Mithrandir Metrics
Player Los Angeles Angels Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Los Angeles Angels

Josh Lowe

LF · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 3", 220 lb · Age 28

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Los Angeles Angels Position LF Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
202438737851025.241.302.391.693
202543556871118.220.283.366.649
2026188173683.205.246.364.610
6 Seasons17112053855182.245.300.409.709
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
47
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
44
Defense4 metrics
61
Speed2 metrics
49
Plate skills10 metrics
54
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-17
xwOBA preseason0.316
xwOBA current pace0.289
xwOBA rolling p500.303
Observed weight48%
xwOBA
0.272 0.287 0.303 0.320 0.334
wOBA
0.277 0.296 0.318 0.341 0.360
ISO
0.147 0.164 0.184 0.203 0.220
K%
23.4% 25.0% 26.9% 28.8% 30.5%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.4%
71
Exit velocity87.8
46
Hard-hit%35.6%
33 -29 vs proj
xBA0.308
34
xSLG0.574
70
xwOBA0.289
30 -25 vs proj
BB%4.9%
13 -22 vs proj
Bat speed71.9
78
K%27.6%
23 -17 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs2.1 · LF
94
Arm Strength91.7 · LF
38
Outs Above Avg0.0 · LF
46
Range Runs1.3 · LF
66
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts2.0 · LF
33
Sprint Speed27.9 · LF
65
SB Success Rate100.0% · LF
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-17
Avoids Bad ChasesST 58.0% · rebadged research
17
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.7% · rebadged research
43
Correct Decisions64.8% · rebadged research
35
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.266 · borderline
88
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.282 · insufficient sample
39
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.269 · validated thin sample
82
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.315 · insufficient sample
90
Resists FastballwOBA 0.349 · validated
30
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.330 · validated
95
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline93
17
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Lowe, Josh · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.289 2026-07-06: 0.2892026-07-07: 0.2822026-07-08: 0.2822026-07-09: 0.2842026-07-10: 0.2852026-07-11: 0.2802026-07-12: 0.2812026-07-13: 0.2812026-07-14: 0.2892026-07-15: 0.2892026-07-16: 0.2892026-07-17: 0.289 2026-07-06 2026-07-17 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

