 | In-zone contactOppo rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 5 | 2026-07-18 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
| Fielding | 7 | 2026-08-14 | 2 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.357 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.330 xwOBA | 20 HR | Projection |