Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 32 |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Weight | 182 lb |
| Debut | 2022-04-07 |
Player profile / Chicago Cubs
Seiya Suzuki
RF · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 182 lb · Age 32
Club Chicago Cubs
Position RF
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 585 | 74 | 145 | 21 | 16 | .283 | .366 | .482 | .848 |
| 2025 | 651 | 75 | 140 | 32 | 5 | .245 | .326 | .478 | .804 |
| 2026 | 533 | 84 | 128 | 24 | 3 | .278 | .370 | .495 | .865 |
| 5 Seasons | 2798 | 362 | 664 | 111 | 39 | .270 | .351 | .476 | .827 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
70
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.339 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.336 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.337 |
| Observed weight | 71% |
xwOBA
0.314
0.325
0.337
0.349
0.360
wOBA
0.356
0.369
0.383
0.397
0.410
ISO
0.187
0.200
0.213
0.227
0.239
K%
22.7%
23.7%
24.9%
26.1%
27.1%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.5%
74
Exit velocity88.5
57
Hard-hit%38.5%
50
-39 vs proj
xBA0.348
79
xSLG0.599
79
xwOBA0.336
82
BB%12.1%
88
+16 vs proj
Bat speed71.1
73
K%25.0%
37
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs2.9 · RF
95
Arm Strength94.5 · RF
58
Outs Above Avg5.0 · RF
96
Range Runs4.1 · RF
83
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-3.4 · RF
4
Sprint Speed27.8 · RF
60
SB Success Rate100.0% · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.9% · rebadged research
83
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.9% · rebadged research
19
Correct Decisions66.3% · rebadged research
52
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
65
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.311 · borderline
15
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.266 · insufficient sample
80
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.282 · validated thin sample
39
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.318 · insufficient sample
76
Resists FastballwOBA 0.373 · validated
9
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.381 · validated
10
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
195 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.010 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.037 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Suzuki’s wOBA sits at 0.383, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.336 — a gap of 0.047, -1.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 527 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Abreu, Wilyer BOS · L | 0.73 | Whiff rateIsolated power | Player · Projection |
| Bleday, JJ CIN · L | 0.72 | Barrel rateChase rate | Player · Projection |
| Mead, Curtis WSH · R | 0.72 | Sweet-spot ratexwOBA on contact | Player · Projection |
| Jeffers, Ryan MIN · R | 0.68 | Hard-hit rateBat speed | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 9 | 2026-08-31 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
| Fielding | 18 | 2026-08-30 | 5 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.651 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.346 xwOBA | 27 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 vs STL0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | 2B, BB, R |
| 2026-05-20 vs MIL0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | BB, K |
| 2026-04-20 vs PHI0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 | BB, K |
| 2026-04-17 vs NYM0 HR | 1 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 2-5 | 2B, K, RBI |
| 2026-04-15 @ PHI0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | BB, K, R |