104 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Lowe, Josh · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 13% of plotted batted ballsPull 13%Center field third: 70% of plotted batted ballsCenter 70%Right field third: 16% of plotted batted ballsOppo 16% LF 347 CF 396 RF 350 2026-03-18 · triple · SL · line_drive · EV 94.7 / LA 13.02026-03-18 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 106.5 / LA 28.02026-03-20 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 85.8 / LA 23.02026-03-20 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 109.4 / LA 9.02026-03-22 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 75.9 / LA 7.02026-03-22 · field error · SL · ground_ball · EV 74.2 / LA -24.02026-03-22 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 92.2 / LA 58.02026-03-23 · single · CU · fly_ball · EV 71.3 / LA 29.02026-03-23 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 83.8 / LA 9.02026-03-24 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 92.5 / LA 13.02026-03-26 · field out · KC · fly_ball · EV 93.7 / LA 38.02026-03-26 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 96.1 / LA 23.02026-03-27 · field out · CH · popup · EV 81.2 / LA 76.02026-03-27 · double · CU · line_drive · EV 71.2 / LA 19.02026-03-27 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.0 / LA 28.02026-03-28 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 83.3 / LA 43.02026-03-30 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.8 / LA 36.02026-03-30 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 79.1 / LA -23.02026-03-30 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 75.5 / LA 37.02026-03-31 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 66.5 / LA -10.02026-03-31 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 102.2 / LA 34.02026-04-03 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 85.1 / LA 45.02026-04-04 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 80.9 / LA -20.02026-04-04 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 86.5 / LA 45.02026-04-04 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 93.0 / LA -4.02026-04-05 · sac bunt · SI · ground_ball · EV 34.0 / LA -16.02026-04-05 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.2 / LA 41.02026-04-07 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 67.1 / LA -3.02026-04-08 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 64.7 / LA 0.02026-04-10 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 83.0 / LA -15.02026-04-10 · field out · FF · popup · EV 82.6 / LA 75.02026-04-10 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.4 / LA 22.02026-04-10 · field out · SI · popup · EV 65.0 / LA 47.02026-04-13 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 89.5 / LA 8.02026-04-13 · sac fly · CU · fly_ball · EV 100.7 / LA 43.02026-04-13 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 88.1 / LA 43.02026-04-13 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 63.3 / LA -36.02026-04-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 87.9 / LA -16.02026-04-15 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 104.1 / LA 0.02026-04-16 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 86.3 / LA 32.02026-04-16 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.1 / LA -10.02026-04-16 · single · FS · fly_ball · EV 69.8 / LA 33.02026-04-16 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 80.5 / LA 33.02026-04-16 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 71.6 / LA -37.02026-04-17 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 77.8 / LA 18.02026-04-17 · home run · CU · fly_ball · EV 97.5 / LA 32.02026-04-17 · field out · KN · popup · EV 92.5 / LA 62.02026-04-18 · field out · KC · popup · EV 89.4 / LA 80.02026-04-19 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 85.4 / LA 31.02026-04-19 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 95.7 / LA 9.02026-04-20 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 99.4 / LA 56.02026-04-20 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 95.0 / LA 5.02026-04-20 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 85.0 / LA 17.02026-04-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 95.1 / LA -32.02026-04-22 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 92.0 / LA 21.02026-04-26 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 37.1 / LA -72.02026-04-26 · single · ST · fly_ball · EV 72.9 / LA 27.02026-04-26 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 92.8 / LA 20.02026-04-26 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 96.4 / LA 12.02026-04-28 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 101.4 / LA 30.02026-04-28 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 107.4 / LA 16.02026-04-28 · field out · FC · popup · EV 70.6 / LA 64.02026-04-28 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 104.6 / LA 30.02026-04-29 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 93.3 / LA 56.02026-04-29 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 90.0 / LA -11.02026-05-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.1 / LA 28.02026-05-02 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 77.6 / LA 30.02026-05-02 · field out · FS · popup · EV 87.7 / LA 68.02026-05-02 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 98.0 / LA 41.02026-05-02 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 89.8 / LA 19.02026-05-03 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 95.0 / LA 36.02026-05-03 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 99.9 / LA 39.02026-05-03 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 76.2 / LA -14.02026-05-04 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 104.5 / LA 22.02026-05-04 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 66.4 / LA -23.02026-05-05 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 81.7 / LA 4.02026-05-05 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 85.9 / LA 35.02026-05-08 · field out · CH · popup · EV 80.7 / LA 59.02026-05-09 · single · FS · ground_ball · EV 42.7 / LA -63.02026-05-09 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 87.3 / LA 16.02026-05-09 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 109.1 / LA -26.02026-05-11 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.5 / LA 42.02026-05-11 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 101.2 / LA 7.02026-05-12 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 86.0 / LA 38.02026-05-15 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 93.3 / LA 38.02026-05-15 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 104.8 / LA 0.02026-05-16 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 90.7 / LA -5.02026-05-17 · field out · FO · ground_ball · EV 91.5 / LA -15.02026-05-17 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 106.2 / LA 9.02026-05-18 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 55.4 / LA -83.02026-05-18 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 96.0 / LA 21.02026-05-19 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 65.6 / LA 15.02026-05-19 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 91.0 / LA -40.02026-05-20 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 109.2 / LA 28.02026-05-20 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 96.9 / LA 5.02026-05-21 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 94.6 / LA -7.02026-05-21 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 85.6 / LA 17.02026-05-21 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 105.4 / LA -6.02026-06-24 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 103.9 / LA -2.02026-06-24 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 105.1 / LA -5.02026-06-26 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 101.0 / LA 10.02026-06-26 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 92.7 / LA 19.02026-06-30 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 91.8 / LA 15.02026-06-30 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 97.4 / LA 38.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Lowe, Josh · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 50%50%Chase: 40%40%Whiff: 26%26%Zone contact: 81%81%Contact: 74%74%Hard hit: 36%36% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Lowe, Josh · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 73.3 mph Hard swing rate 31% Whiff / swing 28% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age28
Height6' 3"
Weight220 lb
Debut2021-09-08
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.023
wOBA Δ+0.007

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.9σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.318
xwOBA (deserved)0.289

Lowe’s wOBA sits at 0.318, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.289 — a gap of 0.030, -0.9 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 203 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.312 xwOBA | 15 HRProjection
2026-05-20 vs ATH1 HR | 2 RBI / 4 Ch | 2 E1-4 | HR, 2 K, 2 RBI
2026-04-20 vs TOR0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E1-4 | K
2026-04-17 vs SD1 HR | 2 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E2-4 | HR, K, 2 RBI
2026-04-15 @ NYY0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E1-4 | 2 K
2026-04-13 @ NYY0 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-3 | BB, RBI, R