Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 24 |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Weight | 203 lb |
| Debut | 2024-08-26 |
Player profile / Washington Nationals
Dylan Crews
RF · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 203 lb · Age 24
Club Washington Nationals
Position RF
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 132 | 12 | 26 | 3 | 12 | .218 | .288 | .353 | .641 |
| 2025 | 322 | 43 | 61 | 10 | 17 | .208 | .280 | .352 | .632 |
| 2026 | 362 | 45 | 71 | 10 | 8 | .216 | .287 | .356 | .643 |
| 3 Seasons | 816 | 100 | 158 | 23 | 37 | .213 | .284 | .354 | .638 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
66
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.320 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.310 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.314 |
| Observed weight | 63% |
xwOBA
0.288
0.300
0.314
0.328
0.340
wOBA
0.269
0.283
0.299
0.316
0.330
ISO
0.110
0.124
0.141
0.157
0.172
K%
21.5%
22.7%
23.9%
25.1%
26.2%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.0%
67
Exit velocity90.0
78
Hard-hit%42.7%
70
xBA0.322
54
xSLG0.558
68
xwOBA0.310
57
-16 vs proj
BB%7.1%
33
Bat speed72.1
80
K%25.3%
35
-17 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.8 · RF
31
Arm Strength93.4 · RF
51
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
49
Range Runs2.2 · RF
74
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs2.4 · RF
85
Bolts4.0 · RF
43
SB Success Rate100.0% · RF
94
Sprint Speed29.3 · RF
93
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.5% · rebadged research
25
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.8% · rebadged research
64
Correct Decisions66.3% · rebadged research
53
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.312 · borderline
15
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.282 · insufficient sample
36
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.262 · validated thin sample
88
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.341 · insufficient sample
22
Resists FastballwOBA 0.337 · validated
54
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.302 · validated
99
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
34
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
121 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.016 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.026 |
positive regression
Regression watch
Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.
Crews’s wOBA sits at 0.299, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.310 — a gap of 0.011, 0.4 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 367 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Riley, Austin ATL · R | 0.78 | In-zone contactMax exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Hernández, Teoscar LAD · R | 0.78 | Whiff rateSweet-spot rate | Player · Projection |
| Duran, Jarren BOS · L | 0.75 | Swing lengthOppo rate | Player · Projection |
| Rodríguez, Julio SEA · R | 0.75 | Avg exit velocityHard-hit rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 1 | 2026-07-28 | Impact contact was the main driver |
| Fielding | 16 | 2026-09-01 | 2 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.313 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.325 xwOBA | 11 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 @ NYM0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K |
| 2026-05-20 vs NYM0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2 K, R |