Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 28 |
| Height | 6' 3" |
| Weight | 220 lb |
| Debut | 2021-09-08 |
Player profile / Los Angeles Angels
Josh Lowe
LF · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 3", 220 lb · Age 28
Club Los Angeles Angels
Position LF
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 387 | 37 | 85 | 10 | 25 | .241 | .302 | .391 | .693 |
| 2025 | 435 | 56 | 87 | 11 | 18 | .220 | .283 | .366 | .649 |
| 2026 | 290 | 25 | 55 | 10 | 7 | .210 | .274 | .351 | .625 |
| 6 Seasons | 1813 | 213 | 404 | 53 | 86 | .244 | .301 | .404 | .705 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
46
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.316 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.289 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.300 |
| Observed weight | 58% |
xwOBA
0.273
0.286
0.300
0.315
0.328
wOBA
0.278
0.294
0.312
0.330
0.346
ISO
0.138
0.152
0.168
0.184
0.199
K%
24.4%
25.8%
27.4%
29.0%
30.5%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.9%
51
Exit velocity87.5
47
Hard-hit%35.9%
38
-26 vs proj
xBA0.313
42
xSLG0.544
63
xwOBA0.289
33
-25 vs proj
BB%7.8%
40
Bat speed71.0
72
K%28.2%
23
-18 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs3.3 · LF
96
Arm Strength91.7 · LF
35
Outs Above Avg0.0 · LF
49
Range Runs1.7 · LF
68
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts2.0 · LF
27
SB Success Rate85.7% · LF
67
Sprint Speed28.0 · LF
66
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.6% · rebadged research
26
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.1% · rebadged research
70
Correct Decisions67.4% · rebadged research
63
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline98
37
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.284 · borderline
65
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.280 · insufficient sample
42
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.288 · validated thin sample
26
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.292 · insufficient sample
98
Resists FastballwOBA 0.337 · validated
54
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.327 · validated
95
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
141 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.023 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.000 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Lowe’s wOBA sits at 0.312, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.289 — a gap of 0.023, -0.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 308 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tovar, Ezequiel COL · R | 0.78 | Sprint speedBarrel rate | Player · Projection |
| Norby, Connor MIA · R | 0.71 | Pull rateBarrel rate | Player · Projection |
| Crews, Dylan WSH · R | 0.68 | xwOBA on contactSweet-spot rate | Player · Projection |
| Castro, Willi COL · L | 0.68 | Whiff rateBat speed | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fielding | 10 | 2026-08-30 | 7 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +1.892 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.312 xwOBA | 15 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 vs KC0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | K |
| 2026-05-20 vs ATH1 HR | 2 RBI / 4 Ch | 2 E | 1-4 | HR, 2 K, 2 RBI |
| 2026-04-20 vs TOR0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | K |
| 2026-04-17 vs SD1 HR | 2 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | HR, K, 2 RBI |
| 2026-04-15 @ NYY0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2 K |