The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (290+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Lowe, Josh in signal, the comp in amber.

LAA · bats L · 308 PA

Ranked comps for Lowe, Josh

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Tovar, Ezequiel COL · R · 468 PA 0.78 Sprint speedBarrel rateSwing length In-zone contact +1.3zChase rate +1.2zFly-ball rate -0.6z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Norby, Connor MIA · R · 319 PA 0.71 Pull rateBarrel rateAvg exit velocity Chase rate -1.7zMax exit velocity -1.0zWalk rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Crews, Dylan WSH · R · 367 PA 0.68 xwOBA on contactSweet-spot rateWalk rate Fly-ball rate -1.2zMax exit velocity +1.0zSprint speed +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Castro, Willi COL · L · 498 PA 0.68 Whiff rateBat speedSprint speed Max exit velocity +1.6zPull rate +1.3zIn-zone contact +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Hernández, Teoscar LAD · R · 416 PA 0.67 Strikeout rateWalk rateBat speed Ground-ball rate +1.2zHard-hit rate +1.1zChase rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Riley, Austin ATL · R · 565 PA 0.66 Walk rateGround-ball rateIsolated power Avg exit velocity +1.4zHard-hit rate +1.1zBarrel rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Neto, Zach LAA · R · 616 PA 0.64 Max exit velocitySprint speedChase rate In-zone contact +1.3zPull rate +1.3zIsolated power +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Schneemann, Daniel CLE · L · 290 PA 0.64 xwOBA on contactBarrel rateHard-hit rate In-zone contact +1.7zPull rate +1.2zOppo rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Cowser, Colton BAL · L · 356 PA 0.62 Sprint speedSwing lengthIsolated power Walk rate +1.4zMax exit velocity +1.4zChase rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Adames, Willy SF · R · 517 PA 0.61 Avg exit velocityWhiff rateMax exit velocity Swing length +1.9zPull rate +1.4zIn-zone contact +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 591 PA 0.60 Oppo rateBat speedGround-ball rate Hard-hit rate +1.4zIn-zone contact +1.4zBarrel rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Wells, Austin NYY · L · 341 PA 0.60 Sweet-spot rateBat speedWhiff rate Sprint speed -1.6zPull rate +1.6zChase rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.