Mithrandir Metrics
Player Washington Nationals Refreshed Jul 18 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Washington Nationals

Dylan Crews

RF · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 203 lb · Age 24

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Washington Nationals Position RF Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
20241321226312.218.288.353.641
202532243611017.208.280.352.632
2026195273866.211.272.344.616
3 Seasons649821251935.211.279.350.629
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
64
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
57
Defense4 metrics
50
Speed4 metrics
79
Plate skills10 metrics
45
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-18
xwOBA preseason0.320
xwOBA current pace0.318
xwOBA rolling p500.319
Observed weight47%
xwOBA
0.288 0.303 0.319 0.336 0.351
wOBA
0.247 0.267 0.289 0.310 0.330
ISO
0.095 0.114 0.136 0.158 0.177
K%
19.5% 20.9% 22.3% 23.8% 25.1%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-18
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.6%
57
Exit velocity90.1
75
Hard-hit%42.2%
64
xBA0.325
55
xSLG0.560
67
xwOBA0.318
63
BB%5.6%
18 -23 vs proj
Bat speed71.2
73
K%23.2%
44
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.4 · RF
39
Arm Strength91.6 · RF
36
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
46
Range Runs2.4 · RF
80
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.4 · RF
79
Bolts4.0 · RF
50
SB Success Rate100.0% · RF
93
Sprint Speed29.3 · RF
94
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-18
Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.7% · rebadged research
23
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.3% · rebadged research
68
Correct Decisions65.8% · rebadged research
46
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.310 · borderline
12
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.286 · insufficient sample
27
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.283 · validated thin sample
42
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.345 · insufficient sample
21
Resists FastballwOBA 0.317 · validated
86
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.333 · validated
94
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
31
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Crews, Dylan · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.318 2026-07-07: 0.3332026-07-08: 0.3322026-07-09: 0.3302026-07-10: 0.3292026-07-11: 0.3292026-07-12: 0.3232026-07-13: 0.3212026-07-14: 0.3182026-07-15: 0.3182026-07-16: 0.3182026-07-17: 0.3182026-07-18: 0.318 2026-07-07 2026-07-18 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

61 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Crews, Dylan · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 13% of plotted batted ballsPull 13%Center field third: 70% of plotted batted ballsCenter 70%Right field third: 16% of plotted batted ballsOppo 16% LF 337 CF 402 RF 335 2026-03-16 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 79.1 / LA 35.02026-03-16 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 65.9 / LA -61.02026-03-16 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 80.2 / LA -63.02026-05-19 · field out · FC · popup · EV 88.8 / LA 64.02026-05-19 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 86.2 / LA -3.02026-05-19 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 79.8 / LA -25.02026-05-19 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 89.5 / LA 22.02026-05-20 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 93.6 / LA 19.02026-05-20 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 85.7 / LA 14.02026-05-21 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.0 / LA 28.02026-05-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 75.4 / LA 5.02026-05-21 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 76.5 / LA -12.02026-05-22 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 106.4 / LA -8.02026-05-22 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 85.3 / LA -62.02026-05-22 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 98.8 / LA -17.02026-05-22 · field out · SL · popup · EV 80.4 / LA 62.02026-05-23 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 102.6 / LA 25.02026-05-23 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 87.5 / LA 55.02026-05-23 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 84.2 / LA 24.02026-05-24 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.9 / LA 2.02026-05-24 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 90.8 / LA -9.02026-05-25 · field out · FF · popup · EV 83.9 / LA 65.02026-05-25 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 103.4 / LA 7.02026-05-25 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 60.4 / LA -1.02026-05-25 · double · ST · fly_ball · EV 105.3 / LA 23.02026-05-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.9 / LA -18.02026-05-26 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 97.8 / LA 23.02026-05-26 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 103.6 / LA -28.02026-05-26 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 83.4 / LA -10.02026-06-05 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 92.6 / LA 24.02026-06-05 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 102.6 / LA 25.02026-06-05 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 74.2 / LA -11.02026-06-05 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 99.8 / LA 27.02026-06-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 102.5 / LA 53.02026-06-07 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 111.2 / LA 8.02026-06-07 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 84.1 / LA 29.02026-06-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.1 / LA -26.02026-06-15 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 108.4 / LA 22.02026-06-15 · field out · FC · popup · EV 89.2 / LA 64.02026-06-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 106.3 / LA -14.02026-06-20 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 106.8 / LA 25.02026-06-20 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 98.7 / LA 20.02026-06-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.3 / LA 31.02026-06-20 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 109.6 / LA -9.02026-06-22 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 98.4 / LA 16.02026-06-22 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 104.1 / LA 19.02026-06-22 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 90.8 / LA 22.02026-06-22 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 103.6 / LA 41.02026-06-24 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 81.1 / LA -41.02026-06-24 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 75.8 / LA -10.02026-06-24 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 85.7 / LA 33.02026-06-26 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 55.8 / LA -28.02026-06-26 · double · CH · ground_ball · EV 102.6 / LA 0.02026-06-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 103.6 / LA 5.02026-06-30 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 91.2 / LA -31.02026-06-30 · field out · CH · popup · EV 71.4 / LA 51.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 102.6 / LA 50.02026-06-30 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.7 / LA 5.02026-06-30 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 76.9 / LA 20.02026-07-01 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 60.4 / LA -58.02026-07-01 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 112.3 / LA 7.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Crews, Dylan · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 48%48%Chase: 34%34%Whiff: 29%29%Zone contact: 81%81%Contact: 71%71%Hard hit: 42%42% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age24
Height5' 11"
Weight203 lb
Debut2024-08-26
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.007
wOBA Δ-0.036

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.9σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.289
xwOBA (deserved)0.318

Crews’s wOBA sits at 0.289, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.318 — a gap of 0.029, 0.9 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 198 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.324 xwOBA | 11 HRProjection
2026-05-20 vs NYM0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E1-4 | 2 K, R